CAT
Caterpillar Inc.
CAT has the edge over FIP overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.
FIP
FTAI Infrastructure Inc.
FIP offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
CAT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
FIP Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak |
FIP's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.
CAT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 15x | $380 | -37% |
| Fair | 18x | $461 | -24% |
| Forward | 20x | $605 | — |
| Current | 24x | $605 | — |
| Expensive | 33x | $840 | +39% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CAT's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
FIP PE Valuation
FIP has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CAT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CAT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
FIP Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect FIP's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
CAT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $30.32 | +19% |
| Q3 2026 | $25.48 | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.23 | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.08 | -2% |
| Q4 2025 | $18.81 | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $19.46 | -9.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.64 | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.50 | -7.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $22.05 | +9.6% |
CAT has the edge over FIP on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
FIP Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$5.04 | -$2.61 |
| Q2 2026 | -$5.15 | -$3.65 |
| Q1 2026 | -$4.47 | -$3.18 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.26 | +$0.46 |
| Q3 2025 | -$2.43 | -$0.46 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.50 | +$0.57 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.29 | +$0.64 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.72 | -$0.93 |
FIP lost $5.04 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.
CAT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.7B | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $20.5B | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.4B | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.1B | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.6B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.6B | -0.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.2B | -9.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | -5% |
CAT's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $20.7B last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 21% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 14% | -4.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | -2.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | -4.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | -0.3 points |
CAT has the edge over FIP on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
FIP Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $219M | +56% |
| Q2 2026 | $186.8M | +53% |
| Q1 2026 | $188.4M | +96% |
| Q4 2025 | $143.5M | +78% |
| Q3 2025 | $140.6M | +69% |
| Q2 2025 | $122.3M | +44% |
| Q1 2025 | $96.2M | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $80.8M | -0.8% |
FIP has the edge over CAT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9% | -5.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | -25% | -19 points |
| Q1 2026 | 1.5% | +10 points |
| Q4 2025 | 0.9% | +97 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | +23 points |
| Q2 2025 | -5.6% | -2 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.8% | +5 points |
| Q4 2024 | -96% | -90 points |
FIP's operating margin was 9% last quarter, down 5.6 points from the same quarter a year ago.
CAT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.8B | +47% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +97% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.7B | +0.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.1B | -1.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | -4.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $579M | -63% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.7B | -22% |
CAT has the edge over FIP on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
FIP Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$63.4M | +$27.3M |
| Q2 2026 | -$43.5M | +$44M |
| Q1 2026 | -$115.9M | +$35.8M |
| Q4 2025 | -$68.6M | -$34.4M |
| Q3 2025 | -$90.7M | -$79.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$87.5M | -$55.4M |
| Q1 2025 | -$151.7M | -$134.9M |
| Q4 2024 | -$34.3M | -$21.7M |
FIP has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$291M over the past year, against −$364M the year before.
CAT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -1.6M shares |
| 1 year | -2.1% | -9.9M shares |
| 3 years | -10% | -51.7M shares |
| 5 years | -16% | -86.7M shares |
| Available history | -19% | -107M shares |
CAT has the edge over FIP on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B |
| Q1 2026 | $5B |
| Q4 2025 | $340M |
| Q3 2025 | $362M |
| Q2 2025 | $828M |
| Q1 2025 | $3.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $640M |
CAT spent $8.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 47% from the year before.
FIP Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +17.8K shares |
| 1 year | +2.3% | +2.6M shares |
| 3 years | +15% | +15.4M shares |
| 5 years | +19% | +19M shares |
FIP has 118M diluted shares, up 2.3% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | — |
CAT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 1.6x | Healthy |
CAT has the edge over FIP on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
FIP Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 19.6x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 19.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 21.5x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 26.7x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 91.1x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 28.4x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 32.3x | High |
| Q1 2024 | 32.2x | High |
FIP's net debt is about 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.
CAT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.7 | Oversold |
CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
FIP Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 55.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 52.0 | Neutral |
FIP's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 52 (neutral).
CAT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | CAT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 24x | 1.3% below |
| PE % | 69 | 58 | 11 pts above |
CAT is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
FIP PE vs Industrials Sector
FIP has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CAT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $709.0 | 15% below |
| 20 week MA | $797.0 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $771.3 | 22% below |
| 100 week MA | $586.7 | 3.2% above |
| 200 week MA | $443.1 | 37% above |
CAT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 37% above its 200-week average.
FIP Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.00 | 41% above |
| 20 week MA | $3.55 | 19% above |
| 50 week MA | $4.53 | 6.6% below |
| 100 week MA | $5.04 | 16% below |
| 200 week MA | $5.25 | 19% below |
FIP has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 19% below its 200-week average.
CAT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $148.3 | $179.6 | +21% |
| 2021 | $179.6 | $206.2 | +15% |
| 2022 | $206.2 | $239.9 | +16% |
| 2023 | $239.9 | $295.7 | +23% |
| 2024 | $295.7 | $364.9 | +23% |
| 2025 | $364.9 | $583.0 | +60% |
| 2026 YTD | $583.0 | $605.3 | +3.8% |
CAT has the edge over FIP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
FIP Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $3.58 | $2.89 | -19% |
| 2023 | $2.89 | $3.89 | +35% |
| 2024 | $3.89 | $7.11 | +83% |
| 2025 | $7.11 | $4.84 | -32% |
| 2026 YTD | $4.84 | $4.23 | -13% |
FIP has finished lower in two of the last four years. It's down 13% so far in 2026.