CAT

Caterpillar Inc.

66
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential83/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

CAT's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 24x earnings, above its usual 18x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

FDXF

FedEx Freight Holding Company, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score FDXF yet.

CAT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

FDXF Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Healthy
Unavailable
Strong

FDXF's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue and cash flow.

CAT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$380-37%
Fair18x$461-24%
Forward20x$605—
Current24x$605—
Expensive33x$840+39%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CAT's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

FDXF PE Valuation

LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap29x$229+75%
Fair35x$276+111%
Expensive42x$331+152%
Current43x$131—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FDXF has the edge over CAT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CAT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

FDXF Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for FDXF to show an outlook.

CAT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$918.83
Downside-11%$541.24

Calculated from the latest close: $605.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CAT and FDXF's risk to reward.

FDXF Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $131.00 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CAT and FDXF's risk to reward.

CAT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$30.32+19%
Q3 2026$25.48+31%
Q2 2026$23.23+18%
Q1 2026$20.08-2%
Q4 2025$18.81-15%
Q3 2025$19.46-9.7%
Q2 2025$19.64-10%
Q1 2025$20.50-7.4%
Q4 2024$22.05+9.6%

CAT earned $25.48 per share over the past year, up 31% from the year before.

FDXF Earnings Per Share

Q2 2025: $8.85Q3 2025: $7.90
Q2 2025: $8.85Q3 2025: $7.90

FDXF and CAT do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

CAT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.7B+17%
Q2 2026$20.5B+24%
Q1 2026$17.4B+22%
Q4 2025$19.1B+18%
Q3 2025$17.6B+9.5%
Q2 2025$16.6B-0.7%
Q1 2025$14.2B-9.8%
Q4 2024$16.2B-5%

CAT has the edge over FDXF in the latest year-over-year revenue comparison.

FDXF Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2024: $2.3BQ4 2024: $2.2BQ1 2025: $2.1BQ2 2025: $2.4BQ3 2025: $2.2BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ2 2026: $2.4BQ3 2026: $2.4B
Q3 2024: $2.3BQ4 2024: $2.2BQ1 2025: $2.1BQ2 2025: $2.4BQ3 2025: $2.2BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ2 2026: $2.4BQ3 2026: $2.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.4B+11%
Q2 2026$2.4B+1.7%
Q4 2025$2.1B-1.7%
Q3 2025$2.2B-2.4%

FDXF's revenue has held roughly level: $2.4B last quarter, up 3.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

CAT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+19%
Q2 2026$3.8B+47%
Q1 2026$1.1B+97%
Q4 2025$2.7B+0.1%
Q3 2025$3.1B-1.5%
Q2 2025$2.6B-4.2%
Q1 2025$579M-63%
Q4 2024$2.7B-22%

CAT generated $11.3B in free cash flow over the past year, up 26% from the year before.

FDXF Free Cash Flow

Q3 2024: $250MQ4 2024: $250MQ1 2025: $125MQ2 2025: $469MQ3 2025: $350MQ4 2025: $350MQ2 2026: −$441MQ3 2026: --
Q3 2024: $250MQ4 2024: $250MQ1 2025: $125MQ2 2025: $469MQ3 2025: $350MQ4 2025: $350MQ2 2026: −$441MQ3 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$441M-194%
Q4 2025$349.5M+40%
Q3 2025$349.5M+40%

FDXF has the edge over CAT in the latest year-over-year cash flow comparison.

CAT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-1.6M shares
1 year-2.1%-9.9M shares
3 years-10%-51.7M shares
5 years-16%-86.7M shares
Available history-19%-107M shares

CAT has the edge over FDXF on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

FDXF Total Shares

Q3 2024: 124MQ4 2024: 122MQ1 2025: 122MQ2 2025: 119MQ3 2025: 122MQ4 2025: 122MQ2 2026: 150MQ3 2026: 150M
Q3 2024: 124MQ4 2024: 122MQ1 2025: 122MQ2 2025: 119MQ3 2025: 122MQ4 2025: 122MQ2 2026: 150MQ3 2026: 150M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+395K shares
1 year+26%+30.9M shares

FDXF has 150M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

CAT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

CAT has more cash than debt.

FDXF Net Leverage

Q2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.0x
Q2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20250.0xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low

FDXF has more cash than debt.

CAT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.7Neutral
Stochastic6.7Oversold

CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

FDXF Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.7Neutral
Stochastic46.0Neutral

FDXF's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 46 (neutral).

CAT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCATSector medianRelative
PE24x24x1.3% below
PE %695811 pts above

CAT is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

FDXF PE vs Industrials Sector

CAT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$709.015% below
20 week MA$797.024% below
50 week MA$771.322% below
100 week MA$586.73.2% above
200 week MA$443.137% above

FDXF has stronger trend alignment. CAT is above 2 of 5 weekly averages versus FDXF above 1 of 2.

FDXF Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$118.211% above
20 week MA$132.00.8% below

FDXF has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 0.8% below its 20-week average.

CAT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$148.3$179.6+21%
2021$179.6$206.2+15%
2022$206.2$239.9+16%
2023$239.9$295.7+23%
2024$295.7$364.9+23%
2025$364.9$583.0+60%
2026 YTD$583.0$605.3+3.8%

CAT has the edge over FDXF on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

FDXF Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2026 YTD$160.4$131.0-18%

It's down 18% so far in 2026.

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