CAT
Caterpillar Inc.
CAT's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 24x earnings, above its usual 18x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.
FDX
FedEx Corporation
There isn't enough reported data to score FDX yet.
CAT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
FDX Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Unavailable | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
FDX's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue.
CAT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 15x | $380 | -37% |
| Fair | 18x | $461 | -24% |
| Forward | 20x | $605 | — |
| Current | 24x | $605 | — |
| Expensive | 33x | $840 | +39% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CAT's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
FDX PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 13x | $249 | -22% |
| Fair | 16x | $302 | -5.5% |
| Current | 20x | $319 | — |
| Expensive | 25x | $469 | +47% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
FDX has the edge over CAT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
CAT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CAT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
FDX Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for FDX to show an outlook.
CAT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $30.32 | +19% |
| Q3 2026 | $25.48 | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.23 | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.08 | -2% |
| Q4 2025 | $18.81 | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $19.46 | -9.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.64 | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.50 | -7.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $22.05 | +9.6% |
CAT has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 31% for CAT versus FDX up 10%.
FDX Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $18.55 | +10% |
| Q1 2026 | $18.72 | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $18.07 | +15% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.06 | +5.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.81 | -2.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $15.92 | -8.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $15.67 | -7.1% |
| Q3 2024 | $16.19 | -1.2% |
FDX earned $18.55 per share over the past year, up 10% from the year before.
CAT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.7B | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $20.5B | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.4B | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.1B | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.6B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.6B | -0.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.2B | -9.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | -5% |
CAT's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $20.7B last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 21% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 14% | -4.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | -2.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | -4.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | -0.3 points |
CAT has the edge over FDX on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
FDX Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $22.9B | +2.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $25B | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $24B | +8.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $23.5B | +6.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $22.2B | +3.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.2B | +0.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $22.2B | +1.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $22B | -0.9% |
FDX's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $22.9B last quarter, up 2.7% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.7% | -0.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 6.2% | -1.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.6% | -0.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.9% | +1.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.3% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 8.1% | +1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 5.8% | +0.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 4.8% | -1 points |
FDX's operating margin was 4.7% last quarter, down 0.7 points from the same quarter a year ago.
CAT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.8B | +47% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +97% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.7B | +0.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.1B | -1.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | -4.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $579M | -63% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.7B | -22% |
FDX has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 63% versus its history, compared with CAT at up 39%.
FDX Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $1.8B | +71% |
| Q1 2026 | $1B | +2.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.2B | +139% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.1B | +160% |
| Q2 2025 | $1B | -30% |
| Q1 2025 | $1B | +339% |
| Q4 2024 | $500M | +6.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $420M | -55% |
FDX generated $5.1B in free cash flow over the past year, up 72% from the year before.
CAT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -1.6M shares |
| 1 year | -2.1% | -9.9M shares |
| 3 years | -10% | -51.7M shares |
| 5 years | -16% | -86.7M shares |
| Available history | -19% | -107M shares |
CAT has the edge over FDX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B |
| Q1 2026 | $5B |
| Q4 2025 | $340M |
| Q3 2025 | $362M |
| Q2 2025 | $828M |
| Q1 2025 | $3.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $640M |
CAT spent $8.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 47% from the year before.
FDX Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +1M shares |
| 3 years | -5.9% | -15M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -32M shares |
| Available history | -8.8% | -23M shares |
FDX has 239M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $296M |
| Q3 2025 | $500M |
| Q2 2025 | $500M |
| Q1 2025 | $497M |
| Q4 2024 | $1B |
| Q3 2024 | $1B |
CAT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 1.6x | Healthy |
CAT has more cash than debt.
FDX Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q3 2024 | 1.5x | Healthy |
FDX's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.6 years a year ago.
CAT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.7 | Oversold |
CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
FDX Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 56.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 55.0 | Neutral |
FDX's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 55 (neutral).
CAT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | CAT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 24x | 1.3% below |
| PE % | 69 | 58 | 11 pts above |
CAT is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
FDX PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | FDX | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20x | 24x | 19% below |
| PE % | 74 | 58 | 16 pts above |
FDX has the edge over CAT on valuation relative to its sector.
CAT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $709.0 | 15% below |
| 20 week MA | $797.0 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $771.3 | 22% below |
| 100 week MA | $586.7 | 3.2% above |
| 200 week MA | $443.1 | 37% above |
CAT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 37% above its 200-week average.
FDX Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $300.1 | 6.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $310.6 | 2.8% above |
| 50 week MA | $296.9 | 7.6% above |
| 100 week MA | $245.5 | 30% above |
| 200 week MA | $225.3 | 42% above |
FDX has the edge over CAT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
CAT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $148.3 | $179.6 | +21% |
| 2021 | $179.6 | $206.2 | +15% |
| 2022 | $206.2 | $239.9 | +16% |
| 2023 | $239.9 | $295.7 | +23% |
| 2024 | $295.7 | $364.9 | +23% |
| 2025 | $364.9 | $583.0 | +60% |
| 2026 YTD | $583.0 | $605.3 | +3.8% |
CAT has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 3.8% so far in 2026.
FDX Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $122.8 | $216.5 | +76% |
| 2021 | $216.5 | $204.4 | -5.6% |
| 2022 | $204.4 | $141.7 | -31% |
| 2023 | $141.7 | $203.7 | +44% |
| 2024 | $203.7 | $225.8 | +11% |
| 2025 | $225.8 | $238.6 | +5.7% |
| 2026 YTD | $238.6 | $319.3 | +34% |
FDX has the edge over CAT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.