CAT
Caterpillar Inc.
CAT has the edge over FCEL overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
FCEL
FuelCell Energy, Inc.
FCEL offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
CAT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
FCEL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
FCEL's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
CAT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 15x | $380 | -37% |
| Fair | 18x | $461 | -24% |
| Forward | 20x | $605 | — |
| Current | 24x | $605 | — |
| Expensive | 33x | $840 | +39% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CAT's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
FCEL PE Valuation
FCEL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CAT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CAT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
FCEL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect FCEL's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
CAT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $30.32 | +19% |
| Q3 2026 | $25.48 | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.23 | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.08 | -2% |
| Q4 2025 | $18.81 | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $19.46 | -9.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.64 | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.50 | -7.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $22.05 | +9.6% |
CAT has the edge over FCEL on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
FCEL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$3.01 | +$6.11 |
| Q2 2026 | -$6.15 | +$1.29 |
| Q1 2026 | -$6.49 | +$1.26 |
| Q4 2025 | -$7.42 | +$0.41 |
| Q3 2025 | -$9.12 | -$1.62 |
| Q2 2025 | -$7.44 | -$0.24 |
| Q1 2025 | -$7.75 | +$0.05 |
| Q4 2024 | -$7.83 | -$0.03 |
FCEL is still losing money, but far less than before: $3.01 per share over the past year, against $192.90 at its worst in late 2019.
CAT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.7B | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $20.5B | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.4B | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.1B | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.6B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.6B | -0.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.2B | -9.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | -5% |
CAT's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $20.7B last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 21% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 14% | -4.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | -2.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | -4.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | -0.3 points |
CAT has the edge over FCEL on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
FCEL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $33M | -29% |
| Q2 2026 | $35.6M | -4.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $30.5M | +61% |
| Q4 2025 | $55M | +12% |
| Q3 2025 | $46.7M | +97% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.4M | +67% |
| Q1 2025 | $19M | +14% |
| Q4 2024 | $49.3M | +120% |
FCEL has the edge over CAT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -141% | +63 points |
| Q2 2026 | -219% | -123 points |
| Q1 2026 | -86% | +87 points |
| Q4 2025 | -51% | +32 points |
| Q3 2025 | -204% | -62 points |
| Q2 2025 | -96% | +89 points |
| Q1 2025 | -173% | +82 points |
| Q4 2024 | -83% | +79 points |
FCEL's operating margin was −141% last quarter, up 63 points from the same quarter a year ago.
CAT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.8B | +47% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +97% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.7B | +0.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.1B | -1.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | -4.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $579M | -63% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.7B | -22% |
CAT has the edge over FCEL on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
FCEL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$13.5M | +$18.6M |
| Q2 2026 | -$29M | +$6.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$34.7M | +$18.1M |
| Q4 2025 | -$23.9M | -$19.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$32.1M | +$44.7M |
| Q2 2025 | -$35.2M | +$15.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$52.8M | +$16.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.7M | +$22.4M |
FCEL has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$101M over the past year, against −$125M the year before.
CAT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -1.6M shares |
| 1 year | -2.1% | -9.9M shares |
| 3 years | -10% | -51.7M shares |
| 5 years | -16% | -86.7M shares |
| Available history | -19% | -107M shares |
CAT has the edge over FCEL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B |
| Q1 2026 | $5B |
| Q4 2025 | $340M |
| Q3 2025 | $362M |
| Q2 2025 | $828M |
| Q1 2025 | $3.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $640M |
CAT spent $8.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 47% from the year before.
FCEL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +30% | +16.2M shares |
| 1 year | +224% | +48.7M shares |
| 3 years | +420% | +56.9M shares |
| 5 years | +555% | +59.7M shares |
| Available history | +3735% | +68.6M shares |
FCEL has 70M diluted shares, up 224% from a year ago.
CAT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 1.6x | Healthy |
CAT has more cash than debt.
FCEL Net Leverage
FCEL's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
CAT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.7 | Oversold |
CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
FCEL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 39.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.4 | Oversold |
FCEL's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).
CAT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | CAT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 24x | 1.3% below |
| PE % | 69 | 58 | 11 pts above |
CAT is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
FCEL PE vs Industrials Sector
FCEL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CAT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $709.0 | 15% below |
| 20 week MA | $797.0 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $771.3 | 22% below |
| 100 week MA | $586.7 | 3.2% above |
| 200 week MA | $443.1 | 37% above |
CAT has the edge over FCEL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
FCEL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.6 | 24% below |
| 20 week MA | $17.4 | 41% below |
| 50 week MA | $13.8 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $10.2 | 0.9% above |
| 200 week MA | $26.3 | 61% below |
FCEL's trend is mixed: it's above one of its five weekly moving averages, and 61% below its 200-week average.
CAT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $148.3 | $179.6 | +21% |
| 2021 | $179.6 | $206.2 | +15% |
| 2022 | $206.2 | $239.9 | +16% |
| 2023 | $239.9 | $295.7 | +23% |
| 2024 | $295.7 | $364.9 | +23% |
| 2025 | $364.9 | $583.0 | +60% |
| 2026 YTD | $583.0 | $605.3 | +3.8% |
CAT has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 3.8% so far in 2026.
FCEL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $38.1 | $369.0 | +869% |
| 2021 | $369.0 | $193.8 | -47% |
| 2022 | $193.8 | $80.1 | -59% |
| 2023 | $80.1 | $48.0 | -40% |
| 2024 | $48.0 | $10.0 | -79% |
| 2025 | $10.0 | $8.48 | -16% |
| 2026 YTD | $8.48 | $10.3 | +21% |
FCEL has the edge over CAT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.