CAT

Caterpillar Inc.

66
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential83/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

CAT has the edge over EQPT overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

EQPT

EquipmentShare.com Inc.

58
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential40/ 100

EQPT offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

CAT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

EQPT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Under pressure
Weak

EQPT's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

CAT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$380-37%
Fair18x$461-24%
Forward20x$605—
Current24x$605—
Expensive33x$840+39%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CAT's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

EQPT PE Valuation

LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward21x$15.43—
Current108x$15.43—
Cheap167x$23.43+52%
Fair210x$29.38+90%
Expensive228x$31.95+107%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EQPT has the edge over CAT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CAT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

EQPT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect EQPT to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CAT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$918.83
Downside-11%$541.24

Calculated from the latest close: $605.28 on Nov 12.

CAT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than EQPT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

EQPT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+69%$26.07
Downside-40%$9.26

Calculated from the latest close: $15.43 on Nov 12.

EQPT trails CAT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CAT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $29.73
Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $29.73
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$29.73+17%
Q3 2026$25.48+31%
Q2 2026$23.23+18%
Q1 2026$20.08-2%
Q4 2025$18.81-15%
Q3 2025$19.46-9.7%
Q2 2025$19.64-10%
Q1 2025$20.50-7.4%
Q4 2024$22.05+9.6%

CAT earned $25.48 per share over the past year, up 31% from the year before.

EQPT Earnings Per Share

Q2 2025: $-0.11Q3 2025: $-0.09Q4 2025: $-0.03Q1 2026: $0.08Q2 2026: $0.09Q3 2026: $0.14Forward: $0.72
Q2 2025: $-0.11Q3 2025: $-0.09Q4 2025: $-0.03Q1 2026: $0.08Q2 2026: $0.09Q3 2026: $0.14Forward: $0.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.72+414%
Q3 2026$0.14+$0.23
Q2 2026$0.09+$0.20

EQPT has the edge over CAT in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

CAT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.7B+17%
Q2 2026$20.5B+24%
Q1 2026$17.4B+22%
Q4 2025$19.1B+18%
Q3 2025$17.6B+9.5%
Q2 2025$16.6B-0.7%
Q1 2025$14.2B-9.8%
Q4 2024$16.2B-5%

CAT's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $20.7B last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

EQPT Quarterly Revenue

Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: $776MQ4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: $716MQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $944MQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $989MQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: $776MQ4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: $716MQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $944MQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $989MQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B+56%
Q2 2026$1.4B+26%
Q1 2026$989M+38%
Q4 2025$1.6B+1.2%
Q3 2025$943.9M+22%

EQPT has the edge over CAT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

CAT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+19%
Q2 2026$3.8B+47%
Q1 2026$1.1B+97%
Q4 2025$2.7B+0.1%
Q3 2025$3.1B-1.5%
Q2 2025$2.6B-4.2%
Q1 2025$579M-63%
Q4 2024$2.7B-22%

CAT has the edge over EQPT on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

EQPT Free Cash Flow

Q1 2024: −$266MQ2 2024: −$266MQ3 2024: −$270MQ4 2024: −$390MQ1 2025: −$404MQ2 2025: −$658MQ3 2025: −$476MQ4 2025: −$256MQ1 2026: −$576MQ2 2026: −$378MQ3 2026: −$37M
Q1 2024: −$266MQ2 2024: −$266MQ3 2024: −$270MQ4 2024: −$390MQ1 2025: −$404MQ2 2025: −$658MQ3 2025: −$476MQ4 2025: −$256MQ1 2026: −$576MQ2 2026: −$378MQ3 2026: −$37M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$37M+$438.6M
Q2 2026-$378M+$280.1M
Q1 2026-$576M-$172M
Q4 2025-$256.1M+$134.2M
Q3 2025-$475.6M-$205.2M
Q2 2025-$658.1M-$391.9M
Q1 2025-$404M-$137.8M

EQPT has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.2B over the past year, against −$1.9B the year before.

CAT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-1.6M shares
1 year-2.1%-9.9M shares
3 years-10%-51.7M shares
5 years-16%-86.7M shares
Available history-19%-107M shares

CAT has the edge over EQPT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

EQPT Total Shares

Q3 2024: 251MQ4 2024: 251MQ1 2025: 251MQ2 2025: 251MQ3 2025: 251MQ4 2025: 251MQ1 2026: 253MQ2 2026: 253MQ3 2026: 254M
Q3 2024: 251MQ4 2024: 251MQ1 2025: 251MQ2 2025: 251MQ3 2025: 251MQ4 2025: 251MQ1 2026: 253MQ2 2026: 253MQ3 2026: 254M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+740K shares
1 year+1%+2.5M shares

EQPT has 254M diluted shares, up 1% from a year ago.

CAT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

CAT has the edge over EQPT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

EQPT Net Leverage

Q2 2025: 5.8xQ3 2025: 7.7xQ4 2025: 5.5xQ1 2026: 5.2xQ2 2026: 5.5xQ3 2026: 4.6x
Q2 2025: 5.8xQ3 2025: 7.7xQ4 2025: 5.5xQ1 2026: 5.2xQ2 2026: 5.5xQ3 2026: 4.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.6xHigh
Q2 20265.5xHigh
Q1 20265.2xHigh
Q4 20255.5xHigh
Q3 20257.7xHigh
Q2 20255.8xHigh

EQPT's net debt is about 4.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 7.7 years a year ago.

CAT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.7Neutral
Stochastic6.7Oversold

CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

EQPT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.1Neutral
Stochastic32.9Neutral

EQPT's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

CAT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCATSector medianRelative
PE24x24x1.1% below
PE %695811 pts above

CAT has the edge over EQPT on valuation relative to its sector.

EQPT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricEQPTSector medianRelative
PE108x24x348% above

EQPT is trading at 108x earnings, a 348% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x, though its earnings don't support one.

CAT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$709.015% below
20 week MA$797.024% below
50 week MA$771.322% below
100 week MA$586.73.2% above
200 week MA$443.137% above

CAT has stronger trend alignment. CAT is above 2 of 5 weekly averages versus EQPT above 0 of 2.

EQPT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$16.03.4% below
20 week MA$17.713% below

EQPT is in a downtrend: it's below all two of its weekly moving averages, and 13% below its 20-week average.

CAT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$148.3$179.6+21%
2021$179.6$206.2+15%
2022$206.2$239.9+16%
2023$239.9$295.7+23%
2024$295.7$364.9+23%
2025$364.9$583.0+60%
2026 YTD$583.0$605.3+3.8%

CAT has the edge over EQPT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

EQPT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2026 YTD$32.6$15.4-53%

It's down 53% so far in 2026.

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