CAT

Caterpillar Inc.

66
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential83/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

CAT has the edge over EML overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

EML

The Eastern Company

53
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation34/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

EML trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

CAT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

EML Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Under pressure
Stable

EML's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

CAT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$380-37%
Fair18x$461-24%
Forward20x$605—
Current24x$605—
Expensive33x$840+39%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CAT's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

EML PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.3x17x25x33x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.3x17x25x33x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.4x$16.97-45%
Fair14x$25.80-16%
Current17x$30.81—
Expensive21x$37.74+23%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EML has the edge over CAT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CAT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

EML Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for EML to show an outlook.

CAT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$918.83
Downside-11%$541.24

Calculated from the latest close: $605.28 on Nov 12.

CAT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than EML, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

EML Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+32%$40.56
Downside-22%$24.05

Calculated from the latest close: $30.81 on Nov 12.

EML trails CAT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

CAT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$30.32+19%
Q3 2026$25.48+31%
Q2 2026$23.23+18%
Q1 2026$20.08-2%
Q4 2025$18.81-15%
Q3 2025$19.46-9.7%
Q2 2025$19.64-10%
Q1 2025$20.50-7.4%
Q4 2024$22.05+9.6%

CAT earned $25.48 per share over the past year, up 31% from the year before.

EML Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.37Q1 2024: $1.58Q2 2024: $1.92Q3 2024: $-1.03Q4 2024: $-1.37Q1 2025: $-1.36Q2 2025: $-1.36Q3 2025: $1.20Q1 2026: $1.17Q2 2026: $0.96Q3 2026: $1.34Q4 2026: $1.81
Q4 2023: $1.37Q1 2024: $1.58Q2 2024: $1.92Q3 2024: $-1.03Q4 2024: $-1.37Q1 2025: $-1.36Q2 2025: $-1.36Q3 2025: $1.20Q1 2026: $1.17Q2 2026: $0.96Q3 2026: $1.34Q4 2026: $1.81
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$1.81+51%
Q2 2026$1.34+$2.70
Q1 2026$0.96+$2.32
Q4 2025$1.17+$2.54
Q3 2025$1.20+$2.23
Q2 2025-$1.36-171%
Q1 2025-$1.36-186%
Q4 2024-$1.37-200%

EML has the edge over CAT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CAT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.7B+17%
Q2 2026$20.5B+24%
Q1 2026$17.4B+22%
Q4 2025$19.1B+18%
Q3 2025$17.6B+9.5%
Q2 2025$16.6B-0.7%
Q1 2025$14.2B-9.8%
Q4 2024$16.2B-5%

CAT has the edge over EML on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

EML Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $67MQ1 2024: $68MQ2 2024: $73MQ3 2024: $71MQ4 2024: $67MQ1 2025: $63MQ2 2025: $70MQ3 2025: $55MQ1 2026: $58MQ2 2026: $60MQ3 2026: $62MQ4 2026: $75M
Q4 2023: $67MQ1 2024: $68MQ2 2024: $73MQ3 2024: $71MQ4 2024: $67MQ1 2025: $63MQ2 2025: $70MQ3 2025: $55MQ1 2026: $58MQ2 2026: $60MQ3 2026: $62MQ4 2026: $75M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$75M+35%
Q2 2026$61.8M-12%
Q1 2026$59.7M-5.7%
Q4 2025$57.5M-14%
Q3 2025$55.3M-22%
Q2 2025$70.2M-4.1%
Q1 2025$63.3M-6.8%
Q4 2024$66.7M-0.5%

EML's revenue has held roughly level: $75M last quarter, up 35% from the same quarter a year ago.

CAT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+19%
Q2 2026$3.8B+47%
Q1 2026$1.1B+97%
Q4 2025$2.7B+0.1%
Q3 2025$3.1B-1.5%
Q2 2025$2.6B-4.2%
Q1 2025$579M-63%
Q4 2024$2.7B-22%

CAT generated $11.3B in free cash flow over the past year, up 26% from the year before.

EML Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: −$7MQ4 2024: $9MQ1 2025: −$3MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $3MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $3MQ3 2026: $8MQ4 2026: −$4M
Q4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: −$7MQ4 2024: $9MQ1 2025: −$3MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $3MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $3MQ3 2026: $8MQ4 2026: −$4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$4M-232%
Q2 2026$7.9M+164%
Q1 2026$2.6M+$5.3M
Q4 2025$1.5M-83%
Q3 2025$3.1M+$9.8M
Q2 2025$3M-47%
Q1 2025-$2.7M-250%
Q4 2024$9M+62%

EML usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$4M, but it generated $8M over the past year.

CAT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-1.6M shares
1 year-2.1%-9.9M shares
3 years-10%-51.7M shares
5 years-16%-86.7M shares
Available history-19%-107M shares

CAT has the edge over EML on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

EML Total Shares

Q4 2023: 6MQ1 2024: 6MQ2 2024: 6MQ3 2024: 6MQ4 2024: 6MQ1 2025: 6MQ2 2025: 6MQ3 2025: 6MQ1 2026: 6MQ2 2026: 6MQ3 2026: 6MQ4 2026: 6M
Q4 2023: 6MQ1 2024: 6MQ2 2024: 6MQ3 2024: 6MQ4 2024: 6MQ1 2025: 6MQ2 2025: 6MQ3 2025: 6MQ1 2026: 6MQ2 2026: 6MQ3 2026: 6MQ4 2026: 6M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-1.4K shares
1 year-0.9%-54.2K shares
3 years-3.9%-245K shares
5 years-3.9%-243K shares
Available history-3.8%-241K shares

EML has 6M diluted shares, down 0.9% from a year ago.

CAT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

CAT has the edge over EML on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

EML Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.6xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 1.1xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.3xQ3 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.6xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 2.0xQ4 2026: 1.8x
Q4 2023: 1.6xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 1.1xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.3xQ3 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.6xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 2.0xQ4 2026: 1.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.8xHealthy
Q2 20262.0xHealthy
Q1 20261.7xHealthy
Q4 20251.6xHealthy
Q3 20251.5xHealthy
Q2 20251.3xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.2xHealthy

EML's net debt is about 1.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.5 years a year ago.

CAT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.7Neutral
Stochastic6.7Oversold

CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

EML Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI65.5Neutral
Stochastic66.3Neutral

EML's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 66 (neutral).

CAT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCATSector medianRelative
PE24x24x1.3% below
PE %695811 pts above

CAT is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

EML PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricEMLSector medianRelative
PE17x24x29% below
PE %67589 pts above

EML has the edge over CAT on valuation relative to its sector.

CAT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$709.015% below
20 week MA$797.024% below
50 week MA$771.322% below
100 week MA$586.73.2% above
200 week MA$443.137% above

CAT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 37% above its 200-week average.

EML Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$25.919% above
20 week MA$25.720% above
50 week MA$22.537% above
100 week MA$23.233% above
200 week MA$23.431% above

EML has the edge over CAT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CAT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$148.3$179.6+21%
2021$179.6$206.2+15%
2022$206.2$239.9+16%
2023$239.9$295.7+23%
2024$295.7$364.9+23%
2025$364.9$583.0+60%
2026 YTD$583.0$605.3+3.8%

CAT has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 3.8% so far in 2026.

EML Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$30.0$24.6-18%
2021$24.6$24.8+0.8%
2022$24.8$20.3-18%
2023$20.3$22.0+8.4%
2024$22.0$26.6+21%
2025$26.6$20.5-23%
2026 YTD$20.5$30.8+51%

EML has the edge over CAT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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