CAT

Caterpillar Inc.

66
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential83/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

CAT's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 24x earnings, above its usual 18x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

EMBJ

Embraer S.A.

There isn't enough reported data to score EMBJ yet.

CAT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

EMBJ Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Healthy
Unavailable
Strong

EMBJ's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue and cash flow.

CAT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$380-37%
Fair18x$461-24%
Forward20x$605โ€”
Current24x$605โ€”
Expensive33x$840+39%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CAT has the edge over EMBJ in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

EMBJ PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x86x129x172x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x86x129x172x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap29x$14.00-82%
Fair33x$16.04-80%
Expensive41x$19.86-75%
Current166x$79.48โ€”

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EMBJ's PE is 166x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

CAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CAT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

EMBJ Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Decline
Growth
--
Limited
--

Analysts expect EMBJ's revenue to grow, but its earnings to decline.

CAT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$918.83
Downside-11%$541.24

Calculated from the latest close: $605.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CAT and EMBJ's risk to reward.

EMBJ Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $79.48 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CAT and EMBJ's risk to reward.

CAT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $29.73
Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $29.73
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$29.73+17%
Q3 2026$25.48+31%
Q2 2026$23.23+18%
Q1 2026$20.08-2%
Q4 2025$18.81-15%
Q3 2025$19.46-9.7%
Q2 2025$19.64-10%
Q1 2025$20.50-7.4%
Q4 2024$22.05+9.6%

CAT earned $25.48 per share over the past year, up 31% from the year before.

EMBJ Earnings Per Share

Q4 2016: $0.54Q4 2017: $0.34Q4 2018: $-0.24Q4 2019: $-0.44Q4 2020: $-0.99Q4 2021: $-0.06Q4 2022: $-0.25Q4 2023: $0.22Q4 2024: $0.48Q4 2025: $0.48
Q4 2016: $0.54Q4 2017: $0.34Q4 2018: $-0.24Q4 2019: $-0.44Q4 2020: $-0.99Q4 2021: $-0.06Q4 2022: $-0.25Q4 2023: $0.22Q4 2024: $0.48Q4 2025: $0.48
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q4 2025$0.480%
Q4 2024$0.48+118%
Q4 2023$0.22+$0.47
Q4 2022-$0.25-$0.19
Q4 2021-$0.06+$0.93
Q4 2020-$0.99-$0.55
Q4 2019-$0.44-$0.20
Q4 2018-$0.24-171%

EMBJ has the edge over CAT in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

CAT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.7B+17%
Q2 2026$20.5B+24%
Q1 2026$17.4B+22%
Q4 2025$19.1B+18%
Q3 2025$17.6B+9.5%
Q2 2025$16.6B-0.7%
Q1 2025$14.2B-9.8%
Q4 2024$16.2B-5%

CAT's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $20.7B last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

EMBJ Quarterly Revenue

Q2 2016: $793MQ3 2016: $878MQ4 2016: $1.2BQ4 2017: $5.8BQ4 2018: $5.1BQ4 2019: $2.6BQ4 2020: $3.8BQ4 2021: $4.2BQ4 2022: $4.5BQ4 2023: $5.3BQ4 2024: $6.4BQ4 2025: $7.6B
Q2 2016: $793MQ3 2016: $878MQ4 2016: $1.2BQ4 2017: $5.8BQ4 2018: $5.1BQ4 2019: $2.6BQ4 2020: $3.8BQ4 2021: $4.2BQ4 2022: $4.5BQ4 2023: $5.3BQ4 2024: $6.4BQ4 2025: $7.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q4 2025$7.6B+18%
Q4 2024$6.4B+21%
Q4 2023$5.3B+16%
Q4 2022$4.5B+8.2%
Q4 2021$4.2B+11%
Q4 2020$3.8B+44%
Q4 2019$2.6B-48%
Q4 2018$5.1B-13%

EMBJ has the edge over CAT in the latest year-over-year revenue comparison.

CAT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+19%
Q2 2026$3.8B+47%
Q1 2026$1.1B+97%
Q4 2025$2.7B+0.1%
Q3 2025$3.1B-1.5%
Q2 2025$2.6B-4.2%
Q1 2025$579M-63%
Q4 2024$2.7B-22%

CAT generated $11.3B in free cash flow over the past year, up 26% from the year before.

EMBJ Free Cash Flow

Q2 2016: $0Q3 2016: $48MQ4 2016: $96MQ4 2017: $520MQ4 2018: $953MQ4 2019: $609MQ4 2020: โˆ’$1.4BQ4 2021: $414MQ4 2022: $615MQ4 2023: $378MQ4 2024: $671MQ4 2025: $683M
Q2 2016: $0Q3 2016: $48MQ4 2016: $96MQ4 2017: $520MQ4 2018: $953MQ4 2019: $609MQ4 2020: โˆ’$1.4BQ4 2021: $414MQ4 2022: $615MQ4 2023: $378MQ4 2024: $671MQ4 2025: $683M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q4 2025$682.8M+1.8%
Q4 2024$670.8M+77%
Q4 2023$378.3M-38%
Q4 2022$615.1M+49%
Q4 2021$413.6M+$1.8B
Q4 2020-$1.4B-329%
Q4 2019$609.3M-36%
Q4 2018$953.3M+83%

EMBJ generated $2.3B in free cash flow over the past year, about four times what it generated the year before.

CAT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-1.6M shares
1 year-2.1%-9.9M shares
3 years-10%-51.7M shares
5 years-16%-86.7M shares
Available history-19%-107M shares

CAT has the edge over EMBJ on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

EMBJ Total Shares

Q2 2016: 183MQ3 2016: 183MQ4 2016: 184MQ4 2017: 735MQ4 2018: 734MQ4 2019: 736MQ4 2020: 736MQ4 2021: 735MQ4 2024: 735MQ4 2025: 732M
Q2 2016: 183MQ3 2016: 183MQ4 2016: 184MQ4 2017: 735MQ4 2018: 734MQ4 2019: 736MQ4 2020: 736MQ4 2021: 735MQ4 2024: 735MQ4 2025: 732M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-2.2M shares
1 year-0.5%-3.4M shares

EMBJ has 732M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

CAT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

CAT has more cash than debt.

EMBJ Net Leverage

Q4 2017: -1.4xQ4 2018: -3.1x
Q4 2017: -1.4xQ4 2018: -3.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2018-3.1xNet Cash
Q4 2017-1.4xNet Cash

EMBJ has more cash than debt.

CAT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.7Neutral
Stochastic6.7Oversold

CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

EMBJ Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI63.8Neutral
Stochastic62.6Neutral

EMBJ's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 63 (neutral).

CAT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCATSector medianRelative
PE24x24x1.1% below
PE %695811 pts above

CAT has the edge over EMBJ on valuation relative to its sector.

EMBJ PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricEMBJSector medianRelative
PE166x24x589% above
PE %1005842 pts above

EMBJ is trading at 166x earnings, a 589% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x, though its earnings don't support one.

CAT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$709.015% below
20 week MA$797.024% below
50 week MA$771.322% below
100 week MA$586.73.2% above
200 week MA$443.137% above

CAT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 37% above its 200-week average.

EMBJ Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$74.46.8% above
20 week MA$72.210% above
50 week MA$67.418% above
100 week MA$59.234% above
200 week MA$40.596% above

EMBJ has the edge over CAT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CAT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$148.3$179.6+21%
2021$179.6$206.2+15%
2022$206.2$239.9+16%
2023$239.9$295.7+23%
2024$295.7$364.9+23%
2025$364.9$583.0+60%
2026 YTD$583.0$605.3+3.8%

CAT has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 3.8% so far in 2026.

EMBJ Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$19.4$6.52-66%
2021$6.52$17.2+163%
2022$17.2$11.0-36%
2023$11.0$18.5+68%
2024$18.5$36.5+98%
2025$36.5$64.4+77%
2026 YTD$64.4$79.5+23%

EMBJ has the edge over CAT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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