CAT
Caterpillar Inc.
CAT has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
ELVA
Electrovaya Inc.
ELVA has a slight edge over CAT overall, supported by stronger valuation.
CAT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
ELVA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Under pressure |
ELVA's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.
CAT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 15x | $380 | -37% |
| Fair | 18x | $461 | -24% |
| Forward | 20x | $605 | — |
| Current | 24x | $605 | — |
| Expensive | 33x | $840 | +39% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CAT's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
ELVA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $4.75 | — |
| Current | 49x | $4.75 | — |
| Cheap | 58x | $5.81 | +22% |
| Fair | 88x | $8.77 | +85% |
| Expensive | 196x | $19.62 | +313% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ELVA has the edge over CAT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
CAT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CAT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ELVA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ELVA, with profitability improving.
CAT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $30.32 | +19% |
| Q3 2026 | $25.48 | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.23 | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.08 | -2% |
| Q4 2025 | $18.81 | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $19.46 | -9.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.64 | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.50 | -7.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $22.05 | +9.6% |
CAT earned $25.48 per share over the past year, up 31% from the year before.
ELVA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.19 | +93% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.10 | +233% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.11 | +$0.11 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.11 | +$0.16 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.08 | +$0.12 |
| Q2 2025 | $0.03 | 0% |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.00 | -100% |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.05 | -267% |
| Q3 2024 | -$0.04 | +$0.04 |
ELVA has the edge over CAT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
CAT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.7B | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $20.5B | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.4B | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.1B | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.6B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.6B | -0.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.2B | -9.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | -5% |
CAT's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $20.7B last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 21% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 14% | -4.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | -2.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | -4.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | -0.3 points |
CAT has the edge over ELVA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ELVA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $17.3M | +0.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.8M | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.6M | +39% |
| Q3 2025 | $20.3M | +75% |
| Q2 2025 | $17.1M | +67% |
| Q1 2025 | $15M | +40% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.2M | -7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $11.6M | -33% |
ELVA has the edge over CAT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 8.6% | -2.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 8.5% | -0.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8.8% | +11 points |
| Q3 2025 | 12% | +5.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | +17 points |
| Q1 2025 | 9.3% | +2.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | -1.7% | -0.9 points |
| Q3 2024 | 6.1% | -20 points |
ELVA's operating margin was 8.6% last quarter, down 2.8 points from the same quarter a year ago.
CAT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.8B | +47% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +97% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.7B | +0.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.1B | -1.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | -4.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $579M | -63% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.7B | -22% |
CAT has the edge over ELVA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
ELVA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$14.2M | -$10.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$22.1M | -$16.8M |
| Q4 2025 | -$14.2M | -$13.9M |
| Q3 2025 | $6.4M | +2053% |
| Q2 2025 | -$4.1M | -$3.9M |
| Q1 2025 | -$5.4M | -$4.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$287K | -167% |
| Q3 2024 | $298K | -91% |
ELVA has burned cash in most quarters: −$44M over the past year, against −$9M the year before.
CAT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -1.6M shares |
| 1 year | -2.1% | -9.9M shares |
| 3 years | -10% | -51.7M shares |
| 5 years | -16% | -86.7M shares |
| Available history | -19% | -107M shares |
CAT has the edge over ELVA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B |
| Q1 2026 | $5B |
| Q4 2025 | $340M |
| Q3 2025 | $362M |
| Q2 2025 | $828M |
| Q1 2025 | $3.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $640M |
CAT spent $8.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 47% from the year before.
ELVA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.6% | +838K shares |
| 1 year | +16% | +7.1M shares |
| 3 years | +59% | +19.5M shares |
| 5 years | +84% | +24M shares |
| Available history | +141% | +30.7M shares |
ELVA has 52M diluted shares, up 16% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
ELVA hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
CAT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 1.6x | Healthy |
CAT has the edge over ELVA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
ELVA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 2.0x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 3.7x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q3 2024 | 6.4x | High |
ELVA's net debt is about 3.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.7 years a year ago.
CAT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.7 | Oversold |
CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
ELVA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.2 | Oversold |
ELVA's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
CAT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | CAT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 24x | 1.3% below |
| PE % | 69 | 58 | 11 pts above |
CAT has the edge over ELVA on valuation relative to its sector.
ELVA PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | ELVA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 49x | 24x | 105% above |
| PE % | 6 | 58 | 52 pts below |
ELVA is trading at 49x earnings, a 105% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
CAT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $709.0 | 15% below |
| 20 week MA | $797.0 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $771.3 | 22% below |
| 100 week MA | $586.7 | 3.2% above |
| 200 week MA | $443.1 | 37% above |
CAT has the edge over ELVA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
ELVA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $5.49 | 13% below |
| 20 week MA | $6.96 | 32% below |
| 50 week MA | $8.09 | 41% below |
| 100 week MA | $5.96 | 20% below |
| 200 week MA | $4.60 | 3.3% above |
ELVA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 3.3% above its 200-week average.
CAT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $148.3 | $179.6 | +21% |
| 2021 | $179.6 | $206.2 | +15% |
| 2022 | $206.2 | $239.9 | +16% |
| 2023 | $239.9 | $295.7 | +23% |
| 2024 | $295.7 | $364.9 | +23% |
| 2025 | $364.9 | $583.0 | +60% |
| 2026 YTD | $583.0 | $605.3 | +3.8% |
CAT has the edge over ELVA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
ELVA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $0.65 | $6.30 | +869% |
| 2021 | $6.30 | $3.75 | -40% |
| 2022 | $3.75 | $4.00 | +6.7% |
| 2023 | $4.00 | $3.06 | -24% |
| 2024 | $3.06 | $2.45 | -20% |
| 2025 | $2.45 | $7.98 | +226% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.98 | $4.75 | -40% |
ELVA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +869% in 2020 to −40% in 2021. It's down 40% so far in 2026.