CAT

Caterpillar Inc.

66
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential83/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

CAT has the edge over ELMT overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

ELMT

Elmet Group Co.

52
Fundamentals41/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential44/ 100

ELMT offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

CAT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ELMT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Strong

ELMT's revenue and balance sheet are currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

CAT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$380-37%
Fair18x$461-24%
Forward20x$605—
Current24x$605—
Expensive33x$840+39%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CAT's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

ELMT PE Valuation

ELMT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CAT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ELMT Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for ELMT to show an outlook.

CAT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$918.83
Downside-11%$541.24

Calculated from the latest close: $605.28 on Nov 12.

CAT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ELMT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ELMT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+81%$36.14
Downside-44%$11.13

Calculated from the latest close: $19.99 on Nov 12.

ELMT trails CAT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CAT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$30.32+19%
Q3 2026$25.48+31%
Q2 2026$23.23+18%
Q1 2026$20.08-2%
Q4 2025$18.81-15%
Q3 2025$19.46-9.7%
Q2 2025$19.64-10%
Q1 2025$20.50-7.4%
Q4 2024$22.05+9.6%

CAT earned $25.48 per share over the past year, up 31% from the year before.

ELMT Earnings Per Share

ELMT and CAT do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

CAT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.7B+17%
Q2 2026$20.5B+24%
Q1 2026$17.4B+22%
Q4 2025$19.1B+18%
Q3 2025$17.6B+9.5%
Q2 2025$16.6B-0.7%
Q1 2025$14.2B-9.8%
Q4 2024$16.2B-5%

CAT's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $20.7B last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

ELMT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2024: $47MQ1 2025: $46MQ2 2025: $49MQ3 2025: $51MQ4 2025: $55MQ2 2026: $56MQ3 2026: $66MQ4 2026: $80M
Q4 2024: $47MQ1 2025: $46MQ2 2025: $49MQ3 2025: $51MQ4 2025: $55MQ2 2026: $56MQ3 2026: $66MQ4 2026: $80M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$79.6M+56%
Q2 2026$66.4M+35%
Q1 2026$56M+21%
Q4 2025$55M+17%

ELMT has the edge over CAT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

CAT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+19%
Q2 2026$3.8B+47%
Q1 2026$1.1B+97%
Q4 2025$2.7B+0.1%
Q3 2025$3.1B-1.5%
Q2 2025$2.6B-4.2%
Q1 2025$579M-63%
Q4 2024$2.7B-22%

CAT has the edge over ELMT on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ELMT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: −$892,000Q3 2025: −$9MQ4 2025: $8MQ2 2026: $5MQ3 2026: −$15MQ4 2026: −$55M
Q4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: −$892,000Q3 2025: −$9MQ4 2025: $8MQ2 2026: $5MQ3 2026: −$15MQ4 2026: −$55M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$54.8M-$45.7M
Q2 2026-$15.3M-$14.4M
Q1 2026$4.6M+78%
Q4 2025$7.8M+81%

ELMT's free cash flow was −$58M over the past year, against −$3M the year before.

CAT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-1.6M shares
1 year-2.1%-9.9M shares
3 years-10%-51.7M shares
5 years-16%-86.7M shares
Available history-19%-107M shares

CAT has the edge over ELMT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ELMT Total Shares

Q1 2025: 30MQ2 2025: 29MQ3 2025: 30MQ2 2026: 20MQ3 2026: 28MQ4 2026: 32M
Q1 2025: 30MQ2 2025: 29MQ3 2025: 30MQ2 2026: 20MQ3 2026: 28MQ4 2026: 32M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+14%+3.9M shares
1 year+9.6%+2.8M shares

ELMT has 32M diluted shares, up 9.6% from a year ago.

CAT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

CAT has more cash than debt.

ELMT Net Leverage

Q3 2025: 3.8xQ4 2025: -7.1xQ2 2026: 6.2xQ4 2026: -24.2x
Q3 2025: 3.8xQ4 2025: -7.1xQ2 2026: 6.2xQ4 2026: -24.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-24.2xNet Cash
Q1 20266.2xHigh
Q4 2025-7.1xNet Cash
Q3 20253.8xElevated

ELMT has the edge over CAT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

CAT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.7Neutral
Stochastic6.7Oversold

CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

ELMT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.1Neutral
Stochastic59.5Neutral

ELMT's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 59 (neutral).

CAT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCATSector medianRelative
PE24x24x1.3% below
PE %695811 pts above

CAT is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

ELMT PE vs Industrials Sector

ELMT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CAT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$709.015% below
20 week MA$797.024% below
50 week MA$771.322% below
100 week MA$586.73.2% above
200 week MA$443.137% above

ELMT has stronger trend alignment. CAT is above 2 of 5 weekly averages versus ELMT above 1 of 2.

ELMT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.83.8% below
20 week MA$18.57.9% above

ELMT's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 7.9% above its 20-week average.

CAT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$148.3$179.6+21%
2021$179.6$206.2+15%
2022$206.2$239.9+16%
2023$239.9$295.7+23%
2024$295.7$364.9+23%
2025$364.9$583.0+60%
2026 YTD$583.0$605.3+3.8%

CAT has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 3.8% so far in 2026.

ELMT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2026 YTD$17.0$20.0+18%

ELMT has the edge over CAT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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