CAT

Caterpillar Inc.

66
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential83/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

CAT's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 24x earnings, above its usual 18x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

DSX

Diana Shipping Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score DSX yet.

CAT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

DSX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Strong
Unavailable
Weak

DSX's profitability is currently strong, but its balance sheet is weak. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue and cash flow.

CAT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$380-37%
Fair18x$461-24%
Forward20x$605โ€”
Current24x$605โ€”
Expensive33x$840+39%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CAT's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

DSX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x25x37x50x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x25x37x50x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap3.1x$1.48-39%
Forward4.2x$2.43โ€”
Current5.1x$2.43โ€”
Fair9.5x$4.56+88%
Expensive29x$13.88+471%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DSX has the edge over CAT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CAT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

DSX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for DSX, with profitability improving.

CAT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$918.83
Downside-11%$541.24

Calculated from the latest close: $605.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CAT and DSX's risk to reward.

DSX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $2.43 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CAT and DSX's risk to reward.

CAT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$30.32+19%
Q3 2026$25.48+31%
Q2 2026$23.23+18%
Q1 2026$20.08-2%
Q4 2025$18.81-15%
Q3 2025$19.46-9.7%
Q2 2025$19.64-10%
Q1 2025$20.50-7.4%
Q4 2024$22.05+9.6%

CAT earned $25.48 per share over the past year, up 31% from the year before.

DSX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2020: $-1.62Q4 2021: $0.60Q2 2022: $1.35Q4 2022: $1.36Q2 2023: $0.93Q4 2023: $0.42Q2 2024: $0.09Q4 2024: $0.05Q2 2025: $0.12Q4 2025: $0.11Q2 2026: $0.48Forward: $0.59
Q4 2020: $-1.62Q4 2021: $0.60Q2 2022: $1.35Q4 2022: $1.36Q2 2023: $0.93Q4 2023: $0.42Q2 2024: $0.09Q4 2024: $0.05Q2 2025: $0.12Q4 2025: $0.11Q2 2026: $0.48Forward: $0.59
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.59+22%
Q2 2026$0.48+300%
Q4 2025$0.11+120%
Q2 2025$0.12+33%
Q4 2024$0.05-88%
Q2 2024$0.09-90%
Q4 2023$0.42-69%
Q2 2023$0.93-31%
Q4 2022$1.36+127%

DSX has the edge over CAT in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

CAT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.7B+17%
Q2 2026$20.5B+24%
Q1 2026$17.4B+22%
Q4 2025$19.1B+18%
Q3 2025$17.6B+9.5%
Q2 2025$16.6B-0.7%
Q1 2025$14.2B-9.8%
Q4 2024$16.2B-5%

CAT has the edge over DSX in the latest year-over-year revenue comparison.

DSX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2020: $170MQ2 2021: $88MQ4 2021: $126MQ2 2022: $140MQ4 2022: $150MQ2 2023: $140MQ4 2023: $122MQ2 2024: $114MQ4 2024: $115MQ2 2025: $110MQ4 2025: $104MQ2 2026: $112M
Q4 2020: $170MQ2 2021: $88MQ4 2021: $126MQ2 2022: $140MQ4 2022: $150MQ2 2023: $140MQ4 2023: $122MQ2 2024: $114MQ4 2024: $115MQ2 2025: $110MQ4 2025: $104MQ2 2026: $112M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$112M+2.2%
Q4 2025$103.9M-9.3%
Q2 2025$109.6M-3.5%
Q4 2024$114.6M-6.2%
Q2 2024$113.6M-19%
Q4 2023$122.1M-18%
Q2 2023$140M-0.3%
Q4 2022$149.5M+19%

DSX's revenue has slid since its 2018 peak: $112M last quarter, down 1.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

CAT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+19%
Q2 2026$3.8B+47%
Q1 2026$1.1B+97%
Q4 2025$2.7B+0.1%
Q3 2025$3.1B-1.5%
Q2 2025$2.6B-4.2%
Q1 2025$579M-63%
Q4 2024$2.7B-22%

CAT generated $11.3B in free cash flow over the past year, up 26% from the year before.

DSX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2020: $17MQ2 2021: $27MQ4 2021: $46MQ2 2022: $58MQ4 2022: โˆ’$130MQ2 2023: $23MQ4 2023: $17MQ2 2024: $46MQ4 2024: $33MQ2 2025: $25MQ4 2025: $21MQ2 2026: $36M
Q4 2020: $17MQ2 2021: $27MQ4 2021: $46MQ2 2022: $58MQ4 2022: โˆ’$130MQ2 2023: $23MQ4 2023: $17MQ2 2024: $46MQ4 2024: $33MQ2 2025: $25MQ4 2025: $21MQ2 2026: $36M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$36M+44%
Q4 2025$20.9M-38%
Q2 2025$25M-46%
Q4 2024$33.4M+94%
Q2 2024$46.4M+98%
Q4 2023$17.2M+$146.8M
Q2 2023$23.4M-60%
Q4 2022-$129.5M-384%

DSX's free cash flow has turned positive again: $115M over the past year, against โˆ’$42M the year before.

CAT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-1.6M shares
1 year-2.1%-9.9M shares
3 years-10%-51.7M shares
5 years-16%-86.7M shares
Available history-19%-107M shares

CAT has the edge over DSX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

DSX Total Shares

Q4 2020: 86MQ2 2021: 83MQ4 2021: 85MQ2 2022: 80MQ4 2022: 83MQ2 2023: 100MQ4 2023: 102MQ2 2024: 113MQ4 2024: 119MQ2 2025: 110MQ4 2025: 110MQ2 2026: 114M
Q4 2020: 86MQ2 2021: 83MQ4 2021: 85MQ2 2022: 80MQ4 2022: 83MQ2 2023: 100MQ4 2023: 102MQ2 2024: 113MQ4 2024: 119MQ2 2025: 110MQ4 2025: 110MQ2 2026: 114M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.8%+3.1M shares
1 year+0.7%+766K shares
3 years+19%+18.4M shares
5 years+40%+32.5M shares

DSX has 114M diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

CAT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

CAT has the edge over DSX on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

DSX Net Leverage

Q4 2021: 3.0xQ2 2022: 2.1xQ4 2022: 2.4xQ2 2023: 2.4xQ4 2023: 3.0xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 3.8xQ2 2025: 4.2xQ4 2025: 5.3xQ2 2026: 5.0x
Q4 2021: 3.0xQ2 2022: 2.1xQ4 2022: 2.4xQ2 2023: 2.4xQ4 2023: 3.0xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 3.8xQ2 2025: 4.2xQ4 2025: 5.3xQ2 2026: 5.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20265.0xHigh
Q4 20255.3xHigh
Q2 20254.2xHigh
Q4 20243.8xElevated
Q2 20243.6xElevated
Q4 20233.0xElevated
Q2 20232.4xModerate
Q4 20222.4xModerate

DSX's net debt is about 5.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.6 years a year ago.

CAT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.7Neutral
Stochastic6.7Oversold

CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

DSX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.0Neutral
Stochastic18.5Oversold

DSX's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

CAT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCATSector medianRelative
PE24x24x1.3% below
PE %695811 pts above

CAT is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

DSX PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricDSXSector medianRelative
PE5.1x24x79% below
PE %325826 pts below

DSX has the edge over CAT on valuation relative to its sector.

CAT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$709.015% below
20 week MA$797.024% below
50 week MA$771.322% below
100 week MA$586.73.2% above
200 week MA$443.137% above

CAT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 37% above its 200-week average.

DSX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.606.5% below
20 week MA$2.565.1% below
50 week MA$2.391.7% above
100 week MA$2.0320% above
200 week MA$2.616.9% below

DSX's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 6.9% below its 200-week average.

CAT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$148.3$179.6+21%
2021$179.6$206.2+15%
2022$206.2$239.9+16%
2023$239.9$295.7+23%
2024$295.7$364.9+23%
2025$364.9$583.0+60%
2026 YTD$583.0$605.3+3.8%

CAT has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 3.8% so far in 2026.

DSX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$3.08$1.90-38%
2021$1.90$3.94+107%
2022$3.94$3.99+1.3%
2023$3.99$2.97-26%
2024$2.97$1.87-37%
2025$1.87$1.70-9.1%
2026 YTD$1.70$2.43+43%

DSX has the edge over CAT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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