CAT
Caterpillar Inc.
CAT has the edge over DSGR overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
DSGR
Distribution Solutions Group, Inc.
DSGR's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
CAT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
DSGR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak |
DSGR's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.
CAT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 15x | $380 | -37% |
| Fair | 18x | $461 | -24% |
| Forward | 20x | $605 | — |
| Current | 24x | $605 | — |
| Expensive | 33x | $840 | +39% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CAT has the edge over DSGR in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
DSGR PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 28x | $6.74 | -81% |
| Forward | 39x | $35.04 | — |
| Fair | 45x | $10.73 | -69% |
| Current | 146x | $35.04 | — |
| Expensive | 240x | $57.69 | +65% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
DSGR's PE is in its expensive range at 146x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 39x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
CAT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
CAT has the edge over DSGR on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
DSGR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for DSGR, with profitability holding steady.
CAT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $29.73 | +17% |
| Q3 2026 | $25.48 | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.23 | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.08 | -2% |
| Q4 2025 | $18.81 | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $19.46 | -9.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.64 | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.50 | -7.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $22.05 | +9.6% |
CAT earned $25.48 per share over the past year, up 31% from the year before.
DSGR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.91 | +279% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.24 | +$0.47 |
| Q2 2026 | $0.19 | +111% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.12 | +500% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.18 | +$0.34 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.23 | -2400% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.09 | +$0.57 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.02 | +$0.47 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.16 | +$0.04 |
DSGR has the edge over CAT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
CAT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.7B | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $20.5B | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.4B | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.1B | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.6B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.6B | -0.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.2B | -9.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | -5% |
CAT's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $20.7B last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 21% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 14% | -4.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | -2.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | -4.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | -0.3 points |
CAT has the edge over DSGR on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
DSGR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $573.6M | +11% |
| Q2 2026 | $557.7M | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $496M | +3.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $481.6M | +0.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $518M | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $502.4M | +14% |
| Q1 2025 | $478M | +15% |
| Q4 2024 | $480.5M | +19% |
DSGR's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $574M last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.4% | -0.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 5% | -0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 2.8% | -1.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 1.6% | -2.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 4.6% | +0.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5.3% | +2.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 4.2% | +3.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 4.2% | +4.3 points |
DSGR's operating margin was 4.4% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
CAT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.8B | +47% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +97% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.7B | +0.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.1B | -1.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | -4.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $579M | -63% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.7B | -22% |
CAT has the edge over DSGR on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
DSGR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $16.4M | -50% |
| Q2 2026 | $16.4M | -43% |
| Q1 2026 | -$23.7M | -$13.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $11.7M | -71% |
| Q3 2025 | $32.9M | +$53.4M |
| Q2 2025 | $28.7M | +59% |
| Q1 2025 | -$10.4M | -350% |
| Q4 2024 | $41.1M | +71% |
DSGR still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2023 peak: $21M over the past year.
CAT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -1.6M shares |
| 1 year | -2.1% | -9.9M shares |
| 3 years | -10% | -51.7M shares |
| 5 years | -16% | -86.7M shares |
| Available history | -19% | -107M shares |
CAT has the edge over DSGR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B |
| Q1 2026 | $5B |
| Q4 2025 | $340M |
| Q3 2025 | $362M |
| Q2 2025 | $828M |
| Q1 2025 | $3.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $640M |
CAT spent $8.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 47% from the year before.
DSGR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.4% | +655K shares |
| 1 year | +0.1% | +27.4K shares |
| 3 years | +0.7% | +350K shares |
| 5 years | +152% | +28.4M shares |
| Available history | +151% | +28.3M shares |
DSGR has 47M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | $3.5M |
| Q3 2025 | $4,000 |
| Q2 2025 | $9.1M |
| Q1 2025 | $11.2M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | $897,000 |
| Q4 2023 | $3.6M |
| Q4 2022 | — |
CAT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 1.6x | Healthy |
CAT has the edge over DSGR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
DSGR Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.5x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 4.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 4.5x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 4.0x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 3.7x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 4.1x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 4.6x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 5.1x | High |
DSGR's net debt is about 4.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.7 years a year ago.
CAT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.7 | Oversold |
CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
DSGR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 69.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 59.6 | Neutral |
DSGR's weekly RSI is 69 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).
CAT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | CAT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 24x | 1.1% below |
| PE % | 69 | 58 | 11 pts above |
CAT has the edge over DSGR on valuation relative to its sector.
DSGR PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | DSGR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 146x | 24x | 508% above |
| PE % | 69 | 58 | 11 pts above |
DSGR is trading at 146x earnings, a 508% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
CAT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $709.0 | 15% below |
| 20 week MA | $797.0 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $771.3 | 22% below |
| 100 week MA | $586.7 | 3.2% above |
| 200 week MA | $443.1 | 37% above |
CAT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 37% above its 200-week average.
DSGR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $35.0 | 0.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $34.1 | 2.8% above |
| 50 week MA | $30.3 | 16% above |
| 100 week MA | $29.8 | 17% above |
| 200 week MA | $29.8 | 18% above |
DSGR has the edge over CAT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
CAT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $148.3 | $179.6 | +21% |
| 2021 | $179.6 | $206.2 | +15% |
| 2022 | $206.2 | $239.9 | +16% |
| 2023 | $239.9 | $295.7 | +23% |
| 2024 | $295.7 | $364.9 | +23% |
| 2025 | $364.9 | $583.0 | +60% |
| 2026 YTD | $583.0 | $605.3 | +3.8% |
CAT has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 3.8% so far in 2026.
DSGR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $26.1 | $26.3 | +0.5% |
| 2021 | $26.3 | $24.0 | -8.5% |
| 2022 | $24.0 | $17.9 | -25% |
| 2023 | $17.9 | $31.6 | +76% |
| 2024 | $31.6 | $34.7 | +10% |
| 2025 | $34.7 | $28.7 | -17% |
| 2026 YTD | $28.7 | $35.0 | +22% |
DSGR has the edge over CAT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.