CAT

Caterpillar Inc.

66
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential83/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

CAT's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 24x earnings, above its usual 18x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

DFSC

DEFSEC Technologies Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score DFSC yet.

CAT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

DFSC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

DFSC's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CAT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$380-37%
Fair18x$461-24%
Forward20x$605—
Current24x$605—
Expensive33x$840+39%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CAT's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

DFSC PE Valuation

DFSC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CAT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

DFSC Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for DFSC to show an outlook.

CAT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$918.83
Downside-11%$541.24

Calculated from the latest close: $605.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CAT and DFSC's risk to reward.

DFSC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $0.46 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CAT and DFSC's risk to reward.

CAT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $29.73
Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $29.73
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$29.73+17%
Q3 2026$25.48+31%
Q2 2026$23.23+18%
Q1 2026$20.08-2%
Q4 2025$18.81-15%
Q3 2025$19.46-9.7%
Q2 2025$19.64-10%
Q1 2025$20.50-7.4%
Q4 2024$22.05+9.6%

CAT has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 31% for CAT versus DFSC down 102%.

DFSC Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-220.06Q4 2023: $-230.55Q1 2024: $-277.48Q2 2024: $-177.09Q3 2025: $-25.16Q4 2025: $-9.31Q1 2026: $-5.69Q2 2026: $-4.00
Q3 2023: $-220.06Q4 2023: $-230.55Q1 2024: $-277.48Q2 2024: $-177.09Q3 2025: $-25.16Q4 2025: $-9.31Q1 2026: $-5.69Q2 2026: $-4.00
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2024-$177.09-$14.69
Q1 2024-$277.48-$234.67
Q4 2023-$230.55-$230.55
Q3 2023-$220.06-$220.06
Q2 2023-$162.40-$162.40

DFSC is still losing money, but far less than before: $4.00 per share over the past year, against $277.48 at its worst in early 2024.

CAT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.7B+17%
Q2 2026$20.5B+24%
Q1 2026$17.4B+22%
Q4 2025$19.1B+18%
Q3 2025$17.6B+9.5%
Q2 2025$16.6B-0.7%
Q1 2025$14.2B-9.8%
Q4 2024$16.2B-5%

CAT's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $20.7B last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

DFSC Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $425,650Q4 2023: $90,739Q1 2024: $341,580Q2 2024: $231,634Q3 2024: $393,645Q4 2024: $624,057Q1 2025: $888,753Q2 2025: $996,557Q3 2025: $965,483Q4 2025: $919,387Q1 2026: $1MQ2 2026: $2M
Q3 2023: $425,650Q4 2023: $90,739Q1 2024: $341,580Q2 2024: $231,634Q3 2024: $393,645Q4 2024: $624,057Q1 2025: $888,753Q2 2025: $996,557Q3 2025: $965,483Q4 2025: $919,387Q1 2026: $1MQ2 2026: $2M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$1.9M+92%
Q1 2026$1.5M+68%
Q4 2025$919.4K+47%
Q3 2025$965.5K+145%
Q2 2025$996.6K+330%
Q1 2025$888.8K+160%
Q4 2024$624.1K+588%
Q3 2024$393.6K-7.5%

DFSC has the edge over CAT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CAT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+19%
Q2 2026$3.8B+47%
Q1 2026$1.1B+97%
Q4 2025$2.7B+0.1%
Q3 2025$3.1B-1.5%
Q2 2025$2.6B-4.2%
Q1 2025$579M-63%
Q4 2024$2.7B-22%

CAT has the edge over DFSC on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

DFSC Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: −$1MQ3 2024: −$2MQ4 2024: −$2MQ1 2025: −$1MQ2 2025: −$1MQ3 2025: −$980,489Q4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: −$1MQ2 2026: −$1M
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: −$1MQ3 2024: −$2MQ4 2024: −$2MQ1 2025: −$1MQ2 2025: −$1MQ3 2025: −$980,489Q4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: −$1MQ2 2026: −$1M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$1.1M+$161.6K
Q1 2026-$1.3M-$208.3K
Q4 2025-$2.2M+$108.1K
Q3 2025-$980.5K+$566.4K
Q2 2025-$1.3M+$73K
Q1 2025-$1.1M+$377.3K

DFSC has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$6M over the past year, against −$6M the year before.

CAT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-1.6M shares
1 year-2.1%-9.9M shares
3 years-10%-51.7M shares
5 years-16%-86.7M shares
Available history-19%-107M shares

CAT has the edge over DFSC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

DFSC Total Shares

Q3 2023: 29,546Q4 2023: 26,747Q1 2024: 27,732Q2 2024: 41,921Q4 2024: 144,388Q1 2025: 237,038Q2 2025: 625,323Q3 2025: 1MQ4 2025: 1MQ1 2026: 2MQ2 2026: 2M
Q3 2023: 29,546Q4 2023: 26,747Q1 2024: 27,732Q2 2024: 41,921Q4 2024: 144,388Q1 2025: 237,038Q2 2025: 625,323Q3 2025: 1MQ4 2025: 1MQ1 2026: 2MQ2 2026: 2M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.5%+29.6K shares
1 year+224%+1.4M shares
3 years+9846%+2M shares

DFSC has 2M diluted shares, up 224% from a year ago.

CAT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

CAT has more cash than debt.

DFSC Net Leverage

DFSC's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CAT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.7Neutral
Stochastic6.7Oversold

CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

DFSC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.5Neutral
Stochastic1.4Oversold

DFSC's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 1 (oversold).

CAT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCATSector medianRelative
PE24x24x1.1% below
PE %695811 pts above

CAT is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

DFSC PE vs Industrials Sector

DFSC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CAT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$709.015% below
20 week MA$797.024% below
50 week MA$771.322% below
100 week MA$586.73.2% above
200 week MA$443.137% above

CAT has stronger trend alignment. CAT is above 2 of 5 weekly averages versus DFSC above 0 of 4.

DFSC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.7841% below
20 week MA$1.3466% below
50 week MA$2.1278% below
100 week MA$4.5090% below

DFSC is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 100-week average.

CAT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$148.3$179.6+21%
2021$179.6$206.2+15%
2022$206.2$239.9+16%
2023$239.9$295.7+23%
2024$295.7$364.9+23%
2025$364.9$583.0+60%
2026 YTD$583.0$605.3+3.8%

CAT has the edge over DFSC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

DFSC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$145.8$14.5-90%
2025$14.5$1.82-87%
2026 YTD$1.82$0.46-75%

DFSC has finished every year since 2024 lower, and it's down 75% so far in 2026.

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