CAT

Caterpillar Inc.

66
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential83/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

CAT's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 24x earnings, above its usual 18x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

DFNS

T3 Defense Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score DFNS yet.

CAT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

DFNS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Weak
Unavailable
Unavailable

DFNS's profitability is currently weak. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet.

CAT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$380-37%
Fair18x$461-24%
Forward20x$605โ€”
Current24x$605โ€”
Expensive33x$840+39%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CAT's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

DFNS PE Valuation

DFNS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CAT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

DFNS Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for DFNS to show an outlook.

CAT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$918.83
Downside-11%$541.24

Calculated from the latest close: $605.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CAT and DFNS's risk to reward.

DFNS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $2.00 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CAT and DFNS's risk to reward.

CAT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $29.73
Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $29.73
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$29.73+17%
Q3 2026$25.48+31%
Q2 2026$23.23+18%
Q1 2026$20.08-2%
Q4 2025$18.81-15%
Q3 2025$19.46-9.7%
Q2 2025$19.64-10%
Q1 2025$20.50-7.4%
Q4 2024$22.05+9.6%

CAT has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 31% for CAT versus DFNS down 3,960%.

DFNS Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-114.29Q4 2023: $-971.43Q1 2024: $-1,112.86Q2 2024: $-1,180.00Q3 2025: $-4,411.25
Q3 2023: $-114.29Q4 2023: $-971.43Q1 2024: $-1,112.86Q2 2024: $-1,180.00Q3 2025: $-4,411.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2024-$1,180.00-$1,022.86
Q1 2024-$1,112.86-$991.43
Q4 2023-$971.43-$821.43
Q3 2023-$114.29+$97.22
Q2 2023-$157.14-$23.92
Q1 2023-$121.43+$7.14
Q4 2022-$150.00-$78.57
Q3 2022-$211.51-$144.45

DFNS lost $4,411.25 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last four quarters.

CAT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.7B+17%
Q2 2026$20.5B+24%
Q1 2026$17.4B+22%
Q4 2025$19.1B+18%
Q3 2025$17.6B+9.5%
Q2 2025$16.6B-0.7%
Q1 2025$14.2B-9.8%
Q4 2024$16.2B-5%

CAT's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $20.7B last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

DFNS Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $259,757Q2 2024: $175,214Q3 2024: $236,099Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: $4M
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $259,757Q2 2024: $175,214Q3 2024: $236,099Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: $4M

DFNS has the edge over CAT in the latest year-over-year revenue comparison.

CAT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+19%
Q2 2026$3.8B+47%
Q1 2026$1.1B+97%
Q4 2025$2.7B+0.1%
Q3 2025$3.1B-1.5%
Q2 2025$2.6B-4.2%
Q1 2025$579M-63%
Q4 2024$2.7B-22%

CAT has the edge over DFNS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

DFNS Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: โˆ’$737,831Q1 2024: โˆ’$1MQ2 2024: โˆ’$740,509Q3 2024: โˆ’$1MQ4 2024: โˆ’$340,092Q1 2025: โˆ’$1MQ2 2025: โˆ’$1MQ3 2025: โˆ’$3MQ4 2025: โˆ’$1MQ1 2026: โˆ’$5MQ2 2026: โˆ’$5M
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: โˆ’$737,831Q1 2024: โˆ’$1MQ2 2024: โˆ’$740,509Q3 2024: โˆ’$1MQ4 2024: โˆ’$340,092Q1 2025: โˆ’$1MQ2 2025: โˆ’$1MQ3 2025: โˆ’$3MQ4 2025: โˆ’$1MQ1 2026: โˆ’$5MQ2 2026: โˆ’$5M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$4.9M-$3.5M
Q1 2026-$5.1M-$3.7M
Q4 2025-$1M-$670.8K
Q3 2025-$2.5M-$1.3M
Q2 2025-$1.4M-$616.5K
Q1 2025-$1.4M-$211K
Q4 2024-$340.1K+$397.7K
Q2 2024-$740.5K-$664.4K

DFNS has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$13M over the past year, against โˆ’$4M the year before.

CAT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-1.6M shares
1 year-2.1%-9.9M shares
3 years-10%-51.7M shares
5 years-16%-86.7M shares
Available history-19%-107M shares

CAT has the edge over DFNS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

DFNS Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2,680Q4 2023: 10,564Q1 2024: 14,036Q2 2024: 14,341Q4 2024: 24,754Q1 2025: 45,374Q2 2025: 44,991Q3 2025: 64,998Q4 2025: 74,000Q1 2026: 246,995Q2 2026: 480,024
Q3 2023: 2,680Q4 2023: 10,564Q1 2024: 14,036Q2 2024: 14,341Q4 2024: 24,754Q1 2025: 45,374Q2 2025: 44,991Q3 2025: 64,998Q4 2025: 74,000Q1 2026: 246,995Q2 2026: 480,024
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+94%+233K shares
1 year+967%+435K shares
3 years+17490%+477K shares
5 years+17426%+477K shares

DFNS has 480,024 diluted shares, up 967% from a year ago.

CAT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

CAT has more cash than debt.

DFNS Net Leverage

DFNS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CAT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.7Neutral
Stochastic6.7Oversold

CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

DFNS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI31.0Neutral
Stochastic0.3Oversold

DFNS's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 0 (oversold).

CAT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCATSector medianRelative
PE24x24x1.1% below
PE %695811 pts above

CAT is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

DFNS PE vs Industrials Sector

DFNS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CAT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$709.015% below
20 week MA$797.024% below
50 week MA$771.322% below
100 week MA$586.73.2% above
200 week MA$443.137% above

CAT has the edge over DFNS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

DFNS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.7158% below
20 week MA$12.183% below
50 week MA$143.199% below
100 week MA$888.6100% below
200 week MA$2,549.8100% below

DFNS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 100% below its 200-week average.

CAT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$148.3$179.6+21%
2021$179.6$206.2+15%
2022$206.2$239.9+16%
2023$239.9$295.7+23%
2024$295.7$364.9+23%
2025$364.9$583.0+60%
2026 YTD$583.0$605.3+3.8%

CAT has the edge over DFNS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

DFNS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$7,007.1$7,207.1+2.9%
2021$7,207.1$7,278.6+1%
2022$7,278.6$7,614.3+4.6%
2023$7,614.3$2,870.0-62%
2024$2,870.0$4,712.5+64%
2025$4,712.5$528.8-89%
2026 YTD$528.8$2.00-100%

DFNS is down 100% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.

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