CAT
Caterpillar Inc.
CAT has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
DELL
Dell Technologies Inc.
DELL has the edge over CAT overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
CAT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
DELL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
DELL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
CAT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 15x | $380 | -37% |
| Fair | 18x | $461 | -24% |
| Forward | 20x | $605 | — |
| Current | 24x | $605 | — |
| Expensive | 33x | $840 | +39% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CAT has the edge over DELL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
DELL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $187 | -50% |
| Forward | 12x | $371 | — |
| Fair | 18x | $313 | -16% |
| Current | 22x | $371 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $444 | +20% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
DELL's PE is in its expensive range at 22x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
CAT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CAT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
DELL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for DELL, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
CAT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $30.32 | +19% |
| Q3 2026 | $25.48 | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.23 | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.08 | -2% |
| Q4 2025 | $18.81 | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $19.46 | -9.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.64 | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.50 | -7.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $22.05 | +9.6% |
CAT earned $25.48 per share over the past year, up 31% from the year before.
DELL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $29.83 | +74% |
| Q3 2026 | $17.19 | +153% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.55 | +100% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.68 | +40% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.50 | +33% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.80 | +25% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.27 | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.22 | +43% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.65 | +55% |
DELL has the edge over CAT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
CAT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.7B | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $20.5B | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.4B | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.1B | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.6B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.6B | -0.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.2B | -9.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | -5% |
CAT's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $20.7B last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 21% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 14% | -4.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | -2.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | -4.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | -0.3 points |
CAT has the edge over DELL on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
DELL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $47B | +58% |
| Q2 2026 | $43.8B | +88% |
| Q1 2026 | $33.4B | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $27B | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $29.8B | +19% |
| Q2 2025 | $23.4B | +5.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $23.9B | +7.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $24.4B | +9.5% |
DELL has the edge over CAT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 11% | +5.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 8.3% | +3.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 9.3% | +0.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.8% | +1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 6% | +0.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5% | +0.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 9% | +2.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.8% | +0.2 points |
DELL's operating margin was 11% last quarter, up 5.5 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
CAT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.8B | +47% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +97% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.7B | +0.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.1B | -1.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | -4.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $579M | -63% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.7B | -22% |
CAT generated $11.3B in free cash flow over the past year, up 26% from the year before.
DELL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $986M | -47% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.1B | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $4B | +$4.1B |
| Q4 2025 | $503M | -45% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.9B | +184% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.2B | +398% |
| Q1 2025 | -$150M | -119% |
| Q4 2024 | $914M | -37% |
DELL still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2021 peak: $8.6B over the past year.
CAT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -1.6M shares |
| 1 year | -2.1% | -9.9M shares |
| 3 years | -10% | -51.7M shares |
| 5 years | -16% | -86.7M shares |
| Available history | -19% | -107M shares |
CAT has 461M diluted shares, down 2.1% from a year ago, with $8.1B in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B |
| Q1 2026 | $5B |
| Q4 2025 | $340M |
| Q3 2025 | $362M |
| Q2 2025 | $828M |
| Q1 2025 | $3.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $640M |
CAT spent $8.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 47% from the year before.
DELL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.6% | -4M shares |
| 1 year | -5% | -34M shares |
| 3 years | -12% | -86M shares |
| 5 years | -58% | -899M shares |
| Available history | -56% | -828M shares |
DELL has the edge over CAT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.8B |
| Q2 2026 | $1.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $1.8B |
| Q4 2025 | $1.2B |
| Q3 2025 | $940M |
| Q2 2025 | $2B |
| Q1 2025 | $734M |
| Q4 2024 | $429M |
DELL spent $8.5B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 109% from the year before.
CAT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 1.6x | Healthy |
CAT has the edge over DELL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
DELL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.3x | Moderate |
DELL's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.1 years a year ago.
CAT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.7 | Oversold |
CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
DELL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 17.5 | Oversold |
DELL's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).
CAT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | CAT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 24x | 1.3% below |
| PE % | 69 | 58 | 11 pts above |
CAT is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
DELL PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | DELL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22x | 28x | 23% below |
| PE % | 66 | 35 | 31 pts above |
DELL has the edge over CAT on valuation relative to its sector.
CAT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $709.0 | 15% below |
| 20 week MA | $797.0 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $771.3 | 22% below |
| 100 week MA | $586.7 | 3.2% above |
| 200 week MA | $443.1 | 37% above |
CAT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 37% above its 200-week average.
DELL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $468.0 | 21% below |
| 20 week MA | $465.7 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $307.3 | 21% above |
| 100 week MA | $212.9 | 74% above |
| 200 week MA | $149.7 | 148% above |
DELL has the edge over CAT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
CAT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $148.3 | $179.6 | +21% |
| 2021 | $179.6 | $206.2 | +15% |
| 2022 | $206.2 | $239.9 | +16% |
| 2023 | $239.9 | $295.7 | +23% |
| 2024 | $295.7 | $364.9 | +23% |
| 2025 | $364.9 | $583.0 | +60% |
| 2026 YTD | $583.0 | $605.3 | +3.8% |
CAT has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 3.8% so far in 2026.
DELL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $25.8 | $37.0 | +43% |
| 2021 | $37.0 | $55.9 | +51% |
| 2022 | $55.9 | $39.1 | -30% |
| 2023 | $39.1 | $76.5 | +96% |
| 2024 | $76.5 | $117.3 | +53% |
| 2025 | $117.3 | $129.2 | +10% |
| 2026 YTD | $129.2 | $371.2 | +187% |
DELL has the edge over CAT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.