CAT

Caterpillar Inc.

66
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential83/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

CAT has the edge over CVV overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

CVV

CVD Equipment Corporation

45
Fundamentals19/ 100
Valuation61/ 100
Upside potential42/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

CVV offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

CAT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

CVV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

CVV's balance sheet is currently strong, but its revenue, profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

CAT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$380-37%
Fair18x$461-24%
Forward20x$605—
Current24x$605—
Expensive33x$840+39%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CAT's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

CVV PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x57x86x114x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x57x86x114x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current3.4x$3.98—
Cheap5x$5.89+48%
Fair14x$16.15+306%
Expensive73x$85.38+2045%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CVV has the edge over CAT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CAT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CVV Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for CVV to show an outlook.

CAT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$918.83
Downside-11%$541.24

Calculated from the latest close: $605.28 on Nov 12.

CAT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CVV, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

CVV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$5.50
Downside-52%$1.92

Calculated from the latest close: $3.98 on Nov 12.

CVV trails CAT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

CAT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$30.32+19%
Q3 2026$25.48+31%
Q2 2026$23.23+18%
Q1 2026$20.08-2%
Q4 2025$18.81-15%
Q3 2025$19.46-9.7%
Q2 2025$19.64-10%
Q1 2025$20.50-7.4%
Q4 2024$22.05+9.6%

CAT earned $25.48 per share over the past year, up 31% from the year before.

CVV Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.62Q1 2024: $-0.83Q2 2024: $-0.78Q3 2024: $-0.64Q4 2024: $-0.28Q1 2025: $-0.01Q2 2025: $-0.05Q3 2025: $-0.02Q4 2025: $-0.23Q1 2026: $-0.52Q2 2026: $1.44Q3 2026: $1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.62Q1 2024: $-0.83Q2 2024: $-0.78Q3 2024: $-0.64Q4 2024: $-0.28Q1 2025: $-0.01Q2 2025: $-0.05Q3 2025: $-0.02Q4 2025: $-0.23Q1 2026: $-0.52Q2 2026: $1.44Q3 2026: $1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$1.17+$1.19
Q2 2026$1.44+$1.49
Q1 2026-$0.52-$0.51
Q4 2025-$0.23+$0.05
Q3 2025-$0.02+$0.62
Q2 2025-$0.05+$0.73
Q1 2025-$0.01+$0.82
Q4 2024-$0.28+$0.34

CVV has the edge over CAT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CAT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.7B+17%
Q2 2026$20.5B+24%
Q1 2026$17.4B+22%
Q4 2025$19.1B+18%
Q3 2025$17.6B+9.5%
Q2 2025$16.6B-0.7%
Q1 2025$14.2B-9.8%
Q4 2024$16.2B-5%

CAT has the edge over CVV on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CVV Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $7MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: $7MQ4 2025: $5MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $2M
Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $7MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: $7MQ4 2025: $5MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $2M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.6M-79%
Q2 2026$2M-62%
Q1 2026$1.8M-78%
Q4 2025$5M-33%
Q3 2025$7.4M-9.6%
Q2 2025$5.1M-19%
Q1 2025$8.3M+69%
Q4 2024$7.4M+80%

CVV's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $2M last quarter, down 79% from the same quarter a year ago.

CAT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+19%
Q2 2026$3.8B+47%
Q1 2026$1.1B+97%
Q4 2025$2.7B+0.1%
Q3 2025$3.1B-1.5%
Q2 2025$2.6B-4.2%
Q1 2025$579M-63%
Q4 2024$2.7B-22%

CAT has the edge over CVV on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

CVV Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$240,000Q1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: −$2MQ3 2024: −$5,000Q4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: −$2MQ2 2025: −$3MQ3 2025: $1MQ4 2025: $398,000Q1 2026: −$865,000Q2 2026: −$426,000Q3 2026: $44,000
Q4 2023: −$240,000Q1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: −$2MQ3 2024: −$5,000Q4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: −$2MQ2 2025: −$3MQ3 2025: $1MQ4 2025: $398,000Q1 2026: −$865,000Q2 2026: −$426,000Q3 2026: $44,000
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$44K-97%
Q2 2026-$426K+$2.7M
Q1 2026-$865K+$1.4M
Q4 2025$398K-83%
Q3 2025$1.4M+$1.4M
Q2 2025-$3.2M-$1.3M
Q1 2025-$2.3M-$194K
Q4 2024$2.4M+$2.6M

CVV has burned cash in most quarters: −$849,000 over the past year, against −$2M the year before.

CAT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-1.6M shares
1 year-2.1%-9.9M shares
3 years-10%-51.7M shares
5 years-16%-86.7M shares
Available history-19%-107M shares

CAT has the edge over CVV on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CVV Total Shares

Q1 2024: 7MQ2 2024: 7MQ3 2024: 7MQ4 2024: 7MQ1 2025: 7MQ2 2025: 7MQ3 2025: 7MQ4 2025: 7MQ1 2026: 7MQ2 2026: 7MQ3 2026: 7M
Q1 2024: 7MQ2 2024: 7MQ3 2024: 7MQ4 2024: 7MQ1 2025: 7MQ2 2025: 7MQ3 2025: 7MQ4 2025: 7MQ1 2026: 7MQ2 2026: 7MQ3 2026: 7M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+23K shares
1 year+1%+66.8K shares
3 years+3.2%+216K shares
5 years+4.7%+310K shares
Available history+5.9%+388K shares

CVV has 7M diluted shares, up 1% from a year ago.

CAT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

CAT has more cash than debt.

CVV Net Leverage

Q1 2025: -50.1xQ3 2025: -41.4x
Q1 2025: -50.1xQ3 2025: -41.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2025-41.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-50.1xNet Cash

CVV has more cash than debt.

CAT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.7Neutral
Stochastic6.7Oversold

CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

CVV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.8Neutral
Stochastic7.3Oversold

CVV's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

CAT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCATSector medianRelative
PE24x24x1.3% below
PE %695811 pts above

CAT is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

CVV PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCVVSector medianRelative
PE3.4x24x86% below
PE %105848 pts below

CVV has the edge over CAT on valuation relative to its sector.

CAT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$709.015% below
20 week MA$797.024% below
50 week MA$771.322% below
100 week MA$586.73.2% above
200 week MA$443.137% above

CAT has the edge over CVV on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CVV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.051.7% below
20 week MA$5.7831% below
50 week MA$5.1923% below
100 week MA$4.246.1% below
200 week MA$5.2224% below

CVV is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 24% below its 200-week average.

CAT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$148.3$179.6+21%
2021$179.6$206.2+15%
2022$206.2$239.9+16%
2023$239.9$295.7+23%
2024$295.7$364.9+23%
2025$364.9$583.0+60%
2026 YTD$583.0$605.3+3.8%

CAT has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 3.8% so far in 2026.

CVV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$3.31$4.47+35%
2021$4.47$4.09-8.5%
2022$4.09$5.54+35%
2023$5.54$4.43-20%
2024$4.43$4.06-8.4%
2025$4.06$3.03-25%
2026 YTD$3.03$3.98+31%

CVV has the edge over CAT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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