CAT

Caterpillar Inc.

66
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential83/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

CAT's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 24x earnings, above its usual 18x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

CVR

Chicago Rivet & Machine Co.

There isn't enough reported data to score CVR yet.

CAT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

CVR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Strong

CVR's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

CAT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$380-37%
Fair18x$461-24%
Forward20x$605โ€”
Current24x$605โ€”
Expensive33x$840+39%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CAT's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

CVR PE Valuation

CVR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CAT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CVR Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for CVR to show an outlook.

CAT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$918.83
Downside-11%$541.24

Calculated from the latest close: $605.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CAT and CVR's risk to reward.

CVR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $9.85 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CAT and CVR's risk to reward.

CAT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$30.32+19%
Q3 2026$25.48+31%
Q2 2026$23.23+18%
Q1 2026$20.08-2%
Q4 2025$18.81-15%
Q3 2025$19.46-9.7%
Q2 2025$19.64-10%
Q1 2025$20.50-7.4%
Q4 2024$22.05+9.6%

CAT has the edge over CVR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

CVR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-4.56Q1 2024: $-4.68Q2 2024: $-3.17Q3 2024: $-3.67Q4 2024: $-5.81Q1 2025: $-4.67Q2 2025: $-5.23Q3 2025: $-3.66Q4 2025: $-1.12Q1 2026: $-1.91Q2 2026: $-2.52Q3 2026: $-3.54
Q4 2023: $-4.56Q1 2024: $-4.68Q2 2024: $-3.17Q3 2024: $-3.67Q4 2024: $-5.81Q1 2025: $-4.67Q2 2025: $-5.23Q3 2025: $-3.66Q4 2025: $-1.12Q1 2026: $-1.91Q2 2026: $-2.52Q3 2026: $-3.54
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.54+$0.12
Q2 2026-$2.52+$2.71
Q1 2026-$1.91+$2.76
Q4 2025-$1.12+$4.69
Q3 2025-$3.66+$0.01
Q2 2025-$5.23-$2.06
Q1 2025-$4.67+$0.01
Q4 2024-$5.81-$1.25

CVR lost $3.54 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last three quarters.

CAT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.7B+17%
Q2 2026$20.5B+24%
Q1 2026$17.4B+22%
Q4 2025$19.1B+18%
Q3 2025$17.6B+9.5%
Q2 2025$16.6B-0.7%
Q1 2025$14.2B-9.8%
Q4 2024$16.2B-5%

CAT has the edge over CVR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CVR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: $7MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $7MQ3 2025: $7MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $7MQ2 2026: $7MQ3 2026: $8M
Q4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: $7MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $7MQ3 2025: $7MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $7MQ2 2026: $7MQ3 2026: $8M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.5M+2.3%
Q2 2026$7.2M-0.8%
Q1 2026$6.9M-5.4%
Q4 2025$6M+46%
Q3 2025$7.4M+5.6%
Q2 2025$7.3M-9.4%
Q1 2025$7.2M-7.7%
Q4 2024$4.1M-39%

CVR's revenue is growing: $8M last quarter, up 2.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

CAT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+19%
Q2 2026$3.8B+47%
Q1 2026$1.1B+97%
Q4 2025$2.7B+0.1%
Q3 2025$3.1B-1.5%
Q2 2025$2.6B-4.2%
Q1 2025$579M-63%
Q4 2024$2.7B-22%

CAT has the edge over CVR on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

CVR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $672,905Q1 2024: โˆ’$491,844Q2 2024: $57,963Q3 2024: โˆ’$368,909Q4 2024: โˆ’$2,058Q1 2025: โˆ’$2MQ2 2025: โˆ’$22,831Q3 2025: $492,073Q4 2025: $24,302Q1 2026: โˆ’$742,459Q2 2026: โˆ’$1MQ3 2026: โˆ’$136,819
Q4 2023: $672,905Q1 2024: โˆ’$491,844Q2 2024: $57,963Q3 2024: โˆ’$368,909Q4 2024: โˆ’$2,058Q1 2025: โˆ’$2MQ2 2025: โˆ’$22,831Q3 2025: $492,073Q4 2025: $24,302Q1 2026: โˆ’$742,459Q2 2026: โˆ’$1MQ3 2026: โˆ’$136,819
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$136.8K-128%
Q2 2026-$1.2M-$1.2M
Q1 2026-$742.5K+$1.3M
Q4 2025$24.3K+$26.4K
Q3 2025$492.1K+$861K
Q2 2025-$22.8K-139%
Q1 2025-$2.1M-$1.6M
Q4 2024-$2.1K-100%

CVR has burned cash in most quarters: โˆ’$2M over the past year, against โˆ’$2M the year before.

CAT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-1.6M shares
1 year-2.1%-9.9M shares
3 years-10%-51.7M shares
5 years-16%-86.7M shares
Available history-19%-107M shares

CAT has the edge over CVR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CVR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 966,132Q1 2024: 966,132Q2 2024: 966,132Q3 2024: 966,132Q4 2024: 966,132Q1 2025: 966,132Q2 2025: 966,132Q3 2025: 966,132Q4 2025: 966,132Q1 2026: 966,132Q2 2026: 966,132Q3 2026: 966,132
Q4 2023: 966,132Q1 2024: 966,132Q2 2024: 966,132Q3 2024: 966,132Q4 2024: 966,132Q1 2025: 966,132Q2 2025: 966,132Q3 2025: 966,132Q4 2025: 966,132Q1 2026: 966,132Q2 2026: 966,132Q3 2026: 966,132
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year0%--
3 years0%--
5 years0%--
Available history0%--

CVR has 966,132 diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

CAT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

CAT has more cash than debt.

CVR Net Leverage

Q4 2025: -58.2x
Q4 2025: -58.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2025-58.2xNet Cash
Q2 2023-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2023-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2022-0.8xNet Cash
Q3 2022-0.8xNet Cash
Q2 2022-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2022-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2021-0.8xNet Cash

CVR has more cash than debt.

CAT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.7Neutral
Stochastic6.7Oversold

CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

CVR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.2Neutral
Stochastic43.5Neutral

CVR's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 44 (neutral).

CAT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCATSector medianRelative
PE24x24x1.3% below
PE %695811 pts above

CAT is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

CVR PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCVRSector medianRelative
PEN/A24xโ€”

CVR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CAT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$709.015% below
20 week MA$797.024% below
50 week MA$771.322% below
100 week MA$586.73.2% above
200 week MA$443.137% above

CAT has the edge over CVR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CVR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.88.5% below
20 week MA$10.56% below
50 week MA$11.514% below
100 week MA$11.817% below
200 week MA$15.938% below

CVR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 38% below its 200-week average.

CAT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$148.3$179.6+21%
2021$179.6$206.2+15%
2022$206.2$239.9+16%
2023$239.9$295.7+23%
2024$295.7$364.9+23%
2025$364.9$583.0+60%
2026 YTD$583.0$605.3+3.8%

CAT has the edge over CVR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

CVR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$26.4$23.6-11%
2021$23.6$26.6+13%
2022$26.6$28.5+7%
2023$28.5$17.0-40%
2024$17.0$15.6-8.1%
2025$15.6$13.7-12%
2026 YTD$13.7$9.85-28%

CVR has finished three years in a row lower, and it's down 28% so far in 2026.

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