CAT

Caterpillar Inc.

66
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential83/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

CAT has the edge over CRWD overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

CRWD

CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.

63
Fundamentals83/ 100
Valuation32/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

CRWD offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

CAT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

CRWD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Strong
Unavailable

CRWD's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CAT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$380-37%
Fair18x$461-24%
Forward20x$605—
Current24x$605—
Expensive33x$840+39%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CAT has the edge over CRWD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CRWD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1144x2288x3432x4577x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1144x2288x3432x4577x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward153x$230—
Cheap451x$27.04-88%
Fair715x$42.92-81%
Expensive3,337x$200-13%
Current3,678x$230—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CRWD's PE is in its expensive range at 3678x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 153x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

CAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CAT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CRWD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Broad
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for CRWD, with profitability improving.

CAT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$918.83
Downside-11%$541.24

Calculated from the latest close: $605.28 on Nov 12.

CAT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CRWD, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

CRWD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+48%$341.14
Downside-26%$170.12

Calculated from the latest close: $229.87 on Nov 12.

CRWD trails CAT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

CAT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$30.32+19%
Q3 2026$25.48+31%
Q2 2026$23.23+18%
Q1 2026$20.08-2%
Q4 2025$18.81-15%
Q3 2025$19.46-9.7%
Q2 2025$19.64-10%
Q1 2025$20.50-7.4%
Q4 2024$22.05+9.6%

CAT earned $25.48 per share over the past year, up 31% from the year before.

CRWD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.02Q1 2024: $0.09Q2 2024: $0.14Q3 2024: $0.17Q4 2024: $0.13Q1 2025: $-0.02Q2 2025: $-0.17Q3 2025: $-0.30Q4 2025: $-0.32Q1 2026: $-0.16Q2 2026: $-0.03Q3 2026: $0.06Forward: $1.50
Q4 2023: $-0.02Q1 2024: $0.09Q2 2024: $0.14Q3 2024: $0.17Q4 2024: $0.13Q1 2025: $-0.02Q2 2025: $-0.17Q3 2025: $-0.30Q4 2025: $-0.32Q1 2026: $-0.16Q2 2026: $-0.03Q3 2026: $0.06Forward: $1.50
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.50+2400%
Q3 2026$0.06+$0.36
Q2 2026-$0.03+$0.14
Q1 2026-$0.16-$0.14
Q4 2025-$0.32-346%
Q3 2025-$0.30-276%
Q2 2025-$0.17-221%
Q1 2025-$0.02-122%
Q4 2024$0.13+$0.15

CRWD has returned to profit: it earned $0.06 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

CAT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.7B+17%
Q2 2026$20.5B+24%
Q1 2026$17.4B+22%
Q4 2025$19.1B+18%
Q3 2025$17.6B+9.5%
Q2 2025$16.6B-0.7%
Q1 2025$14.2B-9.8%
Q4 2024$16.2B-5%

CAT's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $20.7B last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

CRWD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $786MQ1 2024: $845MQ2 2024: $921MQ3 2024: $964MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $786MQ1 2024: $845MQ2 2024: $921MQ3 2024: $964MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B+26%
Q2 2026$1.4B+26%
Q1 2026$1.3B+23%
Q4 2025$1.2B+22%
Q3 2025$1.2B+21%
Q2 2025$1.1B+20%
Q1 2025$1.1B+25%
Q4 2024$1B+29%

CRWD has the edge over CAT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CAT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+19%
Q2 2026$3.8B+47%
Q1 2026$1.1B+97%
Q4 2025$2.7B+0.1%
Q3 2025$3.1B-1.5%
Q2 2025$2.6B-4.2%
Q1 2025$579M-63%
Q4 2024$2.7B-22%

CAT generated $11.3B in free cash flow over the past year, up 26% from the year before.

CRWD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $252MQ1 2024: $294MQ2 2024: $334MQ3 2024: $287MQ4 2024: $247MQ1 2025: $259MQ2 2025: $298MQ3 2025: $302MQ4 2025: $314MQ1 2026: $395MQ2 2026: $493MQ3 2026: $406M
Q4 2023: $252MQ1 2024: $294MQ2 2024: $334MQ3 2024: $287MQ4 2024: $247MQ1 2025: $259MQ2 2025: $298MQ3 2025: $302MQ4 2025: $314MQ1 2026: $395MQ2 2026: $493MQ3 2026: $406M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$405.9M+34%
Q2 2026$493.3M+65%
Q1 2026$395.4M+53%
Q4 2025$314.1M+27%
Q3 2025$302.3M+5.2%
Q2 2025$298.4M-11%
Q1 2025$258.5M-12%
Q4 2024$247.4M-1.9%

CRWD has the edge over CAT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CAT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-1.6M shares
1 year-2.1%-9.9M shares
3 years-10%-51.7M shares
5 years-16%-86.7M shares
Available history-19%-107M shares

CAT has the edge over CRWD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CRWD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 975MQ1 2024: 975MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 982MQ1 2025: 979MQ2 2025: 994MQ3 2025: 1000MQ4 2025: 1BQ1 2026: 1BQ2 2026: 1BQ3 2026: 1B
Q4 2023: 975MQ1 2024: 975MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 982MQ1 2025: 979MQ2 2025: 994MQ3 2025: 1000MQ4 2025: 1BQ1 2026: 1BQ2 2026: 1BQ3 2026: 1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.3%+12.9M shares
1 year+4.5%+44.8M shares
3 years+7.8%+75.9M shares
5 years+15%+139M shares
Available history+28%+228M shares

CRWD has 1B diluted shares, up 4.5% from a year ago.

CAT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

CAT has more cash than debt.

CRWD Net Leverage

CAT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.7Neutral
Stochastic6.7Oversold

CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

CRWD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.1Neutral
Stochastic49.1Neutral

CRWD's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 49 (neutral).

CAT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCATSector medianRelative
PE24x24x1.3% below
PE %695811 pts above

CAT has the edge over CRWD on valuation relative to its sector.

CRWD PE vs Technology Sector

MetricCRWDSector medianRelative
PE3,678x28x13,101% above
PE %913556 pts above

CRWD is trading at 3678x earnings, a 13101% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

CAT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$709.015% below
20 week MA$797.024% below
50 week MA$771.322% below
100 week MA$586.73.2% above
200 week MA$443.137% above

CAT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 37% above its 200-week average.

CRWD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$247.47.1% below
20 week MA$221.93.6% above
50 week MA$163.041% above
100 week MA$136.069% above
200 week MA$97.5136% above

CRWD has the edge over CAT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CAT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$148.3$179.6+21%
2021$179.6$206.2+15%
2022$206.2$239.9+16%
2023$239.9$295.7+23%
2024$295.7$364.9+23%
2025$364.9$583.0+60%
2026 YTD$583.0$605.3+3.8%

CAT has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 3.8% so far in 2026.

CRWD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$12.2$55.3+352%
2021$55.3$52.9-4.3%
2022$52.9$25.5-52%
2023$25.5$63.8+150%
2024$63.8$88.8+39%
2025$88.8$120.3+36%
2026 YTD$120.3$229.9+91%

CRWD has the edge over CAT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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