CAT

Caterpillar Inc.

66
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential83/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

CAT's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 24x earnings, above its usual 18x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

CIRC

Circle8 Group, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score CIRC yet.

CAT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

CIRC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

CIRC's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CAT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$380-37%
Fair18x$461-24%
Forward20x$605โ€”
Current24x$605โ€”
Expensive33x$840+39%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CAT's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

CIRC PE Valuation

CIRC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CAT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CIRC Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for CIRC to show an outlook.

CAT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$918.83
Downside-11%$541.24

Calculated from the latest close: $605.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CAT and CIRC's risk to reward.

CIRC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $0.20 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CAT and CIRC's risk to reward.

CAT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $29.73
Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $29.73
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$29.73+17%
Q3 2026$25.48+31%
Q2 2026$23.23+18%
Q1 2026$20.08-2%
Q4 2025$18.81-15%
Q3 2025$19.46-9.7%
Q2 2025$19.64-10%
Q1 2025$20.50-7.4%
Q4 2024$22.05+9.6%

CAT has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 31% for CAT versus CIRC down 118%.

CIRC Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-16.53Q4 2023: $-15.96Q1 2024: $-13.63Q2 2024: $-11.59Q3 2024: $-8.42Q4 2025: $-1.08Q1 2026: $-1.32Q2 2026: $-2.10
Q3 2023: $-16.53Q4 2023: $-15.96Q1 2024: $-13.63Q2 2024: $-11.59Q3 2024: $-8.42Q4 2025: $-1.08Q1 2026: $-1.32Q2 2026: $-2.10
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2024-$8.42+$8.11
Q2 2024-$11.59+$4.81
Q1 2024-$13.63+$1.97
Q4 2023-$15.96-$2.36

CIRC is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.10 per share over the past year, against $16.53 at its worst in late 2023.

CAT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.7B+17%
Q2 2026$20.5B+24%
Q1 2026$17.4B+22%
Q4 2025$19.1B+18%
Q3 2025$17.6B+9.5%
Q2 2025$16.6B-0.7%
Q1 2025$14.2B-9.8%
Q4 2024$16.2B-5%

CAT has the edge over CIRC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CIRC Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: $105MQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $130MQ1 2025: $103MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $110MQ4 2025: $120MQ1 2026: $250MQ2 2026: $320M
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: $105MQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $130MQ1 2025: $103MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $110MQ4 2025: $120MQ1 2026: $250MQ2 2026: $320M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$319.8M+211%
Q1 2026$249.9M+143%
Q4 2025$120M-7.3%
Q2 2025$102.9M-1.7%

CIRC's revenue is growing: $320M last quarter, up 211% from the same quarter a year ago.

CAT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+19%
Q2 2026$3.8B+47%
Q1 2026$1.1B+97%
Q4 2025$2.7B+0.1%
Q3 2025$3.1B-1.5%
Q2 2025$2.6B-4.2%
Q1 2025$579M-63%
Q4 2024$2.7B-22%

CAT has the edge over CIRC on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

CIRC Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: โˆ’$1MQ4 2023: โˆ’$1MQ1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: โˆ’$1MQ4 2024: โˆ’$449,402Q1 2025: $15MQ2 2025: โˆ’$10MQ3 2025: โˆ’$1MQ4 2025: โˆ’$8MQ1 2026: โˆ’$10MQ2 2026: โˆ’$4M
Q3 2023: โˆ’$1MQ4 2023: โˆ’$1MQ1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: โˆ’$1MQ4 2024: โˆ’$449,402Q1 2025: $15MQ2 2025: โˆ’$10MQ3 2025: โˆ’$1MQ4 2025: โˆ’$8MQ1 2026: โˆ’$10MQ2 2026: โˆ’$4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$3.9M+$5.7M
Q1 2026-$9.9M-168%
Q4 2025-$8.2M-$7.8M
Q3 2025-$1.3M+$86.9K
Q4 2024-$449.4K+$570.3K
Q3 2024-$1.4M-$306.7K
Q4 2023-$1M-$260.3K
Q3 2023-$1M-$149.3K

CIRC has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$23M over the past year, against $3M the year before.

CAT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-1.6M shares
1 year-2.1%-9.9M shares
3 years-10%-51.7M shares
5 years-16%-86.7M shares
Available history-19%-107M shares

CAT has the edge over CIRC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CIRC Total Shares

Q3 2023: 380,648Q4 2023: 374,484Q1 2024: 382,151Q2 2024: 28MQ3 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 54MQ2 2025: 55MQ3 2025: 55MQ1 2026: 74MQ2 2026: 81M
Q3 2023: 380,648Q4 2023: 374,484Q1 2024: 382,151Q2 2024: 28MQ3 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 54MQ2 2025: 55MQ3 2025: 55MQ1 2026: 74MQ2 2026: 81M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.4%+7M shares
1 year+50%+27M shares
3 years+27149%+80.7M shares

CIRC has 81M diluted shares, up 50% from a year ago.

CAT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

CAT has more cash than debt.

CIRC Net Leverage

CIRC's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CAT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.7Neutral
Stochastic6.7Oversold

CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

CIRC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.5Neutral
Stochastic6.5Oversold

CIRC's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

CAT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCATSector medianRelative
PE24x24x1.1% below
PE %695811 pts above

CAT is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

CIRC PE vs Industrials Sector

CIRC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CAT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$709.015% below
20 week MA$797.024% below
50 week MA$771.322% below
100 week MA$586.73.2% above
200 week MA$443.137% above

CAT has the edge over CIRC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CIRC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.3238% below
20 week MA$0.5564% below
50 week MA$1.5687% below
100 week MA$2.4692% below
200 week MA$6.2397% below

CIRC is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 97% below its 200-week average.

CAT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$148.3$179.6+21%
2021$179.6$206.2+15%
2022$206.2$239.9+16%
2023$239.9$295.7+23%
2024$295.7$364.9+23%
2025$364.9$583.0+60%
2026 YTD$583.0$605.3+3.8%

CAT has the edge over CIRC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

CIRC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$165.6$83.2-50%
2022$83.2$10.2-88%
2023$10.2$4.13-60%
2024$4.13$4.50+9%
2025$4.50$1.28-72%
2026 YTD$1.28$0.20-84%

CIRC has finished lower in four of the last five years. It's down 84% so far in 2026.

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