CARS

Cars.com Inc.

68
Fundamentals76/ 100
Valuation67/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

CARS has the edge over NIO overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

NIO

NIO Inc.

56
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

NIO offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

CARS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Stable

CARS's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

NIO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Stable
Unavailable

NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CARS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE228x456x684x913x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE228x456x684x913x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward5.8x$12.85—
Cheap12x$9.23-28%
Current17x$12.85—
Fair28x$20.69+61%
Expensive127x$95.15+640%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CARS's PE is in its cheap range at 17x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 5.8x next year's earnings.

NIO PE Valuation

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CARS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect CARS's earnings to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

NIO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

NIO has the edge over CARS on the outlook, with more favorable revenue and profitability expectations.

CARS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$16.79
Downside-21%$10.20

Calculated from the latest close: $12.85 on Nov 12.

CARS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NIO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NIO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$4.21
Downside-27%$2.22

Calculated from the latest close: $3.05 on Nov 12.

NIO trails CARS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CARS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.74Q1 2024: $1.58Q2 2024: $0.38Q3 2024: $0.59Q4 2024: $0.72Q1 2025: $0.68Q2 2025: $0.62Q3 2025: $0.46Q4 2025: $0.32Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.57Q3 2026: $0.75Forward: $2.20
Q4 2023: $1.74Q1 2024: $1.58Q2 2024: $0.38Q3 2024: $0.59Q4 2024: $0.72Q1 2025: $0.68Q2 2025: $0.62Q3 2025: $0.46Q4 2025: $0.32Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.57Q3 2026: $0.75Forward: $2.20
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.20+194%
Q3 2026$0.75+63%
Q2 2026$0.57-8.1%
Q1 2026$0.43-37%
Q4 2025$0.32-56%
Q3 2025$0.46-22%
Q2 2025$0.62+63%
Q1 2025$0.68-57%
Q4 2024$0.72-59%

CARS has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

NIO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.29+$1.45
Q1 2026-$0.60+$1.16
Q4 2025-$1.06+$0.60
Q3 2025-$1.59+$0.02
Q2 2025-$1.74-$0.10
Q1 2025-$1.76+$0.06
Q4 2024-$1.66+$0.21
Q3 2024-$1.61+$0.32

NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.

CARS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $180MQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $179MQ3 2024: $180MQ4 2024: $180MQ1 2025: $179MQ2 2025: $179MQ3 2025: $182MQ4 2025: $184MQ1 2026: $180MQ2 2026: $180MQ3 2026: $182M
Q4 2023: $180MQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $179MQ3 2024: $180MQ4 2024: $180MQ1 2025: $179MQ2 2025: $179MQ3 2025: $182MQ4 2025: $184MQ1 2026: $180MQ2 2026: $180MQ3 2026: $182M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$181.9M+0.2%
Q2 2026$179.9M+0.7%
Q1 2026$180.2M+0.7%
Q4 2025$183.9M+1.9%
Q3 2025$181.6M+1.1%
Q2 2025$178.7M-0.1%
Q1 2025$179M-0.6%
Q4 2024$180.4M+0.5%

CARS's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $182M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

NIO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$4.8B+69%
Q1 2026$3.8B+112%
Q4 2025$5.2B+76%
Q3 2025$3.3B+17%
Q2 2025$2.9B+9%
Q1 2025$1.8B+21%
Q4 2024$3B+15%
Q3 2024$2.8B-2.1%

NIO has the edge over CARS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CARS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $45MQ1 2024: $33MQ2 2024: $35MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $29MQ1 2025: $29MQ2 2025: $24MQ3 2025: $58MQ4 2025: $37MQ1 2026: $40MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: $59M
Q4 2023: $45MQ1 2024: $33MQ2 2024: $35MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $29MQ1 2025: $29MQ2 2025: $24MQ3 2025: $58MQ4 2025: $37MQ1 2026: $40MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: $59M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$59M+1.2%
Q2 2026$15.3M-36%
Q1 2026$39.5M+38%
Q4 2025$36.7M+26%
Q3 2025$58.3M+10%
Q2 2025$23.7M-32%
Q1 2025$28.6M-13%
Q4 2024$29.1M-35%

CARS's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $151M over the past year, up 7.8% from the year before.

NIO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0+$2.1B
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0+$391.3M
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025-$2.1B+$73.9M
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024-$391.3M-386%
Q2 2024-$2.2B+$337.9M

NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.

CARS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 68MQ1 2024: 67MQ2 2024: 68MQ3 2024: 68MQ4 2024: 67MQ1 2025: 64MQ2 2025: 64MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 63MQ1 2026: 60MQ2 2026: 57MQ3 2026: 55M
Q4 2023: 68MQ1 2024: 67MQ2 2024: 68MQ3 2024: 68MQ4 2024: 67MQ1 2025: 64MQ2 2025: 64MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 63MQ1 2026: 60MQ2 2026: 57MQ3 2026: 55M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.3%-1.3M shares
1 year-12%-7.7M shares
3 years-19%-13.2M shares
5 years-22%-15.6M shares
Available history-17%-11.7M shares

CARS has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NIO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+15.6M shares
1 year+12%+267M shares
3 years+51%+844M shares
5 years+60%+933M shares
Available history+143%+1.5B shares

NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.

CARS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.9xQ1 2024: 2.8xQ2 2024: 2.8xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.5xQ1 2025: 2.8xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.5xQ4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 2.6xQ3 2026: 2.3x
Q4 2023: 2.9xQ1 2024: 2.8xQ2 2024: 2.8xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.5xQ1 2025: 2.8xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.5xQ4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 2.6xQ3 2026: 2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.3xModerate
Q2 20262.6xModerate
Q1 20262.6xModerate
Q4 20252.6xModerate
Q3 20252.5xModerate
Q2 20252.7xModerate
Q1 20252.8xModerate
Q4 20242.5xModerate

CARS's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.5 years a year ago.

NIO Net Leverage

NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CARS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI60.6Neutral
Stochastic71.0Neutral

CARS's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 71 (neutral).

NIO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.7Neutral
Stochastic6.9Oversold

NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

CARS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricCARSSector medianRelative
PE17x18x4.9% below
PE %264721 pts below

CARS is trading at 17x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CARS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$11.215% above
20 week MA$11.512% above
50 week MA$10.918% above
100 week MA$11.98.1% above
200 week MA$15.115% below

CARS has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NIO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.369.2% below
20 week MA$4.0124% below
50 week MA$4.8137% below
100 week MA$4.8537% below
200 week MA$6.0349% below

NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.

CARS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.9$11.4-3.9%
2021$11.4$16.3+42%
2022$16.3$13.0-21%
2023$13.0$19.0+46%
2024$19.0$17.4-8.5%
2025$17.4$12.6-28%
2026 YTD$12.6$12.9+2.2%

CARS has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NIO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.42$45.8+1791%
2021$45.8$30.5-33%
2022$30.5$11.0-64%
2023$11.0$9.07-17%
2024$9.07$4.48-51%
2025$4.48$5.10+14%
2026 YTD$5.10$3.05-40%

NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.

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