CAR
Avis Budget Group, Inc.
CAR offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
CAT
Caterpillar Inc.
CAT has the edge over CAR overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.
CAR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
CAR's revenue and profitability are currently stable, but its cash flow is weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
CAT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
CAR PE Valuation
CAR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CAT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 15x | $380 | -37% |
| Fair | 18x | $461 | -24% |
| Forward | 20x | $605 | — |
| Current | 24x | $605 | — |
| Expensive | 33x | $840 | +39% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CAT's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
CAR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect CAR's earnings to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
CAT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
CAT has the edge over CAR on the outlook, with more favorable revenue and profitability expectations.
CAR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.19 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$22.96 | +$36.26 |
| Q2 2026 | -$18.00 | +$44.68 |
| Q1 2026 | -$18.91 | +$43.46 |
| Q4 2025 | -$25.25 | +$25.98 |
| Q3 2025 | -$59.22 | -668% |
| Q2 2025 | -$62.68 | -405% |
| Q1 2025 | -$62.37 | -300% |
| Q4 2024 | -$51.23 | -222% |
CAR is still losing money, but far less than before: $22.96 per share over the past year, against $62.68 at its worst in mid-2025.
CAT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $29.73 | +17% |
| Q3 2026 | $25.48 | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.23 | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.08 | -2% |
| Q4 2025 | $18.81 | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $19.46 | -9.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.64 | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.50 | -7.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $22.05 | +9.6% |
CAT has the edge over CAR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
CAR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.4B | -2.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $3B | -1.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.5B | +4.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.7B | -1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.5B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $3B | -0.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.4B | -4.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.7B | -2% |
CAR's revenue grew through 2022 and has held roughly level since: $3.4B last quarter, down 2.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9% | -4.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 36% | +36 points |
| Q1 2026 | -13% | +14 points |
| Q4 2025 | -28% | +77 points |
| Q3 2025 | 13% | +4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5% | -0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -28% | -22 points |
| Q4 2024 | -105% | -111 points |
CAR's operating margin was 9% last quarter, down 4.4 points from the same quarter a year ago.
CAT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.7B | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $20.5B | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.4B | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.1B | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.6B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.6B | -0.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.2B | -9.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | -5% |
CAT has the edge over CAR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 21% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 14% | -4.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | -2.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | -4.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | -0.3 points |
CAT has the edge over CAR on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
CAR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | -15% |
| Q2 2026 | -$3.7B | -544% |
| Q1 2026 | $434M | -30% |
| Q4 2025 | $437M | -43% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.4B | +10% |
| Q2 2025 | $837M | -5.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $619M | +5.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $772M | -2.6% |
CAR's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$1.7B over the past year.
CAT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.8B | +47% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +97% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.7B | +0.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.1B | -1.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | -4.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $579M | -63% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.7B | -22% |
CAT has the edge over CAR on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
CAR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.8% | +300K shares |
| 1 year | +0.3% | +100K shares |
| 3 years | -4.6% | -1.7M shares |
| 5 years | -45% | -29M shares |
| Available history | -52% | -38.8M shares |
CAR has 36M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2M |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $7M |
| Q4 2025 | $3M |
| Q3 2025 | $1M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $3M |
| Q4 2024 | $45M |
CAR spent $12M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 76% from the year before.
CAT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -1.6M shares |
| 1 year | -2.1% | -9.9M shares |
| 3 years | -10% | -51.7M shares |
| 5 years | -16% | -86.7M shares |
| Available history | -19% | -107M shares |
CAT has the edge over CAR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B |
| Q1 2026 | $5B |
| Q4 2025 | $340M |
| Q3 2025 | $362M |
| Q2 2025 | $828M |
| Q1 2025 | $3.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $640M |
CAT spent $8.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 47% from the year before.
CAR Net Leverage
CAR's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
CAT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 1.6x | Healthy |
CAT has more cash than debt.
CAR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 47.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 36.8 | Neutral |
CAR's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 37 (neutral).
CAT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.7 | Oversold |
CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
CAR PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | CAR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 24x | — |
CAR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CAT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | CAT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 24x | 1.1% below |
| PE % | 69 | 58 | 11 pts above |
CAT is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
CAR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $110.3 | 14% above |
| 20 week MA | $130.1 | 3.4% below |
| 50 week MA | $147.2 | 15% below |
| 100 week MA | $134.8 | 6.8% below |
| 200 week MA | $143.6 | 12% below |
CAR has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 12% below its 200-week average.
CAT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $709.0 | 15% below |
| 20 week MA | $797.0 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $771.3 | 22% below |
| 100 week MA | $586.7 | 3.2% above |
| 200 week MA | $443.1 | 37% above |
CAT has the edge over CAR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
CAR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $32.4 | $36.9 | +14% |
| 2021 | $36.9 | $223.9 | +507% |
| 2022 | $223.9 | $161.4 | -28% |
| 2023 | $161.4 | $177.3 | +9.8% |
| 2024 | $177.3 | $81.0 | -54% |
| 2025 | $81.0 | $131.9 | +63% |
| 2026 YTD | $131.9 | $125.7 | -4.7% |
CAR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +507% in 2021 to −54% in 2024. It's down 4.7% so far in 2026.
CAT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $148.3 | $179.6 | +21% |
| 2021 | $179.6 | $206.2 | +15% |
| 2022 | $206.2 | $239.9 | +16% |
| 2023 | $239.9 | $295.7 | +23% |
| 2024 | $295.7 | $364.9 | +23% |
| 2025 | $364.9 | $583.0 | +60% |
| 2026 YTD | $583.0 | $605.3 | +3.8% |
CAT has the edge over CAR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.