CAN
Canaan Inc.
CAN trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over CAN overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.
CAN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
CAN's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable, but its profitability is under pressure.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
CAN PE Valuation
CAN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.
CAN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong decline | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect CAN's losses to grow, with revenue declining. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
CAN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.45 | +$0.44 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.34 | +$0.67 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.48 | +$0.42 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.67 | +$0.68 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.89 | +$0.66 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.01 | +$1.04 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.90 | +$1.49 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.35 | +$0.81 |
CAN is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.45 per share over the past year, against $2.39 at its worst in late 2023.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over CAN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
CAN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $31.9M | -68% |
| Q1 2026 | $62.7M | -24% |
| Q4 2025 | $196.3M | +121% |
| Q3 2025 | $150.7M | +105% |
| Q2 2025 | $100.2M | +39% |
| Q1 2025 | $82.8M | +136% |
| Q4 2024 | $88.8M | +81% |
| Q3 2024 | $73.6M | +121% |
CAN's revenue is growing: $32M last quarter, down 68% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -192% | -165 points |
| Q1 2026 | -87% | -42 points |
| Q4 2025 | -7.6% | +55 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +62 points |
| Q2 2025 | -27% | +38 points |
| Q1 2025 | -45% | +148 points |
| Q4 2024 | -63% | +127 points |
| Q3 2024 | -77% | +261 points |
CAN's operating margin was −192% last quarter, down 165 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $92.3B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over CAN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
CAN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$325.8M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | +$60.8M |
| Q2 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$325.8M | -$286M |
| Q3 2024 | -$60.8M | -$60.8M |
CAN's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$387M the year before.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
CAN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +4.6% | +31.7M shares |
| 1 year | +81% | +323M shares |
| 3 years | +326% | +554M shares |
| 5 years | +314% | +548M shares |
| Available history | +396% | +577M shares |
CAN has 723M diluted shares, up 81% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
CAN hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has the edge over CAN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
CAN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2022 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2022 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2022 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2021 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2021 | -2.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2021 | -54.8x | Net Cash |
CAN has more cash than debt.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
CAN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 10.0 | Oversold |
CAN's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
CAN PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | CAN | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
CAN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
CAN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $0.25 | 36% below |
| 20 week MA | $0.28 | 43% below |
| 50 week MA | $0.44 | 64% below |
| 100 week MA | $0.78 | 79% below |
| 200 week MA | $1.31 | 88% below |
CAN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 88% below its 200-week average.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT has the edge over CAN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
CAN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $5.63 | $3.73 | -34% |
| 2021 | $3.73 | $5.45 | +46% |
| 2022 | $5.45 | $2.08 | -62% |
| 2023 | $2.08 | $2.31 | +11% |
| 2024 | $2.31 | $2.23 | -3.5% |
| 2025 | $2.23 | $0.76 | -66% |
| 2026 YTD | $0.76 | $0.16 | -79% |
CAN has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 79% so far in 2026.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has the edge over CAN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.