CALX
Calix, Inc.
CALX offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over CALX overall, supported by lower modeled downside.
CALX Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
CALX's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
CALX PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 15x | $32.68 | — |
| Cheap | 19x | $12.95 | -60% |
| Current | 47x | $32.68 | — |
| Fair | 72x | $49.68 | +52% |
| Expensive | 127x | $87.43 | +168% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CALX's PE is in its cheap range at 47x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT has the edge over CALX in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
CALX Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
CALX has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
CALX Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.20 | +219% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.69 | +$0.81 |
| Q2 2026 | $0.75 | +$1.15 |
| Q1 2026 | $0.49 | +$1.01 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.26 | +$0.71 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.12 | +$0.15 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.40 | -1433% |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.52 | -286% |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.45 | -207% |
CALX has returned to profit: it earned $0.69 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over CALX on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
CALX Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $301.7M | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $293.3M | +21% |
| Q1 2026 | $280M | +27% |
| Q4 2025 | $272.4M | +32% |
| Q3 2025 | $265.4M | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $241.9M | +22% |
| Q1 2025 | $220.2M | -2.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $206.1M | -22% |
CALX's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $302M last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.5% | -1.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 7.5% | +7.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.5% | +7.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.4% | +13 points |
| Q3 2025 | 6.6% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2% | +5.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | -2.8% | -1.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | -9.1% | -4.5 points |
CALX's operating margin was 5.5% last quarter, down 1.1 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $92.3B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over CALX on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
CALX Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.4M | -87% |
| Q2 2026 | $11.9M | -67% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.5M | -49% |
| Q4 2025 | $40.3M | +294% |
| Q3 2025 | $26.7M | +109% |
| Q2 2025 | $35.6M | +117% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.9M | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.2M | -6.7% |
CALX has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
CALX Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.6% | -1.1M shares |
| 1 year | -7.7% | -5.3M shares |
| 3 years | -7.4% | -5.1M shares |
| 5 years | -5.1% | -3.5M shares |
| Available history | +17% | +9.5M shares |
CALX has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $50M |
| Q2 2026 | $69.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $170.9M |
| Q4 2025 | $16.6M |
| Q3 2025 | $3.5M |
| Q2 2025 | $33.6M |
| Q1 2025 | $40M |
| Q4 2024 | $7M |
CALX spent $307M buying back its own shares over the past year, about four times what it spent the year before.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
CALX Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2024 | -9.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -2.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2023 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2023 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
CALX has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
CALX Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 24.5 | Neutral |
CALX's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 25 (neutral).
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
CALX PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | CALX | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 47x | 28x | 70% above |
| PE % | 30 | 35 | 5 pts below |
CALX is trading at 47x earnings, a 70% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT has the edge over CALX on valuation relative to its sector.
CALX Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $34.8 | 6% below |
| 20 week MA | $36.5 | 10% below |
| 50 week MA | $43.3 | 25% below |
| 100 week MA | $45.6 | 28% below |
| 200 week MA | $43.2 | 24% below |
CALX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 24% below its 200-week average.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT has the edge over CALX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
CALX Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $8.04 | $31.9 | +297% |
| 2021 | $31.9 | $66.2 | +108% |
| 2022 | $66.2 | $67.5 | +1.9% |
| 2023 | $67.5 | $43.7 | -35% |
| 2024 | $43.7 | $35.0 | -20% |
| 2025 | $35.0 | $54.3 | +55% |
| 2026 YTD | $54.3 | $32.7 | -40% |
CALX is down 40% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has the edge over CALX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.