CALM

Cal-Maine Foods, Inc.

25
Fundamentals16/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential3/ 100
Risk potential91/ 100

CALM trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

CELH

Celsius Holdings, Inc.

72
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

CELH has the edge over CALM overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

CALM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

CALM's balance sheet is currently strong, but its revenue, profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

CELH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Strong

CELH's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

CALM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE237x475x712x950x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE237x475x712x950x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap3.7x$4.59-93%
Fair10x$12.73-80%
Expensive51x$63.59-0.9%
Current51x$64.18—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CALM's PE is in its expensive range at 51x.

CELH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE318x636x954x1272x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE318x636x954x1272x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward21x$31.89—
Current35x$31.89—
Cheap40x$35.95+13%
Fair141x$127+299%
Expensive650x$585+1735%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CELH has the edge over CALM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CALM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Turning to a loss
Decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect CALM's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CELH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

CELH has the edge over CALM on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

CALM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+3%$65.86
Downside-91%$6.02

Calculated from the latest close: $64.18 on Nov 12.

CALM trails CELH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

CELH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+69%$54.01
Downside-25%$23.76

Calculated from the latest close: $31.89 on Nov 12.

CELH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CALM, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

CALM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $9.25Q1 2024: $5.63Q2 2024: $5.69Q3 2024: $8.73Q4 2024: $12.85Q1 2025: $20.23Q2 2025: $24.95Q3 2025: $26.01Q4 2025: $23.67Q1 2026: $14.35Q2 2026: $6.63Q3 2026: $1.25
Q4 2023: $9.25Q1 2024: $5.63Q2 2024: $5.69Q3 2024: $8.73Q4 2024: $12.85Q1 2025: $20.23Q2 2025: $24.95Q3 2025: $26.01Q4 2025: $23.67Q1 2026: $14.35Q2 2026: $6.63Q3 2026: $1.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$1.25-95%
Q2 2026$6.63-73%
Q1 2026$14.35-29%
Q4 2025$23.67+84%
Q3 2025$26.01+198%
Q2 2025$24.95+338%
Q1 2025$20.23+259%
Q4 2024$12.85+39%

CALM has the edge over CELH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CELH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.91Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.53
Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.91Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.53+70%
Q3 2026$0.90+718%
Q2 2026$0.24-37%
Q1 2026$0.43+30%
Q4 2025$0.25-44%
Q3 2025$0.11-85%
Q2 2025$0.38-62%
Q1 2025$0.33-64%
Q4 2024$0.45-42%

CELH earned $0.90 per share over the past year, about eight times what it earned the year before.

CALM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $523MQ1 2024: $703MQ2 2024: $641MQ3 2024: $786MQ4 2024: $955MQ1 2025: $1.4BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $923MQ4 2025: $769MQ1 2026: $667MQ2 2026: $553MQ3 2026: $540M
Q4 2023: $523MQ1 2024: $703MQ2 2024: $641MQ3 2024: $786MQ4 2024: $955MQ1 2025: $1.4BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $923MQ4 2025: $769MQ1 2026: $667MQ2 2026: $553MQ3 2026: $540M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$539.6M-42%
Q2 2026$552.6M-50%
Q1 2026$667M-53%
Q4 2025$769.5M-19%
Q3 2025$922.6M+17%
Q2 2025$1.1B+72%
Q1 2025$1.4B+102%
Q4 2024$954.7M+82%

CALM's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $540M last quarter, down 42% from the same quarter a year ago.

CELH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $266MQ4 2024: $332MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $739MQ3 2025: $725MQ4 2025: $722MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $847M
Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $266MQ4 2024: $332MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $739MQ3 2025: $725MQ4 2025: $722MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $847M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$847.2M+17%
Q2 2026$817.9M+11%
Q1 2026$782.6M+138%
Q4 2025$721.6M+117%
Q3 2025$725.1M+173%
Q2 2025$739.3M+84%
Q1 2025$329.3M-7.4%
Q4 2024$332.2M-4.4%

CELH has the edge over CALM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CALM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: $134MQ2 2024: $163MQ3 2024: $82MQ4 2024: $93MQ1 2025: $522MQ2 2025: $367MQ3 2025: $233MQ4 2025: $48MQ1 2026: $72MQ2 2026: −$25MQ3 2026: −$128M
Q4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: $134MQ2 2024: $163MQ3 2024: $82MQ4 2024: $93MQ1 2025: $522MQ2 2025: $367MQ3 2025: $233MQ4 2025: $48MQ1 2026: $72MQ2 2026: −$25MQ3 2026: −$128M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$128M-155%
Q2 2026-$24.7M-107%
Q1 2026$72M-86%
Q4 2025$47.9M-48%
Q3 2025$233.3M+186%
Q2 2025$367.1M+126%
Q1 2025$521.8M+290%
Q4 2024$92.9M+755%

CALM's free cash flow was −$33M over the past year, against $1.2B the year before.

CELH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $426,000Q1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: −$130MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $128M
Q4 2023: $426,000Q1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: −$130MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $128M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$127.7M-60%
Q2 2026$205.5M+479%
Q1 2026$65.8M-32%
Q4 2025-$130M-285%
Q3 2025$321.5M+3599%
Q2 2025$35.5M+17%
Q1 2025$96.4M-26%
Q4 2024$70.3M+16394%

CELH has the edge over CALM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

CALM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 49MQ1 2024: 49MQ2 2024: 49MQ3 2024: 49MQ4 2024: 49MQ1 2025: 49MQ2 2025: 49MQ3 2025: 48MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 47MQ2 2026: 48MQ3 2026: 47M
Q4 2023: 49MQ1 2024: 49MQ2 2024: 49MQ3 2024: 49MQ4 2024: 49MQ1 2025: 49MQ2 2025: 49MQ3 2025: 48MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 47MQ2 2026: 48MQ3 2026: 47M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.3%-1.1M shares
1 year-3.6%-1.7M shares
3 years-4.4%-2.1M shares
5 years-4.4%-2.2M shares
Available history-3.6%-1.7M shares

CALM has the edge over CELH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CELH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 238MQ2 2024: 238MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 237MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 255MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 255M
Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 238MQ2 2024: 238MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 237MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 255MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 255M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-2M shares
1 year-1.1%-2.9M shares
3 years+7.4%+17.6M shares
5 years+8.3%+19.5M shares
Available history+32%+62.4M shares

CELH has 255M diluted shares, down 1.1% from a year ago.

CALM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.6xQ1 2024: -1.0xQ2 2024: -0.6xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.4xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.8x
Q4 2023: -0.6xQ1 2024: -1.0xQ2 2024: -0.6xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.4xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

CALM has the edge over CELH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

CELH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.5xQ1 2025: -7.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.5xQ1 2025: -7.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20251.6xHealthy
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 2025-7.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.5xNet Cash

CELH has more cash than debt.

CALM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.7Neutral
Stochastic13.1Oversold

CALM's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

CELH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.3Neutral
Stochastic56.8Neutral

CELH's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

CALM PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricCALMSector medianRelative
PE51x19x163% above
PE %841866 pts above

CALM is trading at 51x earnings, a 163% premium to the Consumer Defensive sector's median of 19x.

CELH PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricCELHSector medianRelative
PE35x19x82% above
PE %11187 pts below

CELH has the edge over CALM on valuation relative to its sector.

CALM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$64.60.7% below
20 week MA$75.315% below
50 week MA$78.218% below
100 week MA$88.427% below
200 week MA$74.013% below

CALM is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 13% below its 200-week average.

CELH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.19.4% above
20 week MA$29.67.8% above
50 week MA$36.112% below
100 week MA$38.818% below
200 week MA$44.629% below

CELH has the edge over CALM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CALM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$43.0$37.4-13%
2021$37.4$36.5-2.3%
2022$36.5$64.6+77%
2023$64.6$57.4-11%
2024$57.4$101.1+76%
2025$101.1$82.0-19%
2026 YTD$82.0$64.2-22%

CALM has the edge over CELH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

CELH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1.58$14.7+832%
2021$14.7$24.9+69%
2022$24.9$35.6+43%
2023$35.6$54.5+53%
2024$54.5$26.5-51%
2025$26.5$45.6+72%
2026 YTD$45.6$31.9-30%

CELH's yearly returns have swung widely, from +832% in 2020 to −51% in 2024. It's down 30% so far in 2026.

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