CAL
Caleres, Inc.
CAL has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
TSLA has a slight edge over CAL overall on the model score.
CAL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy |
CAL's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.
TSLA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
CAL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 4.8x | $7.30 | -45% |
| Forward | 6.1x | $13.20 | — |
| Fair | 6.3x | $9.45 | -28% |
| Expensive | 8.5x | $12.88 | -2.4% |
| Current | 8.7x | $13.20 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CAL has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
TSLA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 60x | $54.70 | -86% |
| Fair | 174x | $158 | -60% |
| Forward | 196x | $397 | — |
| Expensive | 415x | $378 | -4.9% |
| Current | 437x | $397 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
CAL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect CAL's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
TSLA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
CAL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.15 | +42% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.51 | -15% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.00 | -100% |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.21 | -107% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.65 | -85% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.77 | -62% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.42 | -49% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.09 | -36% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.48 | +2.3% |
CAL's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.51 over the past year, against $5.13 in mid-2022.
TSLA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.03 | +123% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.91 | -39% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.08 | -38% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.09 | -40% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.08 | -47% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.50 | -59% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.73 | -51% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.82 | -53% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.04 | -53% |
TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.
CAL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $695.5M | +5.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $666.6M | +8.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $695.1M | +8.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $790.1M | +6.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $658.5M | -3.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $614.2M | -6.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $639.2M | -8.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $740.9M | -2.8% |
CAL has the edge over TSLA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 11% | +9.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 3.6% | +1.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | -3.8% | -5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 1.5% | -6.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 1.4% | -4.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1.9% | -4.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 1.2% | -3.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 7.7% | -0.8 points |
CAL has the edge over TSLA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TSLA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $28B | -0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $28.2B | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.4B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.9B | -3.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $28.1B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.5B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.3B | -9.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.7B | +2.1% |
TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.6% | -3.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4% | -2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.2% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.7% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.8% | -5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.1% | -2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.1% | -3.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.2% | -2 points |
TSLA's operating margin was 2.6% last quarter, down 3.2 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
CAL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $75.6M | +116% |
| Q2 2026 | -$39M | -$12.8M |
| Q1 2026 | $43.1M | +140% |
| Q4 2025 | -$12.4M | +$45M |
| Q3 2025 | $35M | -49% |
| Q2 2025 | -$26.2M | -200% |
| Q1 2025 | $18M | -44% |
| Q4 2024 | -$57.4M | -539% |
CAL's free cash flow has turned positive again: $67M over the past year, against −$31M the year before.
TSLA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | -62% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.1B | -848% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +117% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4B | -30% |
| Q3 2025 | $4B | +46% |
| Q2 2025 | $146M | -89% |
| Q1 2025 | $664M | +$3.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $2B | -1.6% |
TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.
CAL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 4.0x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 3.3x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.9x | Very low |
CAL's net debt is about 1.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.4 years a year ago.
TSLA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
TSLA has the edge over CAL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
CAL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 52.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 49.9 | Neutral |
CAL's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).
TSLA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 72.6 | Neutral |
TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).
CAL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | CAL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.7x | 18x | 51% below |
| PE % | 85 | 47 | 38 pts above |
CAL has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.
TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | TSLA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 437x | 18x | 2,324% above |
| PE % | 84 | 47 | 37 pts above |
TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
CAL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.8 | 3.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $12.6 | 4.4% above |
| 50 week MA | $12.6 | 4.5% above |
| 100 week MA | $14.0 | 5.6% below |
| 200 week MA | $22.0 | 40% below |
CAL has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 40% below its 200-week average.
TSLA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $376.0 | 5.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $364.0 | 9.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $393.6 | 1% above |
| 100 week MA | $372.1 | 6.8% above |
| 200 week MA | $296.9 | 34% above |
TSLA has the edge over CAL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
CAL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $23.6 | $13.5 | -43% |
| 2021 | $13.5 | $21.9 | +62% |
| 2022 | $21.9 | $21.8 | -0.5% |
| 2023 | $21.8 | $30.7 | +41% |
| 2024 | $30.7 | $23.4 | -24% |
| 2025 | $23.4 | $13.3 | -43% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.3 | $13.2 | -0.6% |
CAL has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
TSLA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $28.7 | $220.6 | +669% |
| 2021 | $220.6 | $355.7 | +61% |
| 2022 | $355.7 | $123.2 | -65% |
| 2023 | $123.2 | $248.5 | +102% |
| 2024 | $248.5 | $431.7 | +74% |
| 2025 | $431.7 | $475.2 | +10% |
| 2026 YTD | $475.2 | $397.5 | -16% |
TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.