CAL

Caleres, Inc.

50
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation28/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

CAL has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA has a slight edge over CAL overall on the model score.

CAL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Healthy

CAL's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

CAL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap4.8x$7.30-45%
Forward6.1x$13.20—
Fair6.3x$9.45-28%
Expensive8.5x$12.88-2.4%
Current8.7x$13.20—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CAL has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

CAL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect CAL's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CAL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+42%$18.80
Downside-31%$9.13

Calculated from the latest close: $13.20 on Nov 12.

CAL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TSLA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA trails CAL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

CAL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.38Q1 2024: $4.80Q2 2024: $4.71Q3 2024: $4.61Q4 2024: $4.48Q1 2025: $3.09Q2 2025: $2.42Q3 2025: $1.77Q4 2025: $0.65Q1 2026: $-0.21Q2 2026: $0.00Q3 2026: $1.51Forward: $2.15
Q4 2023: $4.38Q1 2024: $4.80Q2 2024: $4.71Q3 2024: $4.61Q4 2024: $4.48Q1 2025: $3.09Q2 2025: $2.42Q3 2025: $1.77Q4 2025: $0.65Q1 2026: $-0.21Q2 2026: $0.00Q3 2026: $1.51Forward: $2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.15+42%
Q3 2026$1.51-15%
Q2 2026$0.00-100%
Q1 2026-$0.21-107%
Q4 2025$0.65-85%
Q3 2025$1.77-62%
Q2 2025$2.42-49%
Q1 2025$3.09-36%
Q4 2024$4.48+2.3%

CAL's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.51 over the past year, against $5.13 in mid-2022.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.

CAL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $762MQ1 2024: $697MQ2 2024: $659MQ3 2024: $683MQ4 2024: $741MQ1 2025: $639MQ2 2025: $614MQ3 2025: $659MQ4 2025: $790MQ1 2026: $695MQ2 2026: $667MQ3 2026: $695M
Q4 2023: $762MQ1 2024: $697MQ2 2024: $659MQ3 2024: $683MQ4 2024: $741MQ1 2025: $639MQ2 2025: $614MQ3 2025: $659MQ4 2025: $790MQ1 2026: $695MQ2 2026: $667MQ3 2026: $695M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$695.5M+5.6%
Q2 2026$666.6M+8.5%
Q1 2026$695.1M+8.7%
Q4 2025$790.1M+6.6%
Q3 2025$658.5M-3.6%
Q2 2025$614.2M-6.8%
Q1 2025$639.2M-8.3%
Q4 2024$740.9M-2.8%

CAL has the edge over TSLA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

CAL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $32MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: −$57MQ1 2025: $18MQ2 2025: −$26MQ3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: −$12MQ1 2026: $43MQ2 2026: −$39MQ3 2026: $76M
Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $32MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: −$57MQ1 2025: $18MQ2 2025: −$26MQ3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: −$12MQ1 2026: $43MQ2 2026: −$39MQ3 2026: $76M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$75.6M+116%
Q2 2026-$39M-$12.8M
Q1 2026$43.1M+140%
Q4 2025-$12.4M+$45M
Q3 2025$35M-49%
Q2 2025-$26.2M-200%
Q1 2025$18M-44%
Q4 2024-$57.4M-539%

CAL's free cash flow has turned positive again: $67M over the past year, against −$31M the year before.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.

CAL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 34MQ1 2024: 34MQ2 2024: 34MQ3 2024: 34MQ4 2024: 34MQ1 2025: 34MQ2 2025: 33MQ3 2025: 33MQ4 2025: 33MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 33MQ3 2026: 33M
Q4 2023: 34MQ1 2024: 34MQ2 2024: 34MQ3 2024: 34MQ4 2024: 34MQ1 2025: 34MQ2 2025: 33MQ3 2025: 33MQ4 2025: 33MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 33MQ3 2026: 33M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+77K shares
1 year+0.6%+206K shares
3 years-4.2%-1.5M shares

CAL has 33M diluted shares, up 0.6% from a year ago.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has the edge over CAL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CAL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 0.7xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 1.3xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: 3.3xQ1 2026: 4.0xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 1.6x
Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 0.7xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 1.3xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: 3.3xQ1 2026: 4.0xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 1.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.6xHealthy
Q2 20263.9xElevated
Q1 20264.0xHigh
Q4 20253.3xElevated
Q3 20251.4xHealthy
Q2 20251.3xHealthy
Q1 20250.9xVery low
Q4 20240.9xVery low

CAL's net debt is about 1.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.4 years a year ago.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has the edge over CAL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

CAL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.4Neutral
Stochastic49.9Neutral

CAL's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

CAL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricCALSector medianRelative
PE8.7x18x51% below
PE %854738 pts above

CAL has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

CAL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.83.4% above
20 week MA$12.64.4% above
50 week MA$12.64.5% above
100 week MA$14.05.6% below
200 week MA$22.040% below

CAL has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 40% below its 200-week average.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA has the edge over CAL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CAL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$23.6$13.5-43%
2021$13.5$21.9+62%
2022$21.9$21.8-0.5%
2023$21.8$30.7+41%
2024$30.7$23.4-24%
2025$23.4$13.3-43%
2026 YTD$13.3$13.2-0.6%

CAL has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

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