CAL

Caleres, Inc.

50
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation28/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

CAL's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has the edge over CAL overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

CAL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Healthy

CAL's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

CAL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap4.8x$7.30-45%
Forward6.1x$13.20—
Fair6.3x$9.45-28%
Expensive8.5x$12.88-2.4%
Current8.7x$13.20—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CAL's PE is in its expensive range at 8.7x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 6.1x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over CAL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CAL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

CAL has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CAL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+42%$18.80
Downside-31%$9.13

Calculated from the latest close: $13.20 on Nov 12.

CAL trails NKE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CAL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CAL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.38Q1 2024: $4.80Q2 2024: $4.71Q3 2024: $4.61Q4 2024: $4.48Q1 2025: $3.09Q2 2025: $2.42Q3 2025: $1.77Q4 2025: $0.65Q1 2026: $-0.21Q2 2026: $0.00Q3 2026: $1.51Forward: $2.15
Q4 2023: $4.38Q1 2024: $4.80Q2 2024: $4.71Q3 2024: $4.61Q4 2024: $4.48Q1 2025: $3.09Q2 2025: $2.42Q3 2025: $1.77Q4 2025: $0.65Q1 2026: $-0.21Q2 2026: $0.00Q3 2026: $1.51Forward: $2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.15+42%
Q3 2026$1.51-15%
Q2 2026$0.00-100%
Q1 2026-$0.21-107%
Q4 2025$0.65-85%
Q3 2025$1.77-62%
Q2 2025$2.42-49%
Q1 2025$3.09-36%
Q4 2024$4.48+2.3%

CAL's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.51 over the past year, against $5.13 in mid-2022.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE has the edge over CAL on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

CAL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $762MQ1 2024: $697MQ2 2024: $659MQ3 2024: $683MQ4 2024: $741MQ1 2025: $639MQ2 2025: $614MQ3 2025: $659MQ4 2025: $790MQ1 2026: $695MQ2 2026: $667MQ3 2026: $695M
Q4 2023: $762MQ1 2024: $697MQ2 2024: $659MQ3 2024: $683MQ4 2024: $741MQ1 2025: $639MQ2 2025: $614MQ3 2025: $659MQ4 2025: $790MQ1 2026: $695MQ2 2026: $667MQ3 2026: $695M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$695.5M+5.6%
Q2 2026$666.6M+8.5%
Q1 2026$695.1M+8.7%
Q4 2025$790.1M+6.6%
Q3 2025$658.5M-3.6%
Q2 2025$614.2M-6.8%
Q1 2025$639.2M-8.3%
Q4 2024$740.9M-2.8%

CAL has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

CAL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $32MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: −$57MQ1 2025: $18MQ2 2025: −$26MQ3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: −$12MQ1 2026: $43MQ2 2026: −$39MQ3 2026: $76M
Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $32MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: −$57MQ1 2025: $18MQ2 2025: −$26MQ3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: −$12MQ1 2026: $43MQ2 2026: −$39MQ3 2026: $76M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$75.6M+116%
Q2 2026-$39M-$12.8M
Q1 2026$43.1M+140%
Q4 2025-$12.4M+$45M
Q3 2025$35M-49%
Q2 2025-$26.2M-200%
Q1 2025$18M-44%
Q4 2024-$57.4M-539%

CAL has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

CAL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 34MQ1 2024: 34MQ2 2024: 34MQ3 2024: 34MQ4 2024: 34MQ1 2025: 34MQ2 2025: 33MQ3 2025: 33MQ4 2025: 33MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 33MQ3 2026: 33M
Q4 2023: 34MQ1 2024: 34MQ2 2024: 34MQ3 2024: 34MQ4 2024: 34MQ1 2025: 34MQ2 2025: 33MQ3 2025: 33MQ4 2025: 33MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 33MQ3 2026: 33M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+77K shares
1 year+0.6%+206K shares
3 years-4.2%-1.5M shares

CAL has 33M diluted shares, up 0.6% from a year ago.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has the edge over CAL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CAL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 0.7xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 1.3xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: 3.3xQ1 2026: 4.0xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 1.6x
Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 0.7xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 1.3xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: 3.3xQ1 2026: 4.0xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 1.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.6xHealthy
Q2 20263.9xElevated
Q1 20264.0xHigh
Q4 20253.3xElevated
Q3 20251.4xHealthy
Q2 20251.3xHealthy
Q1 20250.9xVery low
Q4 20240.9xVery low

CAL's net debt is about 1.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.4 years a year ago.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE has the edge over CAL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

CAL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.4Neutral
Stochastic49.9Neutral

CAL's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

CAL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricCALSector medianRelative
PE8.7x18x51% below
PE %854738 pts above

CAL has the edge over NKE on valuation relative to its sector.

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

CAL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.83.4% above
20 week MA$12.64.4% above
50 week MA$12.64.5% above
100 week MA$14.05.6% below
200 week MA$22.040% below

CAL has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

CAL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$23.6$13.5-43%
2021$13.5$21.9+62%
2022$21.9$21.8-0.5%
2023$21.8$30.7+41%
2024$30.7$23.4-24%
2025$23.4$13.3-43%
2026 YTD$13.3$13.2-0.6%

CAL has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

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