CAL

Caleres, Inc.

50
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation28/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

CAL's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NIO

NIO Inc.

56
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

NIO has the edge over CAL overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

CAL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Healthy

CAL's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.

NIO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Stable
Unavailable

NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CAL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap4.8x$7.30-45%
Forward6.1x$13.20—
Fair6.3x$9.45-28%
Expensive8.5x$12.88-2.4%
Current8.7x$13.20—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CAL's PE is in its expensive range at 8.7x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 6.1x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

NIO PE Valuation

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CAL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect CAL's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

NIO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

NIO has the edge over CAL on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

CAL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+42%$18.80
Downside-31%$9.13

Calculated from the latest close: $13.20 on Nov 12.

CAL trails NIO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NIO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$4.21
Downside-27%$2.22

Calculated from the latest close: $3.05 on Nov 12.

NIO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CAL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CAL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.38Q1 2024: $4.80Q2 2024: $4.71Q3 2024: $4.61Q4 2024: $4.48Q1 2025: $3.09Q2 2025: $2.42Q3 2025: $1.77Q4 2025: $0.65Q1 2026: $-0.21Q2 2026: $0.00Q3 2026: $1.51Forward: $2.15
Q4 2023: $4.38Q1 2024: $4.80Q2 2024: $4.71Q3 2024: $4.61Q4 2024: $4.48Q1 2025: $3.09Q2 2025: $2.42Q3 2025: $1.77Q4 2025: $0.65Q1 2026: $-0.21Q2 2026: $0.00Q3 2026: $1.51Forward: $2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.15+42%
Q3 2026$1.51-15%
Q2 2026$0.00-100%
Q1 2026-$0.21-107%
Q4 2025$0.65-85%
Q3 2025$1.77-62%
Q2 2025$2.42-49%
Q1 2025$3.09-36%
Q4 2024$4.48+2.3%

CAL has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

NIO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.29+$1.45
Q1 2026-$0.60+$1.16
Q4 2025-$1.06+$0.60
Q3 2025-$1.59+$0.02
Q2 2025-$1.74-$0.10
Q1 2025-$1.76+$0.06
Q4 2024-$1.66+$0.21
Q3 2024-$1.61+$0.32

NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.

CAL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $762MQ1 2024: $697MQ2 2024: $659MQ3 2024: $683MQ4 2024: $741MQ1 2025: $639MQ2 2025: $614MQ3 2025: $659MQ4 2025: $790MQ1 2026: $695MQ2 2026: $667MQ3 2026: $695M
Q4 2023: $762MQ1 2024: $697MQ2 2024: $659MQ3 2024: $683MQ4 2024: $741MQ1 2025: $639MQ2 2025: $614MQ3 2025: $659MQ4 2025: $790MQ1 2026: $695MQ2 2026: $667MQ3 2026: $695M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$695.5M+5.6%
Q2 2026$666.6M+8.5%
Q1 2026$695.1M+8.7%
Q4 2025$790.1M+6.6%
Q3 2025$658.5M-3.6%
Q2 2025$614.2M-6.8%
Q1 2025$639.2M-8.3%
Q4 2024$740.9M-2.8%

CAL's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $695M last quarter, up 5.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

NIO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$4.8B+69%
Q1 2026$3.8B+112%
Q4 2025$5.2B+76%
Q3 2025$3.3B+17%
Q2 2025$2.9B+9%
Q1 2025$1.8B+21%
Q4 2024$3B+15%
Q3 2024$2.8B-2.1%

NIO has the edge over CAL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CAL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $32MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: −$57MQ1 2025: $18MQ2 2025: −$26MQ3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: −$12MQ1 2026: $43MQ2 2026: −$39MQ3 2026: $76M
Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $32MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: −$57MQ1 2025: $18MQ2 2025: −$26MQ3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: −$12MQ1 2026: $43MQ2 2026: −$39MQ3 2026: $76M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$75.6M+116%
Q2 2026-$39M-$12.8M
Q1 2026$43.1M+140%
Q4 2025-$12.4M+$45M
Q3 2025$35M-49%
Q2 2025-$26.2M-200%
Q1 2025$18M-44%
Q4 2024-$57.4M-539%

CAL's free cash flow has turned positive again: $67M over the past year, against −$31M the year before.

NIO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0+$2.1B
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0+$391.3M
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025-$2.1B+$73.9M
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024-$391.3M-386%
Q2 2024-$2.2B+$337.9M

NIO has the edge over CAL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CAL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 34MQ1 2024: 34MQ2 2024: 34MQ3 2024: 34MQ4 2024: 34MQ1 2025: 34MQ2 2025: 33MQ3 2025: 33MQ4 2025: 33MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 33MQ3 2026: 33M
Q4 2023: 34MQ1 2024: 34MQ2 2024: 34MQ3 2024: 34MQ4 2024: 34MQ1 2025: 34MQ2 2025: 33MQ3 2025: 33MQ4 2025: 33MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 33MQ3 2026: 33M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+77K shares
1 year+0.6%+206K shares
3 years-4.2%-1.5M shares

CAL has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NIO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+15.6M shares
1 year+12%+267M shares
3 years+51%+844M shares
5 years+60%+933M shares
Available history+143%+1.5B shares

NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.

CAL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 0.7xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 1.3xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: 3.3xQ1 2026: 4.0xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 1.6x
Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 0.7xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 1.3xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: 3.3xQ1 2026: 4.0xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 1.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.6xHealthy
Q2 20263.9xElevated
Q1 20264.0xHigh
Q4 20253.3xElevated
Q3 20251.4xHealthy
Q2 20251.3xHealthy
Q1 20250.9xVery low
Q4 20240.9xVery low

CAL's net debt is about 1.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.4 years a year ago.

NIO Net Leverage

NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CAL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.4Neutral
Stochastic49.9Neutral

CAL's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

NIO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.7Neutral
Stochastic6.9Oversold

NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

CAL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricCALSector medianRelative
PE8.7x18x51% below
PE %854738 pts above

CAL is trading at 8.7x earnings, a 51% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CAL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.83.4% above
20 week MA$12.64.4% above
50 week MA$12.64.5% above
100 week MA$14.05.6% below
200 week MA$22.040% below

CAL has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NIO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.369.2% below
20 week MA$4.0124% below
50 week MA$4.8137% below
100 week MA$4.8537% below
200 week MA$6.0349% below

NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.

CAL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$23.6$13.5-43%
2021$13.5$21.9+62%
2022$21.9$21.8-0.5%
2023$21.8$30.7+41%
2024$30.7$23.4-24%
2025$23.4$13.3-43%
2026 YTD$13.3$13.2-0.6%

CAL has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NIO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.42$45.8+1791%
2021$45.8$30.5-33%
2022$30.5$11.0-64%
2023$11.0$9.07-17%
2024$9.07$4.48-51%
2025$4.48$5.10+14%
2026 YTD$5.10$3.05-40%

NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.

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