CAL

Caleres, Inc.

50
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation28/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

CAL offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F has a slight edge over CAL overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

CAL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Healthy

CAL's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

CAL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap4.8x$7.30-45%
Forward6.1x$13.20—
Fair6.3x$9.45-28%
Expensive8.5x$12.88-2.4%
Current8.7x$13.20—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CAL's PE is in its expensive range at 8.7x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 6.1x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CAL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect CAL's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CAL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+42%$18.80
Downside-31%$9.13

Calculated from the latest close: $13.20 on Nov 12.

CAL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than F, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F trails CAL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CAL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.38Q1 2024: $4.80Q2 2024: $4.71Q3 2024: $4.61Q4 2024: $4.48Q1 2025: $3.09Q2 2025: $2.42Q3 2025: $1.77Q4 2025: $0.65Q1 2026: $-0.21Q2 2026: $0.00Q3 2026: $1.51Forward: $2.15
Q4 2023: $4.38Q1 2024: $4.80Q2 2024: $4.71Q3 2024: $4.61Q4 2024: $4.48Q1 2025: $3.09Q2 2025: $2.42Q3 2025: $1.77Q4 2025: $0.65Q1 2026: $-0.21Q2 2026: $0.00Q3 2026: $1.51Forward: $2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.15+42%
Q3 2026$1.51-15%
Q2 2026$0.00-100%
Q1 2026-$0.21-107%
Q4 2025$0.65-85%
Q3 2025$1.77-62%
Q2 2025$2.42-49%
Q1 2025$3.09-36%
Q4 2024$4.48+2.3%

CAL has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

CAL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $762MQ1 2024: $697MQ2 2024: $659MQ3 2024: $683MQ4 2024: $741MQ1 2025: $639MQ2 2025: $614MQ3 2025: $659MQ4 2025: $790MQ1 2026: $695MQ2 2026: $667MQ3 2026: $695M
Q4 2023: $762MQ1 2024: $697MQ2 2024: $659MQ3 2024: $683MQ4 2024: $741MQ1 2025: $639MQ2 2025: $614MQ3 2025: $659MQ4 2025: $790MQ1 2026: $695MQ2 2026: $667MQ3 2026: $695M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$695.5M+5.6%
Q2 2026$666.6M+8.5%
Q1 2026$695.1M+8.7%
Q4 2025$790.1M+6.6%
Q3 2025$658.5M-3.6%
Q2 2025$614.2M-6.8%
Q1 2025$639.2M-8.3%
Q4 2024$740.9M-2.8%

CAL's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $695M last quarter, up 5.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

CAL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $32MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: −$57MQ1 2025: $18MQ2 2025: −$26MQ3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: −$12MQ1 2026: $43MQ2 2026: −$39MQ3 2026: $76M
Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $32MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: −$57MQ1 2025: $18MQ2 2025: −$26MQ3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: −$12MQ1 2026: $43MQ2 2026: −$39MQ3 2026: $76M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$75.6M+116%
Q2 2026-$39M-$12.8M
Q1 2026$43.1M+140%
Q4 2025-$12.4M+$45M
Q3 2025$35M-49%
Q2 2025-$26.2M-200%
Q1 2025$18M-44%
Q4 2024-$57.4M-539%

CAL's free cash flow has turned positive again: $67M over the past year, against −$31M the year before.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F has the edge over CAL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CAL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 34MQ1 2024: 34MQ2 2024: 34MQ3 2024: 34MQ4 2024: 34MQ1 2025: 34MQ2 2025: 33MQ3 2025: 33MQ4 2025: 33MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 33MQ3 2026: 33M
Q4 2023: 34MQ1 2024: 34MQ2 2024: 34MQ3 2024: 34MQ4 2024: 34MQ1 2025: 34MQ2 2025: 33MQ3 2025: 33MQ4 2025: 33MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 33MQ3 2026: 33M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+77K shares
1 year+0.6%+206K shares
3 years-4.2%-1.5M shares

CAL has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

CAL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 0.7xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 1.3xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: 3.3xQ1 2026: 4.0xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 1.6x
Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 0.7xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 1.3xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: 3.3xQ1 2026: 4.0xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 1.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.6xHealthy
Q2 20263.9xElevated
Q1 20264.0xHigh
Q4 20253.3xElevated
Q3 20251.4xHealthy
Q2 20251.3xHealthy
Q1 20250.9xVery low
Q4 20240.9xVery low

CAL's net debt is about 1.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.4 years a year ago.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over CAL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

CAL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.4Neutral
Stochastic49.9Neutral

CAL's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

CAL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricCALSector medianRelative
PE8.7x18x51% below
PE %854738 pts above

CAL is trading at 8.7x earnings, a 51% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CAL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.83.4% above
20 week MA$12.64.4% above
50 week MA$12.64.5% above
100 week MA$14.05.6% below
200 week MA$22.040% below

CAL has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

CAL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$23.6$13.5-43%
2021$13.5$21.9+62%
2022$21.9$21.8-0.5%
2023$21.8$30.7+41%
2024$30.7$23.4-24%
2025$23.4$13.3-43%
2026 YTD$13.3$13.2-0.6%

CAL has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

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