CAH

Cardinal Health, Inc.

60
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation41/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

CAH has the edge over NVO overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

CAH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Healthy

CAH's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

CAH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE45x90x135x180x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE45x90x135x180x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap17x$130-53%
Forward21x$278—
Fair30x$231-17%
Current36x$278—
Expensive44x$341+23%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CAH's PE is in its expensive range at 36x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 21x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO has the edge over CAH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CAH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect CAH's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CAH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+21%$335.77
Downside-12%$245.12

Calculated from the latest close: $278.14 on Nov 12.

CAH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NVO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

NVO trails CAH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CAH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.55Q1 2024: $2.26Q2 2024: $3.43Q3 2024: $5.11Q4 2024: $5.33Q1 2025: $6.38Q2 2025: $6.45Q3 2025: $6.63Q4 2025: $6.95Q1 2026: $6.54Q2 2026: $7.23Q3 2026: $7.73Forward: $13.12
Q4 2023: $2.55Q1 2024: $2.26Q2 2024: $3.43Q3 2024: $5.11Q4 2024: $5.33Q1 2025: $6.38Q2 2025: $6.45Q3 2025: $6.63Q4 2025: $6.95Q1 2026: $6.54Q2 2026: $7.23Q3 2026: $7.73Forward: $13.12
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.12+70%
Q3 2026$7.73+17%
Q2 2026$7.23+12%
Q1 2026$6.54+2.5%
Q4 2025$6.95+30%
Q3 2025$6.63+30%
Q2 2025$6.45+88%
Q1 2025$6.38+182%
Q4 2024$5.33+109%

CAH has the edge over NVO on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $3.89 over the past year, up 4.9% from the year before, and higher year over year every quarter since late 2020.

CAH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $57.4BQ1 2024: $54.9BQ2 2024: $59.7BQ3 2024: $52.3BQ4 2024: $55.3BQ1 2025: $54.9BQ2 2025: $60.2BQ3 2025: $64BQ4 2025: $65.6BQ1 2026: $60.9BQ2 2026: $63.7BQ3 2026: $67.5B
Q4 2023: $57.4BQ1 2024: $54.9BQ2 2024: $59.7BQ3 2024: $52.3BQ4 2024: $55.3BQ1 2025: $54.9BQ2 2025: $60.2BQ3 2025: $64BQ4 2025: $65.6BQ1 2026: $60.9BQ2 2026: $63.7BQ3 2026: $67.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$67.5B+5.5%
Q2 2026$63.7B+5.8%
Q1 2026$60.9B+11%
Q4 2025$65.6B+19%
Q3 2025$64B+22%
Q2 2025$60.2B+0.8%
Q1 2025$54.9B-0.1%
Q4 2024$55.3B-3.8%

CAH's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $67.5B last quarter, up 5.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO has the edge over CAH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CAH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: −$161MQ2 2024: $1.9BQ3 2024: −$1.7BQ4 2024: −$499MQ1 2025: $2.8BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $865MQ4 2025: $555MQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: −$161MQ2 2024: $1.9BQ3 2024: −$1.7BQ4 2024: −$499MQ1 2025: $2.8BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $865MQ4 2025: $555MQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+43%
Q2 2026$1.4B+10%
Q1 2026$1.7B-40%
Q4 2025$555M+$1.1B
Q3 2025$865M+$2.6B
Q2 2025$1.3B-31%
Q1 2025$2.8B+$3B
Q4 2024-$499M-146%

CAH generated $4.9B in free cash flow over the past year, up 10% from the year before.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2026 peak: $7.3B over the past year.

CAH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 246MQ1 2024: 245MQ2 2024: 247MQ3 2024: 245MQ4 2024: 243MQ1 2025: 241MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 239MQ4 2025: 237MQ1 2026: 236MQ2 2026: 237MQ3 2026: 233M
Q4 2023: 246MQ1 2024: 245MQ2 2024: 247MQ3 2024: 245MQ4 2024: 243MQ1 2025: 241MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 239MQ4 2025: 237MQ1 2026: 236MQ2 2026: 237MQ3 2026: 233M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.7%-4M shares
1 year-2.5%-6M shares
3 years-6.8%-17M shares
5 years-19%-56M shares
Available history-21%-61M shares

CAH has the edge over NVO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has 4.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

CAH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.5xQ2 2026: 1.1xQ3 2026: 1.0x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.5xQ2 2026: 1.1xQ3 2026: 1.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.0xVery low
Q2 20261.1xHealthy
Q1 20261.5xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.4xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

CAH's net debt is about a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.4 years a year ago.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO has the edge over CAH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

CAH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI70.8Overbought
Stochastic81.9Overbought

CAH's weekly RSI is 71 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 82 (overbought).

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

CAH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricCAHSector medianRelative
PE36x26x39% above
PE %732944 pts above

CAH is trading at 36x earnings, a 39% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO has the edge over CAH on valuation relative to its sector.

CAH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$248.812% above
20 week MA$239.716% above
50 week MA$222.025% above
100 week MA$185.950% above
200 week MA$141.996% above

CAH has the edge over NVO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.

CAH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.5$53.8+4.5%
2021$53.8$50.8-5.7%
2022$50.8$80.1+58%
2023$80.1$100.8+26%
2024$100.8$119.1+18%
2025$119.1$208.3+75%
2026 YTD$208.3$278.1+34%

CAH has the edge over NVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

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