CAE
CAE Inc.
CAE has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RKLB
Rocket Lab USA, Inc.
RKLB has a slight edge over CAE overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
CAE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
CAE's cash flow is currently strong, and its revenue, profitability and balance sheet are stable.
RKLB Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
CAE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 27x | $17.24 | -39% |
| Fair | 34x | $21.68 | -23% |
| Current | 45x | $28.15 | — |
| Expensive | 54x | $34.18 | +21% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CAE's PE is 45x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
RKLB PE Valuation
RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CAE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect CAE's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
RKLB Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
RKLB has the edge over CAE on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
CAE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0.63 | -31% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.68 | -24% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.82 | +$1.33 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.96 | +$1.71 |
| Q2 2025 | $0.91 | +$1.66 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.89 | +$1.73 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.51 | -206% |
| Q3 2024 | -$0.75 | -242% |
CAE has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RKLB Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.36 | +$0.03 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.27 | +$0.19 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.32 | +$0.09 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.37 | +$0.01 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.39 | -$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.46 | -$0.11 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.41 | -$0.04 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.38 | $0.00 |
RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.
CAE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $824.9M | +6.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $935.1M | +4.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $880.3M | +2.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $869.4M | +8.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $772.4M | +2.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $896.7M | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $860.1M | +12% |
| Q3 2024 | $799.1M | +8.2% |
CAE's revenue has grown year over year for 23 quarters in a row: $825M last quarter, up 6.8% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 6.2% | -6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 15% | -3.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 16% | -5.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 13% | +2.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 12% | +2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 19% | +66 points |
| Q4 2024 | 21% | +10 points |
| Q3 2024 | 10% | +1.1 points |
CAE has the edge over RKLB on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RKLB Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $267.8M | +73% |
| Q2 2026 | $234.1M | +62% |
| Q1 2026 | $200.3M | +63% |
| Q4 2025 | $179.7M | +36% |
| Q3 2025 | $155.1M | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $144.5M | +36% |
| Q1 2025 | $122.6M | +32% |
| Q4 2024 | $132.4M | +121% |
RKLB has the edge over CAE on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -30% | +8.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | -25% | +17 points |
| Q1 2026 | -28% | +20 points |
| Q4 2025 | -28% | +11 points |
| Q3 2025 | -38% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -41% | -0.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | -48% | -1.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | -39% | +41 points |
RKLB's operating margin was −30% last quarter, up 8.5 points from the same quarter a year ago.
CAE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $86.8M | +$188.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $113.8M | +9% |
| Q4 2025 | $242M | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $70.8M | +25% |
| Q2 2025 | -$101.7M | -$52.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $104.4M | +54% |
| Q4 2024 | $217.7M | +205% |
| Q3 2024 | $56.7M | -5.9% |
CAE has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RKLB Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$23.9M | +$45.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$110.1M | -$54.8M |
| Q1 2026 | -$77.4M | +$5.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$114.2M | -$90.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$69.4M | -$27.5M |
| Q2 2025 | -$55.3M | -$26.9M |
| Q1 2025 | -$82.9M | -$61.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$23.9M | +$28.7M |
RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.
CAE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -4.1% | -13.2M shares |
| 1 year | -3.5% | -11.1M shares |
| 3 years | -2.8% | -8.8M shares |
| 5 years | +4.8% | +14.2M shares |
| Available history | +18% | +46.4M shares |
CAE has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $27.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $2.2M |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $1.2M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | $6.7M |
CAE spent $32M buying back its own shares over the past year, about five times what it spent the year before.
RKLB Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.6% | +22.6M shares |
| 1 year | +23% | +124M shares |
| 3 years | +35% | +168M shares |
| 5 years | +46% | +204M shares |
RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
CAE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 3.6x | Elevated |
| Q3 2024 | 3.9x | Elevated |
CAE's net debt is about 2.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
RKLB Net Leverage
RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
CAE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 61.2 | Neutral |
CAE's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 61 (neutral).
RKLB Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 46.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 27.6 | Neutral |
RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).
CAE PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | CAE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 45x | 24x | 87% above |
| PE % | 77 | 58 | 19 pts above |
CAE is trading at 45x earnings, a 87% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x, though its earnings don't support one.
RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector
RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CAE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $25.3 | 11% above |
| 20 week MA | $25.2 | 12% above |
| 50 week MA | $27.0 | 4.2% above |
| 100 week MA | $26.6 | 5.9% above |
| 200 week MA | $23.7 | 19% above |
CAE has the edge over RKLB on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RKLB Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $61.4 | 4.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $68.1 | 5.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $77.6 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $56.5 | 13% above |
| 200 week MA | $31.4 | 104% above |
RKLB's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 104% above its 200-week average.
CAE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $26.6 | $26.9 | +1.4% |
| 2021 | $26.9 | $25.3 | -5.9% |
| 2022 | $25.3 | $19.1 | -25% |
| 2023 | $19.1 | $21.6 | +13% |
| 2024 | $21.6 | $25.3 | +17% |
| 2025 | $25.3 | $31.4 | +24% |
| 2026 YTD | $31.4 | $28.2 | -10% |
CAE has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 10% so far in 2026.
RKLB Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.82 | $10.3 | +4.9% |
| 2021 | $10.3 | $12.0 | +17% |
| 2022 | $12.0 | $3.77 | -69% |
| 2023 | $3.77 | $5.53 | +47% |
| 2024 | $5.53 | $27.2 | +392% |
| 2025 | $27.2 | $70.7 | +160% |
| 2026 YTD | $70.7 | $64.1 | -9.3% |
RKLB has the edge over CAE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.