CAC

Camden National Corporation

61
Fundamentals78/ 100
Valuation44/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

CAC offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS has a slight edge over CAC overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

CAC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

CAC's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CAC.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

CAC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.9x7.8x12x16x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.9x7.8x12x16x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.3x$49.23-17%
Fair11x$56.41-4.9%
Current11x$59.31—
Forward11x$59.31—
Expensive13x$66.74+13%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CAC has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

CAC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect CAC's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

MS has the edge over CAC on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

CAC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$71.14
Downside-14%$51.29

Calculated from the latest close: $59.31 on Nov 12.

CAC trails MS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

MS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CAC, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

CAC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.97Q1 2024: $3.01Q2 2024: $2.97Q3 2024: $3.20Q4 2024: $3.62Q1 2025: $3.14Q2 2025: $3.16Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $3.84Q1 2026: $4.70Q2 2026: $5.22Q3 2026: $5.31Forward: $5.60
Q4 2023: $2.97Q1 2024: $3.01Q2 2024: $2.97Q3 2024: $3.20Q4 2024: $3.62Q1 2025: $3.14Q2 2025: $3.16Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $3.84Q1 2026: $4.70Q2 2026: $5.22Q3 2026: $5.31Forward: $5.60
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.60+5.5%
Q3 2026$5.31+51%
Q2 2026$5.22+65%
Q1 2026$4.70+50%
Q4 2025$3.84+6.1%
Q3 2025$3.51+9.7%
Q2 2025$3.16+6.4%
Q1 2025$3.14+4.3%
Q4 2024$3.62+22%

CAC's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $5.31 over the past year, up 51% from the year before, and higher year over year for eight quarters in a row.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over CAC on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

CAC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $39MQ1 2024: $42MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $45MQ4 2024: $48MQ1 2025: $60MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $65MQ4 2025: $68MQ1 2026: $64MQ2 2026: $67MQ3 2026: $69M
Q4 2023: $39MQ1 2024: $42MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $45MQ4 2024: $48MQ1 2025: $60MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $65MQ4 2025: $68MQ1 2026: $64MQ2 2026: $67MQ3 2026: $69M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$68.7M+5%
Q2 2026$67.4M+8.2%
Q1 2026$64.3M+7.1%
Q4 2025$68.1M+43%
Q3 2025$65.4M+45%
Q2 2025$62.3M+45%
Q1 2025$60.1M+44%
Q4 2024$47.6M+23%

CAC has the edge over MS on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $20.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

CAC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$12MQ1 2024: $17MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: −$16MQ4 2024: $41MQ1 2025: −$727,000Q2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: $19MQ1 2026: $18MQ2 2026: $30MQ3 2026: $33M
Q4 2023: −$12MQ1 2024: $17MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: −$16MQ4 2024: $41MQ1 2025: −$727,000Q2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: $19MQ1 2026: $18MQ2 2026: $30MQ3 2026: $33M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.3M-5.9%
Q2 2026$29.9M+558%
Q1 2026$18.2M+$19M
Q4 2025$19M-54%
Q3 2025$35.4M+$51.6M
Q2 2025$4.5M-66%
Q1 2025-$727K-104%
Q4 2024$41.2M+$53.3M

CAC has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

CAC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 15MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 15MQ1 2025: 17MQ2 2025: 17MQ3 2025: 17MQ4 2025: 17MQ1 2026: 17MQ2 2026: 17MQ3 2026: 17M
Q4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 15MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 15MQ1 2025: 17MQ2 2025: 17MQ3 2025: 17MQ4 2025: 17MQ1 2026: 17MQ2 2026: 17MQ3 2026: 17M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+13.2K shares
1 year+0.1%+10K shares
3 years+17%+2.4M shares
5 years+13%+2M shares
Available history+10%+1.6M shares

CAC has 17M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over CAC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CAC Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 20204.4xHigh
Q4 20194.0xElevated

CAC's net debt is about 4.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CAC.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

CAC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI65.7Neutral
Stochastic60.5Neutral

CAC's weekly RSI is 66 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

CAC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCACSector medianRelative
PE11x13x14% below
PE %67634 pts above

CAC has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

CAC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$57.43.3% above
20 week MA$56.94.3% above
50 week MA$51.515% above
100 week MA$45.929% above
200 week MA$40.746% above

CAC has the edge over MS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

CAC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$46.1$35.3-23%
2021$35.3$48.2+36%
2022$48.2$41.5-14%
2023$41.5$37.6-9.4%
2024$37.6$42.8+14%
2025$42.8$44.6+4%
2026 YTD$44.6$59.3+33%

CAC has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.

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