CAAS

China Automotive Systems, Inc.

75
Fundamentals81/ 100
Valuation83/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

CAAS has the edge over TSLA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

CAAS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

CAAS's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

CAAS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE178x355x533x711x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE178x355x533x711x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current2.2x$4.27—
Cheap3.2x$6.11+43%
Fair5.1x$9.66+126%
Expensive22x$41.22+865%
Forward36x$4.27—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CAAS has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

CAAS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong decline
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect CAAS's earnings to decline, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

TSLA has the edge over CAAS on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

CAAS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$5.36
Downside-15%$3.61

Calculated from the latest close: $4.27 on Nov 12.

CAAS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TSLA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA trails CAAS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CAAS Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.03Q4 2023: $1.25Q1 2024: $1.29Q2 2024: $1.18Q3 2024: $1.05Q4 2024: $0.99Q1 2025: $0.96Q2 2025: $0.97Q3 2025: $1.11Q4 2025: $1.42Q1 2026: $1.67Q2 2026: $1.91Forward: $0.12
Q3 2023: $1.03Q4 2023: $1.25Q1 2024: $1.29Q2 2024: $1.18Q3 2024: $1.05Q4 2024: $0.99Q1 2025: $0.96Q2 2025: $0.97Q3 2025: $1.11Q4 2025: $1.42Q1 2026: $1.67Q2 2026: $1.91Forward: $0.12
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.12-94%
Q2 2026$1.91+97%
Q1 2026$1.67+74%
Q4 2025$1.42+43%
Q3 2025$1.11+5.7%
Q2 2025$0.97-18%
Q1 2025$0.96-26%
Q4 2024$0.99-21%
Q3 2024$1.05+1.9%

CAAS has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.

CAAS Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $138MQ4 2023: $159MQ1 2024: $139MQ2 2024: $159MQ3 2024: $164MQ4 2024: $189MQ1 2025: $167MQ2 2025: $176MQ3 2025: $193MQ4 2025: $229MQ1 2026: $206MQ2 2026: $206M
Q3 2023: $138MQ4 2023: $159MQ1 2024: $139MQ2 2024: $159MQ3 2024: $164MQ4 2024: $189MQ1 2025: $167MQ2 2025: $176MQ3 2025: $193MQ4 2025: $229MQ1 2026: $206MQ2 2026: $206M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$206.2M+17%
Q1 2026$206.2M+23%
Q4 2025$229.2M+21%
Q3 2025$193.2M+18%
Q2 2025$176.2M+11%
Q1 2025$167.1M+20%
Q4 2024$188.7M+19%
Q3 2024$164.2M+19%

CAAS has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

CAAS Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4MQ4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: −$7MQ3 2024: −$841,000Q4 2024: −$32MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $23MQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $74MQ2 2026: $9M
Q3 2023: $4MQ4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: −$7MQ3 2024: −$841,000Q4 2024: −$32MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $23MQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $74MQ2 2026: $9M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$8.7M-62%
Q1 2026$74.4M+856%
Q4 2025$0+$32.2M
Q3 2025$0+$841K
Q2 2025$22.8M+$29.7M
Q1 2025$7.8M+31%
Q4 2024-$32.2M-1132%
Q3 2024-$841K-121%

CAAS has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.

CAAS Total Shares

Q3 2023: 30MQ4 2023: 30MQ1 2024: 30MQ2 2024: 30MQ3 2024: 30MQ4 2024: 30MQ1 2025: 30MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 30MQ2 2026: 30M
Q3 2023: 30MQ4 2023: 30MQ1 2024: 30MQ2 2024: 30MQ3 2024: 30MQ4 2024: 30MQ1 2025: 30MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 30MQ2 2026: 30M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year0%--
3 years-0.1%-18.8K shares
5 years-2.2%-685K shares
Available history-4.2%-1.3M shares

CAAS has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

CAAS Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -2.4xQ4 2023: -1.2xQ1 2024: -1.9xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -1.5xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -1.6xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.3x
Q3 2023: -2.4xQ4 2023: -1.2xQ1 2024: -1.9xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -1.5xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -1.6xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20251.0xVery low
Q3 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 20250.0xVery low
Q4 20240.3xVery low
Q3 2024-1.5xNet Cash

CAAS has more cash than debt.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has the edge over CAAS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

CAAS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.7Neutral
Stochastic6.1Oversold

CAAS's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

CAAS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricCAASSector medianRelative
PE2.2x18x88% below
PE %04747 pts below

CAAS has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

CAAS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.443.8% below
20 week MA$4.617.4% below
50 week MA$4.494.9% below
100 week MA$4.351.8% below
200 week MA$4.341.6% below

CAAS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.6% below its 200-week average.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA has the edge over CAAS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CAAS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$3.20$6.80+113%
2021$6.80$2.77-59%
2022$2.77$6.36+130%
2023$6.36$3.23-49%
2024$3.23$4.04+25%
2025$4.04$4.19+3.7%
2026 YTD$4.19$4.27+1.9%

CAAS has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

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