CAAS

China Automotive Systems, Inc.

75
Fundamentals81/ 100
Valuation83/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

CAAS has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

CAAS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

CAAS's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CAAS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE178x355x533x711x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE178x355x533x711x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current2.2x$4.27—
Cheap3.2x$6.11+43%
Fair5.1x$9.66+126%
Expensive22x$41.22+865%
Forward36x$4.27—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CAAS's PE is in its cheap range at 2.2x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 36x next year's earnings, in its expensive range.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CAAS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong decline
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect CAAS's earnings to decline, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RIVN has the edge over CAAS on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

CAAS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$5.36
Downside-15%$3.61

Calculated from the latest close: $4.27 on Nov 12.

CAAS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RIVN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN trails CAAS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CAAS Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.03Q4 2023: $1.25Q1 2024: $1.29Q2 2024: $1.18Q3 2024: $1.05Q4 2024: $0.99Q1 2025: $0.96Q2 2025: $0.97Q3 2025: $1.11Q4 2025: $1.42Q1 2026: $1.67Q2 2026: $1.91Forward: $0.12
Q3 2023: $1.03Q4 2023: $1.25Q1 2024: $1.29Q2 2024: $1.18Q3 2024: $1.05Q4 2024: $0.99Q1 2025: $0.96Q2 2025: $0.97Q3 2025: $1.11Q4 2025: $1.42Q1 2026: $1.67Q2 2026: $1.91Forward: $0.12
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.12-94%
Q2 2026$1.91+97%
Q1 2026$1.67+74%
Q4 2025$1.42+43%
Q3 2025$1.11+5.7%
Q2 2025$0.97-18%
Q1 2025$0.96-26%
Q4 2024$0.99-21%
Q3 2024$1.05+1.9%

CAAS has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

CAAS Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $138MQ4 2023: $159MQ1 2024: $139MQ2 2024: $159MQ3 2024: $164MQ4 2024: $189MQ1 2025: $167MQ2 2025: $176MQ3 2025: $193MQ4 2025: $229MQ1 2026: $206MQ2 2026: $206M
Q3 2023: $138MQ4 2023: $159MQ1 2024: $139MQ2 2024: $159MQ3 2024: $164MQ4 2024: $189MQ1 2025: $167MQ2 2025: $176MQ3 2025: $193MQ4 2025: $229MQ1 2026: $206MQ2 2026: $206M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$206.2M+17%
Q1 2026$206.2M+23%
Q4 2025$229.2M+21%
Q3 2025$193.2M+18%
Q2 2025$176.2M+11%
Q1 2025$167.1M+20%
Q4 2024$188.7M+19%
Q3 2024$164.2M+19%

CAAS's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $206M last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN's revenue is growing: $2.2B last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.

CAAS Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4MQ4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: −$7MQ3 2024: −$841,000Q4 2024: −$32MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $23MQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $74MQ2 2026: $9M
Q3 2023: $4MQ4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: −$7MQ3 2024: −$841,000Q4 2024: −$32MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $23MQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $74MQ2 2026: $9M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$8.7M-62%
Q1 2026$74.4M+856%
Q4 2025$0+$32.2M
Q3 2025$0+$841K
Q2 2025$22.8M+$29.7M
Q1 2025$7.8M+31%
Q4 2024-$32.2M-1132%
Q3 2024-$841K-121%

CAAS has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

CAAS Total Shares

Q3 2023: 30MQ4 2023: 30MQ1 2024: 30MQ2 2024: 30MQ3 2024: 30MQ4 2024: 30MQ1 2025: 30MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 30MQ2 2026: 30M
Q3 2023: 30MQ4 2023: 30MQ1 2024: 30MQ2 2024: 30MQ3 2024: 30MQ4 2024: 30MQ1 2025: 30MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 30MQ2 2026: 30M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year0%--
3 years-0.1%-18.8K shares
5 years-2.2%-685K shares
Available history-4.2%-1.3M shares

CAAS has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

CAAS Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -2.4xQ4 2023: -1.2xQ1 2024: -1.9xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -1.5xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -1.6xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.3x
Q3 2023: -2.4xQ4 2023: -1.2xQ1 2024: -1.9xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -1.5xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -1.6xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20251.0xVery low
Q3 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 20250.0xVery low
Q4 20240.3xVery low
Q3 2024-1.5xNet Cash

CAAS has more cash than debt.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CAAS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.7Neutral
Stochastic6.1Oversold

CAAS's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

CAAS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricCAASSector medianRelative
PE2.2x18x88% below
PE %04747 pts below

CAAS is trading at 2.2x earnings, a 88% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CAAS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.443.8% below
20 week MA$4.617.4% below
50 week MA$4.494.9% below
100 week MA$4.351.8% below
200 week MA$4.341.6% below

CAAS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.6% below its 200-week average.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

CAAS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$3.20$6.80+113%
2021$6.80$2.77-59%
2022$2.77$6.36+130%
2023$6.36$3.23-49%
2024$3.23$4.04+25%
2025$4.04$4.19+3.7%
2026 YTD$4.19$4.27+1.9%

CAAS has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

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