CAAS

China Automotive Systems, Inc.

75
Fundamentals81/ 100
Valuation83/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

CAAS has the edge over EBAY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

EBAY

eBay Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation21/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

EBAY's outlook is improving despite an expensive valuation.

CAAS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

CAAS's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

EBAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

CAAS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE178x355x533x711x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE178x355x533x711x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current2.2x$4.27—
Cheap3.2x$6.11+43%
Fair5.1x$9.66+126%
Expensive22x$41.22+865%
Forward36x$4.27—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CAAS has the edge over EBAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

EBAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$31.50-74%
Fair16x$71.96-40%
Forward18x$120—
Expensive22x$99.04-18%
Current26x$120—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

CAAS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong decline
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect CAAS's earnings to decline, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

EBAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Moderate

EBAY has the edge over CAAS on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

CAAS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$5.36
Downside-15%$3.61

Calculated from the latest close: $4.27 on Nov 12.

CAAS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than EBAY, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

EBAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$142.26
Downside-17%$100.06

Calculated from the latest close: $120.14 on Nov 12.

EBAY trails CAAS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

CAAS Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.03Q4 2023: $1.25Q1 2024: $1.29Q2 2024: $1.18Q3 2024: $1.05Q4 2024: $0.99Q1 2025: $0.96Q2 2025: $0.97Q3 2025: $1.11Q4 2025: $1.42Q1 2026: $1.67Q2 2026: $1.91Forward: $0.12
Q3 2023: $1.03Q4 2023: $1.25Q1 2024: $1.29Q2 2024: $1.18Q3 2024: $1.05Q4 2024: $0.99Q1 2025: $0.96Q2 2025: $0.97Q3 2025: $1.11Q4 2025: $1.42Q1 2026: $1.67Q2 2026: $1.91Forward: $0.12
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.12-94%
Q2 2026$1.91+97%
Q1 2026$1.67+74%
Q4 2025$1.42+43%
Q3 2025$1.11+5.7%
Q2 2025$0.97-18%
Q1 2025$0.96-26%
Q4 2024$0.99-21%
Q3 2024$1.05+1.9%

CAAS has the edge over EBAY on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

EBAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.63+45%
Q3 2026$4.57+0.4%
Q2 2026$4.82+7.3%
Q1 2026$4.40+6%
Q4 2025$4.34+10%
Q3 2025$4.55+15%
Q2 2025$4.49-12%
Q1 2025$4.15-17%
Q4 2024$3.94-24%

EBAY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.57 over the past year, against $20.25 in late 2021.

CAAS Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $138MQ4 2023: $159MQ1 2024: $139MQ2 2024: $159MQ3 2024: $164MQ4 2024: $189MQ1 2025: $167MQ2 2025: $176MQ3 2025: $193MQ4 2025: $229MQ1 2026: $206MQ2 2026: $206M
Q3 2023: $138MQ4 2023: $159MQ1 2024: $139MQ2 2024: $159MQ3 2024: $164MQ4 2024: $189MQ1 2025: $167MQ2 2025: $176MQ3 2025: $193MQ4 2025: $229MQ1 2026: $206MQ2 2026: $206M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$206.2M+17%
Q1 2026$206.2M+23%
Q4 2025$229.2M+21%
Q3 2025$193.2M+18%
Q2 2025$176.2M+11%
Q1 2025$167.1M+20%
Q4 2024$188.7M+19%
Q3 2024$164.2M+19%

CAAS has the edge over EBAY on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

EBAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.2B+14%
Q2 2026$3.1B+15%
Q1 2026$3.1B+19%
Q4 2025$3B+15%
Q3 2025$2.8B+9.5%
Q2 2025$2.7B+6.1%
Q1 2025$2.6B+1.1%
Q4 2024$2.6B+0.7%

EBAY's revenue has grown year over year for 15 quarters in a row: $3.2B last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.

CAAS Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4MQ4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: −$7MQ3 2024: −$841,000Q4 2024: −$32MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $23MQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $74MQ2 2026: $9M
Q3 2023: $4MQ4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: −$7MQ3 2024: −$841,000Q4 2024: −$32MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $23MQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $74MQ2 2026: $9M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$8.7M-62%
Q1 2026$74.4M+856%
Q4 2025$0+$32.2M
Q3 2025$0+$841K
Q2 2025$22.8M+$29.7M
Q1 2025$7.8M+31%
Q4 2024-$32.2M-1132%
Q3 2024-$841K-121%

CAAS's free cash flow has turned positive again: $83M over the past year, against −$2M the year before.

EBAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$749M-6.7%
Q2 2026$300M+$741M
Q1 2026$897M+39%
Q4 2025$466M-17%
Q3 2025$803M+24%
Q2 2025-$441M-259%
Q1 2025$644M+36%
Q4 2024$560M+$564M

EBAY generated $2.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 54% from the year before.

CAAS Total Shares

Q3 2023: 30MQ4 2023: 30MQ1 2024: 30MQ2 2024: 30MQ3 2024: 30MQ4 2024: 30MQ1 2025: 30MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 30MQ2 2026: 30M
Q3 2023: 30MQ4 2023: 30MQ1 2024: 30MQ2 2024: 30MQ3 2024: 30MQ4 2024: 30MQ1 2025: 30MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 30MQ2 2026: 30M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year0%--
3 years-0.1%-18.8K shares
5 years-2.2%-685K shares
Available history-4.2%-1.3M shares

CAAS has 30M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

EBAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-2M shares
1 year-3%-14M shares
3 years-15%-79M shares
5 years-31%-205M shares
Available history-44%-359M shares

EBAY has the edge over CAAS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CAAS Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -2.4xQ4 2023: -1.2xQ1 2024: -1.9xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -1.5xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -1.6xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.3x
Q3 2023: -2.4xQ4 2023: -1.2xQ1 2024: -1.9xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -1.5xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -1.6xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20251.0xVery low
Q3 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 20250.0xVery low
Q4 20240.3xVery low
Q3 2024-1.5xNet Cash

CAAS has the edge over EBAY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

EBAY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

EBAY's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.7 years a year ago.

CAAS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.7Neutral
Stochastic6.1Oversold

CAAS's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

EBAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.9Neutral
Stochastic80.0Overbought

EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

CAAS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricCAASSector medianRelative
PE2.2x18x88% below
PE %04747 pts below

CAAS has the edge over EBAY on valuation relative to its sector.

EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricEBAYSector medianRelative
PE26x18x46% above
PE %914744 pts above

EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

CAAS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.443.8% below
20 week MA$4.617.4% below
50 week MA$4.494.9% below
100 week MA$4.351.8% below
200 week MA$4.341.6% below

CAAS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.6% below its 200-week average.

EBAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.53.1% above
20 week MA$112.46.9% above
50 week MA$102.617% above
100 week MA$89.834% above
200 week MA$69.573% above

EBAY has the edge over CAAS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CAAS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$3.20$6.80+113%
2021$6.80$2.77-59%
2022$2.77$6.36+130%
2023$6.36$3.23-49%
2024$3.23$4.04+25%
2025$4.04$4.19+3.7%
2026 YTD$4.19$4.27+1.9%

CAAS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +130% in 2022 to −59% in 2021. It's up 1.9% so far in 2026.

EBAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.1$50.1+39%
2021$50.1$64.9+29%
2022$64.9$40.2-38%
2023$40.2$43.6+8.6%
2024$43.6$62.8+44%
2025$62.8$85.2+36%
2026 YTD$85.2$120.1+41%

EBAY has the edge over CAAS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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