C

Citigroup Inc.

61
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

C offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS has a slight edge over C overall, supported by stronger valuation.

C Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

C's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like C.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

C PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.3x13x19x25x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.3x13x19x25x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.3x$64.83-48%
Fair9.8x$101-19%
Forward10x$124—
Current12x$124—
Expensive16x$164+32%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

C has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

C Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for C, with profitability improving.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

C Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$164.88
Downside-11%$110.19

Calculated from the latest close: $124.06 on Nov 12.

C has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

MS trails C on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

C Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.04Q1 2024: $3.43Q2 2024: $3.62Q3 2024: $3.50Q4 2024: $5.94Q1 2025: $6.32Q2 2025: $6.76Q3 2025: $7.11Q4 2025: $6.99Q1 2026: $8.09Q2 2026: $9.28Q3 2026: $10.27Forward: $12.18
Q4 2023: $4.04Q1 2024: $3.43Q2 2024: $3.62Q3 2024: $3.50Q4 2024: $5.94Q1 2025: $6.32Q2 2025: $6.76Q3 2025: $7.11Q4 2025: $6.99Q1 2026: $8.09Q2 2026: $9.28Q3 2026: $10.27Forward: $12.18
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$12.18+19%
Q3 2026$10.27+44%
Q2 2026$9.28+37%
Q1 2026$8.09+28%
Q4 2025$6.99+18%
Q3 2025$7.11+103%
Q2 2025$6.76+87%
Q1 2025$6.32+84%
Q4 2024$5.94+47%

C has the edge over MS on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $12.60 over the past year, up 29% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row.

C Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $17.4BQ1 2024: $21.1BQ2 2024: $20.1BQ3 2024: $20.3BQ4 2024: $19.6BQ1 2025: $21.6BQ2 2025: $21.7BQ3 2025: $22.1BQ4 2025: $19.9BQ1 2026: $24.6BQ2 2026: $24.8BQ3 2026: $23.8B
Q4 2023: $17.4BQ1 2024: $21.1BQ2 2024: $20.1BQ3 2024: $20.3BQ4 2024: $19.6BQ1 2025: $21.6BQ2 2025: $21.7BQ3 2025: $22.1BQ4 2025: $19.9BQ1 2026: $24.6BQ2 2026: $24.8BQ3 2026: $23.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$23.8B+7.9%
Q2 2026$24.8B+14%
Q1 2026$24.6B+14%
Q4 2025$19.9B+1.5%
Q3 2025$22.1B+8.7%
Q2 2025$21.7B+7.6%
Q1 2025$21.6B+2.3%
Q4 2024$19.6B+12%

C's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $23.8B last quarter, up 7.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS has the edge over C on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

C Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6.4BQ1 2024: −$12.4BQ2 2024: −$18.6BQ3 2024: −$18.2BQ4 2024: $23.1BQ1 2025: −$60.2BQ2 2025: −$38.3BQ3 2025: −$517MQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: −$23.3BQ2 2026: −$25.6BQ3 2026: $22.3B
Q4 2023: −$6.4BQ1 2024: −$12.4BQ2 2024: −$18.6BQ3 2024: −$18.2BQ4 2024: $23.1BQ1 2025: −$60.2BQ2 2025: −$38.3BQ3 2025: −$517MQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: −$23.3BQ2 2026: −$25.6BQ3 2026: $22.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$22.3B+$22.8B
Q2 2026-$25.6B+$12.7B
Q1 2026-$23.3B+$36.9B
Q4 2025$24.9B+7.9%
Q3 2025-$517M+$17.7B
Q2 2025-$38.3B-$19.7B
Q1 2025-$60.2B-$47.8B
Q4 2024$23.1B+$29.5B

C has the edge over MS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

C Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2BQ1 2024: 1.9BQ2 2024: 1.9BQ3 2024: 1.9BQ4 2024: 1.9BQ1 2025: 1.9BQ2 2025: 1.9BQ3 2025: 1.9BQ4 2025: 1.9BQ1 2026: 1.8BQ2 2026: 1.7BQ3 2026: 1.7B
Q4 2023: 2BQ1 2024: 1.9BQ2 2024: 1.9BQ3 2024: 1.9BQ4 2024: 1.9BQ1 2025: 1.9BQ2 2025: 1.9BQ3 2025: 1.9BQ4 2025: 1.9BQ1 2026: 1.8BQ2 2026: 1.7BQ3 2026: 1.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.7%-29M shares
1 year-8.4%-156M shares
3 years-13%-245M shares
5 years-16%-320M shares
Available history-25%-559M shares

C has the edge over MS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.

C Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 18.1xQ1 2024: 19.5xQ2 2024: 19.4xQ3 2024: 21.7xQ4 2024: 16.0xQ1 2025: 15.5xQ2 2025: 16.0xQ3 2025: 15.2xQ4 2025: 15.0xQ1 2026: 13.5xQ2 2026: 13.0xQ3 2026: 13.0x
Q4 2023: 18.1xQ1 2024: 19.5xQ2 2024: 19.4xQ3 2024: 21.7xQ4 2024: 16.0xQ1 2025: 15.5xQ2 2025: 16.0xQ3 2025: 15.2xQ4 2025: 15.0xQ1 2026: 13.5xQ2 2026: 13.0xQ3 2026: 13.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202613.0xHigh
Q2 202613.0xHigh
Q1 202613.5xHigh
Q4 202515.0xHigh
Q3 202515.2xHigh
Q2 202516.0xHigh
Q1 202515.5xHigh
Q4 202416.0xHigh

C's net debt is about 13 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 15 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like C.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS has the edge over C on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

C Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.5Neutral
Stochastic16.5Oversold

C's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

C PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCSector medianRelative
PE12x13x7.2% below
PE %60633 pts below

C has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

C Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$125.41.1% below
20 week MA$131.35.5% below
50 week MA$124.80.6% below
100 week MA$104.419% above
200 week MA$79.057% above

C has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 57% above its 200-week average.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS has the edge over C on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

C Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$79.7$60.6-24%
2021$60.6$60.2-0.6%
2022$60.2$44.3-26%
2023$44.3$51.4+16%
2024$51.4$71.0+38%
2025$71.0$120.4+70%
2026 YTD$120.4$124.1+3%

C has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 3% so far in 2026.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over C on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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