BXSL

Blackstone Secured Lending Fund

33
Fundamentals47/ 100
Valuation9/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

BXSL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.

70
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SOFI has the edge over BXSL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

BXSL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

BXSL's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BXSL.

SOFI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.

BXSL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8x$9.65-59%
Forward9.3x$23.67—
Fair9.4x$11.30-52%
Expensive11x$12.62-47%
Current20x$23.67—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BXSL's PE is in its expensive range at 20x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 9.3x, in its fair range.

SOFI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$15.63—
Current28x$15.63—
Cheap33x$18.24+17%
Fair43x$23.82+52%
Expensive53x$29.74+90%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SOFI has the edge over BXSL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BXSL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Decline
Decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect BXSL's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening.

SOFI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

SOFI has the edge over BXSL on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

BXSL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+12%$26.60
Downside-12%$20.92

Calculated from the latest close: $23.67 on Nov 12.

BXSL trails SOFI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SOFI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+79%$27.97
Downside-20%$12.51

Calculated from the latest close: $15.63 on Nov 12.

SOFI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BXSL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BXSL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.65Q1 2024: $3.75Q2 2024: $3.86Q3 2024: $3.60Q4 2024: $3.45Q1 2025: $3.15Q2 2025: $2.82Q3 2025: $2.64Q4 2025: $2.46Q1 2026: $1.91Q2 2026: $1.27Q3 2026: $1.20Forward: $2.54
Q4 2023: $3.65Q1 2024: $3.75Q2 2024: $3.86Q3 2024: $3.60Q4 2024: $3.45Q1 2025: $3.15Q2 2025: $2.82Q3 2025: $2.64Q4 2025: $2.46Q1 2026: $1.91Q2 2026: $1.27Q3 2026: $1.20Forward: $2.54
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.54+111%
Q3 2026$1.20-55%
Q2 2026$1.27-55%
Q1 2026$1.91-39%
Q4 2025$2.46-29%
Q3 2025$2.64-27%
Q2 2025$2.82-27%
Q1 2025$3.15-16%
Q4 2024$3.45-5.5%

BXSL's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.20 over the past year, against $6.63 in early 2021.

SOFI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.82+47%
Q3 2026$0.560%
Q2 2026$0.49-2%
Q1 2026$0.45+4.7%
Q4 2025$0.390%
Q3 2025$0.56+367%
Q2 2025$0.50+$0.72
Q1 2025$0.43+$0.72
Q4 2024$0.39+$0.75

SOFI has the edge over BXSL on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BXSL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2022$118.4M-1.9%
Q1 2022$142.5M+23%
Q4 2021$157.6M+23%
Q3 2021$117.1M-36%
Q2 2021$120.7M-48%
Q4 2020$127.9M+140%

SOFI has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is down 1.9% for BXSL versus up 44% for SOFI.

SOFI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+44%
Q2 2026$1.2B+43%
Q1 2026$1.1B+43%
Q4 2025$1B+40%
Q3 2025$961.6M+38%
Q2 2025$854.9M+43%
Q1 2025$771.8M+20%
Q4 2024$734.1M+19%

SOFI's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since mid-2022: $1.4B last quarter, up 44% from the same quarter a year ago.

BXSL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$128MQ1 2024: −$396MQ2 2024: −$709MQ3 2024: −$518MQ4 2024: −$904MQ1 2025: $425MQ2 2025: −$221MQ3 2025: −$433MQ4 2025: −$230MQ1 2026: $249MQ2 2026: $561MQ3 2026: $479M
Q4 2023: −$128MQ1 2024: −$396MQ2 2024: −$709MQ3 2024: −$518MQ4 2024: −$904MQ1 2025: $425MQ2 2025: −$221MQ3 2025: −$433MQ4 2025: −$230MQ1 2026: $249MQ2 2026: $561MQ3 2026: $479M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$479.3M+$911.9M
Q2 2026$561M+$782M
Q1 2026$249.3M-41%
Q4 2025-$229.7M+$674.2M
Q3 2025-$432.6M+$85.1M
Q2 2025-$221.1M+$488.1M
Q1 2025$424.7M+$820.2M
Q4 2024-$903.9M-$775.9M

BXSL has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SOFI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.1B-$1.7B
Q2 2026-$4B-$2.5B
Q1 2026-$2.4B-$2.4B
Q4 2025-$1.1B-$815.2M
Q3 2025-$1.4B-$149M
Q2 2025-$1.5B-$1B
Q1 2025-$31.1M-104%
Q4 2024-$242.4M+$39.9M

SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

BXSL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 168MQ1 2024: 191MQ2 2024: 194MQ3 2024: 203MQ4 2024: 201MQ1 2025: 227MQ2 2025: 228MQ3 2025: 230MQ4 2025: 229MQ1 2026: 232MQ2 2026: 233MQ3 2026: 233M
Q4 2023: 168MQ1 2024: 191MQ2 2024: 194MQ3 2024: 203MQ4 2024: 201MQ1 2025: 227MQ2 2025: 228MQ3 2025: 230MQ4 2025: 229MQ1 2026: 232MQ2 2026: 233MQ3 2026: 233M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+333K shares
1 year+1.1%+2.4M shares
3 years+37%+63M shares
5 years+39%+65.3M shares
Available history+367%+183M shares

BXSL has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SOFI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+5.8M shares
1 year+5.2%+66.8M shares
3 years+43%+407M shares
5 years+272%+993M shares

SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.

BXSL Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 202212.4xHigh
Q1 202210.6xHigh
Q4 202110.0xHigh
Q3 202110.0xHigh
Q2 202112.9xHigh
Q1 202120.0xHigh

BXSL's net debt is about 12 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 13 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BXSL.

SOFI Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.8xNet Cash

SOFI has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

BXSL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.5Neutral
Stochastic33.0Neutral

BXSL's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

SOFI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.1Neutral
Stochastic41.5Neutral

SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

BXSL PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBXSLSector medianRelative
PE20x13x52% above
PE %1006436 pts above

BXSL has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.

SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSOFISector medianRelative
PE28x13x114% above
PE %26159 pts below

SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

BXSL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$23.80.5% below
20 week MA$24.01.5% below
50 week MA$24.53.3% below
100 week MA$27.514% below
200 week MA$28.015% below

BXSL is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

SOFI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.70.7% below
20 week MA$17.07.8% below
50 week MA$18.917% below
100 week MA$18.917% below
200 week MA$13.516% above

SOFI has the edge over BXSL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BXSL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$29.0$37.6+30%
2022$37.6$22.9-39%
2023$22.9$27.6+20%
2024$27.6$33.3+20%
2025$33.3$27.2-18%
2026 YTD$27.2$23.7-13%

BXSL has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SOFI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.4$12.4+19%
2021$12.4$15.1+22%
2022$15.1$4.61-69%
2023$4.61$9.95+116%
2024$9.95$16.0+61%
2025$16.0$27.1+69%
2026 YTD$27.1$15.6-42%

SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.

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