BXSL

Blackstone Secured Lending Fund

33
Fundamentals47/ 100
Valuation9/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

BXSL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

HOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.

59
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

HOOD has the edge over BXSL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

BXSL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

BXSL's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BXSL.

HOOD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.

BXSL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8x$9.65-59%
Forward9.3x$23.67—
Fair9.4x$11.30-52%
Expensive11x$12.62-47%
Current20x$23.67—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BXSL's PE is in its expensive range at 20x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 9.3x, in its fair range.

HOOD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward30x$81.35—
Cheap37x$78.84-3.1%
Current38x$81.35—
Fair51x$110+35%
Expensive74x$160+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HOOD has the edge over BXSL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BXSL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Decline
Decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect BXSL's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening.

HOOD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

HOOD has the edge over BXSL on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

BXSL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+12%$26.60
Downside-12%$20.92

Calculated from the latest close: $23.67 on Nov 12.

BXSL trails HOOD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HOOD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+81%$147.58
Downside-29%$57.66

Calculated from the latest close: $81.35 on Nov 12.

HOOD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BXSL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BXSL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.65Q1 2024: $3.75Q2 2024: $3.86Q3 2024: $3.60Q4 2024: $3.45Q1 2025: $3.15Q2 2025: $2.82Q3 2025: $2.64Q4 2025: $2.46Q1 2026: $1.91Q2 2026: $1.27Q3 2026: $1.20Forward: $2.54
Q4 2023: $3.65Q1 2024: $3.75Q2 2024: $3.86Q3 2024: $3.60Q4 2024: $3.45Q1 2025: $3.15Q2 2025: $2.82Q3 2025: $2.64Q4 2025: $2.46Q1 2026: $1.91Q2 2026: $1.27Q3 2026: $1.20Forward: $2.54
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.54+111%
Q3 2026$1.20-55%
Q2 2026$1.27-55%
Q1 2026$1.91-39%
Q4 2025$2.46-29%
Q3 2025$2.64-27%
Q2 2025$2.82-27%
Q1 2025$3.15-16%
Q4 2024$3.45-5.5%

BXSL's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.20 over the past year, against $6.63 in early 2021.

HOOD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.72+26%
Q3 2026$2.16-10%
Q2 2026$2.26+15%
Q1 2026$2.06+18%
Q4 2025$2.05+31%
Q3 2025$2.40+314%
Q2 2025$1.96+513%
Q1 2025$1.75+1150%
Q4 2024$1.56+$2.17

HOOD has the edge over BXSL on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BXSL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2022$118.4M-1.9%
Q1 2022$142.5M+23%
Q4 2021$157.6M+23%
Q3 2021$117.1M-36%
Q2 2021$120.7M-48%
Q4 2020$127.9M+140%

HOOD has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is down 1.9% for BXSL versus up 12% for HOOD.

HOOD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+12%
Q2 2026$1.3B+32%
Q1 2026$1.1B+15%
Q4 2025$1.3B+27%
Q3 2025$1.3B+100%
Q2 2025$989M+45%
Q1 2025$927M+50%
Q4 2024$1B+115%

HOOD's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $1.4B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

BXSL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$128MQ1 2024: −$396MQ2 2024: −$709MQ3 2024: −$518MQ4 2024: −$904MQ1 2025: $425MQ2 2025: −$221MQ3 2025: −$433MQ4 2025: −$230MQ1 2026: $249MQ2 2026: $561MQ3 2026: $479M
Q4 2023: −$128MQ1 2024: −$396MQ2 2024: −$709MQ3 2024: −$518MQ4 2024: −$904MQ1 2025: $425MQ2 2025: −$221MQ3 2025: −$433MQ4 2025: −$230MQ1 2026: $249MQ2 2026: $561MQ3 2026: $479M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$479.3M+$911.9M
Q2 2026$561M+$782M
Q1 2026$249.3M-41%
Q4 2025-$229.7M+$674.2M
Q3 2025-$432.6M+$85.1M
Q2 2025-$221.1M+$488.1M
Q1 2025$424.7M+$820.2M
Q4 2024-$903.9M-$775.9M

BXSL has the edge over HOOD on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HOOD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+$2.8B
Q2 2026$720M-79%
Q1 2026$2B+217%
Q4 2025-$937M+$463M
Q3 2025-$1.6B-187%
Q2 2025$3.5B+6398%
Q1 2025$642M+$1.3B
Q4 2024-$1.4B-246%

HOOD's free cash flow was $3B over the past year, up 159% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.

BXSL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 168MQ1 2024: 191MQ2 2024: 194MQ3 2024: 203MQ4 2024: 201MQ1 2025: 227MQ2 2025: 228MQ3 2025: 230MQ4 2025: 229MQ1 2026: 232MQ2 2026: 233MQ3 2026: 233M
Q4 2023: 168MQ1 2024: 191MQ2 2024: 194MQ3 2024: 203MQ4 2024: 201MQ1 2025: 227MQ2 2025: 228MQ3 2025: 230MQ4 2025: 229MQ1 2026: 232MQ2 2026: 233MQ3 2026: 233M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+333K shares
1 year+1.1%+2.4M shares
3 years+37%+63M shares
5 years+39%+65.3M shares
Available history+367%+183M shares

BXSL has 233M diluted shares, up 1.1% from a year ago.

HOOD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-1M shares
1 year-0.8%-6.9M shares
3 years+1.8%+15.9M shares
5 years+292%+679M shares
Available history+7.2%+60.8M shares

HOOD has the edge over BXSL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BXSL Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 202212.4xHigh
Q1 202210.6xHigh
Q4 202110.0xHigh
Q3 202110.0xHigh
Q2 202112.9xHigh
Q1 202120.0xHigh

BXSL's net debt is about 12 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 13 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BXSL.

HOOD Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.8xNet Cash

HOOD has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.

BXSL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.5Neutral
Stochastic33.0Neutral

BXSL's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

HOOD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic9.5Oversold

HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

BXSL PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBXSLSector medianRelative
PE20x13x52% above
PE %1006436 pts above

BXSL has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.

HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHOODSector medianRelative
PE38x13x189% above
PE %226644 pts below

HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

BXSL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$23.80.5% below
20 week MA$24.01.5% below
50 week MA$24.53.3% below
100 week MA$27.514% below
200 week MA$28.015% below

BXSL is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

HOOD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$97.817% below
20 week MA$102.220% below
50 week MA$95.415% below
100 week MA$88.58.1% below
200 week MA$52.156% above

HOOD has the edge over BXSL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BXSL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$29.0$37.6+30%
2022$37.6$22.9-39%
2023$22.9$27.6+20%
2024$27.6$33.3+20%
2025$33.3$27.2-18%
2026 YTD$27.2$23.7-13%

BXSL has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

HOOD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$35.2$18.9-46%
2022$18.9$7.95-58%
2023$7.95$12.7+60%
2024$12.7$39.0+206%
2025$39.0$118.1+203%
2026 YTD$118.1$81.4-31%

HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.

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