BXSL

Blackstone Secured Lending Fund

33
Fundamentals47/ 100
Valuation9/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

BXSL has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over BXSL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

BXSL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

BXSL's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BXSL.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

BXSL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8x$9.65-59%
Forward9.3x$23.67—
Fair9.4x$11.30-52%
Expensive11x$12.62-47%
Current20x$23.67—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BXSL's PE is in its expensive range at 20x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 9.3x, in its fair range.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS has the edge over BXSL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BXSL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Decline
Decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect BXSL's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BXSL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+12%$26.60
Downside-12%$20.92

Calculated from the latest close: $23.67 on Nov 12.

BXSL trails GS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BXSL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BXSL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.65Q1 2024: $3.75Q2 2024: $3.86Q3 2024: $3.60Q4 2024: $3.45Q1 2025: $3.15Q2 2025: $2.82Q3 2025: $2.64Q4 2025: $2.46Q1 2026: $1.91Q2 2026: $1.27Q3 2026: $1.20Forward: $2.54
Q4 2023: $3.65Q1 2024: $3.75Q2 2024: $3.86Q3 2024: $3.60Q4 2024: $3.45Q1 2025: $3.15Q2 2025: $2.82Q3 2025: $2.64Q4 2025: $2.46Q1 2026: $1.91Q2 2026: $1.27Q3 2026: $1.20Forward: $2.54
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.54+111%
Q3 2026$1.20-55%
Q2 2026$1.27-55%
Q1 2026$1.91-39%
Q4 2025$2.46-29%
Q3 2025$2.64-27%
Q2 2025$2.82-27%
Q1 2025$3.15-16%
Q4 2024$3.45-5.5%

BXSL's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.20 over the past year, against $6.63 in early 2021.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over BXSL on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BXSL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2022$118.4M-1.9%
Q1 2022$142.5M+23%
Q4 2021$157.6M+23%
Q3 2021$117.1M-36%
Q2 2021$120.7M-48%
Q4 2020$127.9M+140%

GS has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is down 1.9% for BXSL versus up 23% for GS.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS's revenue is growing: $18.7B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

BXSL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$128MQ1 2024: −$396MQ2 2024: −$709MQ3 2024: −$518MQ4 2024: −$904MQ1 2025: $425MQ2 2025: −$221MQ3 2025: −$433MQ4 2025: −$230MQ1 2026: $249MQ2 2026: $561MQ3 2026: $479M
Q4 2023: −$128MQ1 2024: −$396MQ2 2024: −$709MQ3 2024: −$518MQ4 2024: −$904MQ1 2025: $425MQ2 2025: −$221MQ3 2025: −$433MQ4 2025: −$230MQ1 2026: $249MQ2 2026: $561MQ3 2026: $479M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$479.3M+$911.9M
Q2 2026$561M+$782M
Q1 2026$249.3M-41%
Q4 2025-$229.7M+$674.2M
Q3 2025-$432.6M+$85.1M
Q2 2025-$221.1M+$488.1M
Q1 2025$424.7M+$820.2M
Q4 2024-$903.9M-$775.9M

BXSL has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

BXSL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 168MQ1 2024: 191MQ2 2024: 194MQ3 2024: 203MQ4 2024: 201MQ1 2025: 227MQ2 2025: 228MQ3 2025: 230MQ4 2025: 229MQ1 2026: 232MQ2 2026: 233MQ3 2026: 233M
Q4 2023: 168MQ1 2024: 191MQ2 2024: 194MQ3 2024: 203MQ4 2024: 201MQ1 2025: 227MQ2 2025: 228MQ3 2025: 230MQ4 2025: 229MQ1 2026: 232MQ2 2026: 233MQ3 2026: 233M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+333K shares
1 year+1.1%+2.4M shares
3 years+37%+63M shares
5 years+39%+65.3M shares
Available history+367%+183M shares

BXSL has 233M diluted shares, up 1.1% from a year ago.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over BXSL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BXSL Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 202212.4xHigh
Q1 202210.6xHigh
Q4 202110.0xHigh
Q3 202110.0xHigh
Q2 202112.9xHigh
Q1 202120.0xHigh

BXSL's net debt is about 12 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 13 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BXSL.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

BXSL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.5Neutral
Stochastic33.0Neutral

BXSL's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

BXSL PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBXSLSector medianRelative
PE20x13x52% above
PE %1006436 pts above

BXSL is trading at 20x earnings, a 52% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS has the edge over BXSL on valuation relative to its sector.

BXSL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$23.80.5% below
20 week MA$24.01.5% below
50 week MA$24.53.3% below
100 week MA$27.514% below
200 week MA$28.015% below

BXSL is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS has the edge over BXSL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BXSL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$29.0$37.6+30%
2022$37.6$22.9-39%
2023$22.9$27.6+20%
2024$27.6$33.3+20%
2025$33.3$27.2-18%
2026 YTD$27.2$23.7-13%

BXSL has finished higher in three of the last five years. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has the edge over BXSL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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