BXC

BlueLinx Holdings Inc.

56
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential41/ 100

BXC offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

CAT

Caterpillar Inc.

66
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential83/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

CAT has the edge over BXC overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

BXC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Stable
Strong

BXC's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its profitability is under pressure.

CAT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

BXC PE Valuation

BXC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CAT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$380-37%
Fair18x$461-24%
Forward20x$605—
Current24x$605—
Expensive33x$840+39%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CAT's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

BXC Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for BXC to show an outlook.

CAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CAT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BXC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+71%$107.13
Downside-41%$37.00

Calculated from the latest close: $62.83 on Nov 12.

BXC trails CAT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CAT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$918.83
Downside-11%$541.24

Calculated from the latest close: $605.28 on Nov 12.

CAT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BXC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BXC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.39Q1 2024: $5.45Q2 2024: $4.40Q3 2024: $3.56Q4 2024: $6.19Q1 2025: $4.52Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $1.74Q1 2026: $0.02Q2 2026: $-0.49Q3 2026: $-0.22Q4 2026: $-0.49
Q4 2023: $5.39Q1 2024: $5.45Q2 2024: $4.40Q3 2024: $3.56Q4 2024: $6.19Q1 2025: $4.52Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $1.74Q1 2026: $0.02Q2 2026: $-0.49Q3 2026: $-0.22Q4 2026: $-0.49
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.49-128%
Q2 2026-$0.22-106%
Q1 2026-$0.49-111%
Q4 2025$0.02-100%
Q3 2025$1.74-51%
Q2 2025$3.41-22%
Q1 2025$4.52-17%
Q4 2024$6.19+15%

BXC has swung to a loss: it lost $0.49 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

CAT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $29.73
Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $29.73
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$29.73+17%
Q3 2026$25.48+31%
Q2 2026$23.23+18%
Q1 2026$20.08-2%
Q4 2025$18.81-15%
Q3 2025$19.46-9.7%
Q2 2025$19.64-10%
Q1 2025$20.50-7.4%
Q4 2024$22.05+9.6%

CAT has the edge over BXC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

BXC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $713MQ1 2024: $726MQ2 2024: $768MQ3 2024: $747MQ4 2024: $711MQ1 2025: $709MQ2 2025: $780MQ3 2025: $749MQ1 2026: $716MQ2 2026: $731MQ3 2026: $814MQ4 2026: $813M
Q4 2023: $713MQ1 2024: $726MQ2 2024: $768MQ3 2024: $747MQ4 2024: $711MQ1 2025: $709MQ2 2025: $780MQ3 2025: $749MQ1 2026: $716MQ2 2026: $731MQ3 2026: $814MQ4 2026: $813M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$812.6M+8.5%
Q2 2026$814.1M+4.4%
Q1 2026$731.1M+3.1%
Q4 2025$715.8M+0.7%
Q3 2025$748.9M+0.2%
Q2 2025$780.1M+1.5%
Q1 2025$709.2M-2.3%
Q4 2024$710.6M-0.3%

BXC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $813M last quarter, up 8.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

CAT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.7B+17%
Q2 2026$20.5B+24%
Q1 2026$17.4B+22%
Q4 2025$19.1B+18%
Q3 2025$17.6B+9.5%
Q2 2025$16.6B-0.7%
Q1 2025$14.2B-9.8%
Q4 2024$16.2B-5%

CAT's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $20.7B last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

BXC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $67MQ1 2024: −$37MQ2 2024: $29MQ3 2024: $54MQ4 2024: −$2MQ1 2025: −$40MQ2 2025: −$36MQ3 2025: $53MQ1 2026: $56MQ2 2026: −$60MQ3 2026: $9MQ4 2026: $40M
Q4 2023: $67MQ1 2024: −$37MQ2 2024: $29MQ3 2024: $54MQ4 2024: −$2MQ1 2025: −$40MQ2 2025: −$36MQ3 2025: $53MQ1 2026: $56MQ2 2026: −$60MQ3 2026: $9MQ4 2026: $40M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$39.6M-25%
Q2 2026$8.8M+$45.2M
Q1 2026-$59.8M-$20M
Q4 2025$56.4M+$57.9M
Q3 2025$52.7M-2.2%
Q2 2025-$36.4M-224%
Q1 2025-$39.8M-$3.3M
Q4 2024-$1.5M-102%

BXC's free cash flow has turned positive again: $45M over the past year, against −$25M the year before.

CAT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+19%
Q2 2026$3.8B+47%
Q1 2026$1.1B+97%
Q4 2025$2.7B+0.1%
Q3 2025$3.1B-1.5%
Q2 2025$2.6B-4.2%
Q1 2025$579M-63%
Q4 2024$2.7B-22%

CAT has the edge over BXC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BXC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 9MQ1 2024: 9MQ2 2024: 9MQ3 2024: 9MQ4 2024: 9MQ1 2025: 8MQ2 2025: 8MQ3 2025: 8MQ1 2026: 8MQ2 2026: 8MQ3 2026: 8MQ4 2026: 8M
Q4 2023: 9MQ1 2024: 9MQ2 2024: 9MQ3 2024: 9MQ4 2024: 9MQ1 2025: 8MQ2 2025: 8MQ3 2025: 8MQ1 2026: 8MQ2 2026: 8MQ3 2026: 8MQ4 2026: 8M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+2.8K shares
1 year-1.1%-84.2K shares
3 years-12%-1.1M shares
5 years-21%-2.1M shares
Available history-16%-1.5M shares

BXC has 8M diluted shares, down 1.1% from a year ago, with $5M in buybacks over the past year.

CAT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-1.6M shares
1 year-2.1%-9.9M shares
3 years-10%-51.7M shares
5 years-16%-86.7M shares
Available history-19%-107M shares

CAT has the edge over BXC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BXC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.3xQ1 2024: -1.1xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -1.6xQ4 2024: -1.6xQ1 2025: -1.4xQ2 2025: -0.9xQ3 2025: -1.5xQ1 2026: -1.2xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3xQ4 2026: -0.6x
Q4 2023: -1.3xQ1 2024: -1.1xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -1.6xQ4 2024: -1.6xQ1 2025: -1.4xQ2 2025: -0.9xQ3 2025: -1.5xQ1 2026: -1.2xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3xQ4 2026: -0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.6xNet Cash

BXC has the edge over CAT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

CAT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

CAT has more cash than debt.

BXC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.2Neutral
Stochastic28.4Neutral

BXC's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

CAT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.7Neutral
Stochastic6.7Oversold

CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

BXC PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricBXCSector medianRelative
PEN/A24x—

BXC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CAT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCATSector medianRelative
PE24x24x1.1% below
PE %695811 pts above

CAT is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

BXC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$71.712% below
20 week MA$71.712% below
50 week MA$64.93.1% below
100 week MA$71.813% below
200 week MA$84.726% below

BXC is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 26% below its 200-week average.

CAT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$709.015% below
20 week MA$797.024% below
50 week MA$771.322% below
100 week MA$586.73.2% above
200 week MA$443.137% above

CAT has the edge over BXC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BXC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$13.2$29.4+123%
2021$29.4$87.1+197%
2022$87.1$72.0-17%
2023$72.0$113.3+57%
2024$113.3$103.7-8.5%
2025$103.7$62.6-40%
2026 YTD$62.6$62.8+0.4%

BXC has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's roughly flat so far in 2026.

CAT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$148.3$179.6+21%
2021$179.6$206.2+15%
2022$206.2$239.9+16%
2023$239.9$295.7+23%
2024$295.7$364.9+23%
2025$364.9$583.0+60%
2026 YTD$583.0$605.3+3.8%

CAT has the edge over BXC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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