BX

Blackstone Inc.

62
Fundamentals70/ 100
Valuation68/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

BX offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has a slight edge over BX overall on the model score.

BX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BX's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BX.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

BX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE34x67x101x135x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE34x67x101x135x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap17x$77.47-35%
Forward18x$119—
Current26x$119—
Fair34x$151+27%
Expensive58x$259+118%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BX has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

BX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for BX, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+37%$162.46
Downside-14%$101.69

Calculated from the latest close: $118.54 on Nov 12.

BX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS trails BX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.84Q1 2024: $2.84Q2 2024: $2.63Q3 2024: $2.92Q4 2024: $3.62Q1 2025: $3.31Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.49Q4 2025: $3.87Q1 2026: $3.90Q2 2026: $4.46Q3 2026: $4.49Forward: $6.61
Q4 2023: $1.84Q1 2024: $2.84Q2 2024: $2.63Q3 2024: $2.92Q4 2024: $3.62Q1 2025: $3.31Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.49Q4 2025: $3.87Q1 2026: $3.90Q2 2026: $4.46Q3 2026: $4.49Forward: $6.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.61+47%
Q3 2026$4.49+29%
Q2 2026$4.46+20%
Q1 2026$3.90+18%
Q4 2025$3.87+6.9%
Q3 2025$3.49+20%
Q2 2025$3.71+41%
Q1 2025$3.31+17%
Q4 2024$3.62+97%

BX's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.49 over the past year, against $8.13 in late 2021.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over BX on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $3.7BQ2 2024: $2.8BQ3 2024: $3.7BQ4 2024: $3.1BQ1 2025: $3.3BQ2 2025: $3.7BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $4.4BQ1 2026: $3.6BQ2 2026: $5BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $3.7BQ2 2024: $2.8BQ3 2024: $3.7BQ4 2024: $3.1BQ1 2025: $3.3BQ2 2025: $3.7BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $4.4BQ1 2026: $3.6BQ2 2026: $5BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-0.8%
Q2 2026$5B+36%
Q1 2026$3.6B+10%
Q4 2025$4.4B+41%
Q3 2025$3.1B-16%
Q2 2025$3.7B+33%
Q1 2025$3.3B-11%
Q4 2024$3.1B+140%

BX's revenue is growing: $3.1B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS's revenue is growing: $18.7B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

BX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $864MQ1 2024: $922MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $150MQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $848MQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $958MQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $1.9B
Q4 2023: $864MQ1 2024: $922MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $150MQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $848MQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $958MQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $1.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.9B+22%
Q2 2026$1.9B+125%
Q1 2026$957.6M-11%
Q4 2025$1B+599%
Q3 2025$1.6B+31%
Q1 2025$1.1B+17%
Q4 2024$149.5M-83%
Q3 2024$1.2B+18%

BX has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

BX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 755MQ1 2024: 760MQ2 2024: 769MQ3 2024: 768MQ4 2024: 767MQ1 2025: 772MQ2 2025: 782MQ3 2025: 783MQ4 2025: 780MQ1 2026: 786MQ2 2026: 800MQ3 2026: 800M
Q4 2023: 755MQ1 2024: 760MQ2 2024: 769MQ3 2024: 768MQ4 2024: 767MQ1 2025: 772MQ2 2025: 782MQ3 2025: 783MQ4 2025: 780MQ1 2026: 786MQ2 2026: 800MQ3 2026: 800M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+82.9K shares
1 year+2.2%+17.3M shares
3 years+5.5%+41.9M shares
5 years+11%+77.5M shares
Available history+18%+124M shares

BX has 800M diluted shares, up 2.2% from a year ago.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over BX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BX Net Leverage

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

BX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.4Neutral
Stochastic29.9Neutral

BX's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 30 (neutral).

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

BX PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBXSector medianRelative
PE26x13x103% above
PE %356328 pts below

BX is trading at 26x earnings, a 103% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS has the edge over BX on valuation relative to its sector.

BX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$115.72.5% above
20 week MA$125.65.6% below
50 week MA$127.77.2% below
100 week MA$142.117% below
200 week MA$130.39% below

BX has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 9% below its 200-week average.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS has the edge over BX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$56.1$65.0+16%
2021$65.0$135.0+108%
2022$135.0$74.9-45%
2023$74.9$130.9+75%
2024$130.9$174.0+33%
2025$174.0$155.4-11%
2026 YTD$155.4$118.5-24%

BX's yearly returns have swung widely, from +108% in 2021 to −45% in 2022. It's down 24% so far in 2026.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has the edge over BX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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