BWXT

BWX Technologies, Inc.

62
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential79/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

BWXT has a slight edge over RDW overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

BWXT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Stable

BWXT's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its cash flow and balance sheet are stable.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

BWXT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x35x52x69x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x35x52x69x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap18x$73.64-41%
Forward25x$124—
Fair28x$115-7.4%
Current30x$124—
Expensive44x$178+44%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BWXT's PE is in its fair range at 30x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BWXT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BWXT, with profitability improving.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

BWXT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+46%$180.81
Downside-12%$109.18

Calculated from the latest close: $123.99 on Nov 12.

BWXT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RDW, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW trails BWXT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BWXT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.69Q1 2024: $2.77Q2 2024: $2.92Q3 2024: $3.02Q4 2024: $3.07Q1 2025: $3.14Q2 2025: $3.20Q3 2025: $3.33Q4 2025: $3.57Q1 2026: $3.74Q2 2026: $3.86Q3 2026: $4.08Forward: $5.01
Q4 2023: $2.69Q1 2024: $2.77Q2 2024: $2.92Q3 2024: $3.02Q4 2024: $3.07Q1 2025: $3.14Q2 2025: $3.20Q3 2025: $3.33Q4 2025: $3.57Q1 2026: $3.74Q2 2026: $3.86Q3 2026: $4.08Forward: $5.01
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.01+23%
Q3 2026$4.08+23%
Q2 2026$3.86+21%
Q1 2026$3.74+19%
Q4 2025$3.57+16%
Q3 2025$3.33+10%
Q2 2025$3.20+9.6%
Q1 2025$3.14+13%
Q4 2024$3.07+14%

BWXT has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

BWXT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $726MQ1 2024: $604MQ2 2024: $681MQ3 2024: $672MQ4 2024: $746MQ1 2025: $682MQ2 2025: $764MQ3 2025: $866MQ4 2025: $886MQ1 2026: $860MQ2 2026: $902MQ3 2026: $953M
Q4 2023: $726MQ1 2024: $604MQ2 2024: $681MQ3 2024: $672MQ4 2024: $746MQ1 2025: $682MQ2 2025: $764MQ3 2025: $866MQ4 2025: $886MQ1 2026: $860MQ2 2026: $902MQ3 2026: $953M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$953M+10%
Q2 2026$901.6M+18%
Q1 2026$860.2M+26%
Q4 2025$885.8M+19%
Q3 2025$866.3M+29%
Q2 2025$764M+12%
Q1 2025$682.3M+13%
Q4 2024$746.3M+2.9%

BWXT's revenue has grown year over year for 20 quarters in a row: $953M last quarter, up 10% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $109M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

BWXT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $171MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $35MQ3 2024: −$8MQ4 2024: $224MQ1 2025: $17MQ2 2025: $126MQ3 2025: $95MQ4 2025: $57MQ1 2026: $50MQ2 2026: $115MQ3 2026: $150M
Q4 2023: $171MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $35MQ3 2024: −$8MQ4 2024: $224MQ1 2025: $17MQ2 2025: $126MQ3 2025: $95MQ4 2025: $57MQ1 2026: $50MQ2 2026: $115MQ3 2026: $150M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$150.5M+59%
Q2 2026$115M-9%
Q1 2026$50.1M+190%
Q4 2025$56.8M-75%
Q3 2025$94.9M+$102.6M
Q2 2025$126.3M+256%
Q1 2025$17.3M+564%
Q4 2024$224.4M+31%

BWXT has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

BWXT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 92MQ1 2024: 92MQ2 2024: 92MQ3 2024: 92MQ4 2024: 92MQ1 2025: 92MQ2 2025: 92MQ3 2025: 92MQ4 2025: 92MQ1 2026: 92MQ2 2026: 92MQ3 2026: 92M
Q4 2023: 92MQ1 2024: 92MQ2 2024: 92MQ3 2024: 92MQ4 2024: 92MQ1 2025: 92MQ2 2025: 92MQ3 2025: 92MQ4 2025: 92MQ1 2026: 92MQ2 2026: 92MQ3 2026: 92M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-15.5K shares
1 year+0.2%+204K shares
3 years+0.1%+96.3K shares
5 years-2.6%-2.5M shares
Available history-4%-3.8M shares

BWXT has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

BWXT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.5xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.4xQ2 2025: 3.1xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 3.0xQ1 2026: 2.9xQ2 2026: 2.6xQ3 2026: 2.6x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.5xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.4xQ2 2025: 3.1xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 3.0xQ1 2026: 2.9xQ2 2026: 2.6xQ3 2026: 2.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.6xModerate
Q2 20262.6xModerate
Q1 20262.9xModerate
Q4 20253.0xModerate
Q3 20252.8xModerate
Q2 20253.1xElevated
Q1 20252.4xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

BWXT's net debt is about 2.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.8 years a year ago.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

BWXT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI31.5Neutral
Stochastic14.0Oversold

BWXT's weekly RSI is 32 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

BWXT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricBWXTSector medianRelative
PE30x24x26% above
PE %54584 pts below

BWXT is trading at 30x earnings, a 26% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BWXT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$132.06% below
20 week MA$152.819% below
50 week MA$181.832% below
100 week MA$160.623% below
200 week MA$122.80.9% above

BWXT has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

BWXT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$62.8$60.1-4.2%
2021$60.1$47.9-20%
2022$47.9$58.2+22%
2023$58.2$76.7+32%
2024$76.7$112.5+47%
2025$112.5$175.9+56%
2026 YTD$175.9$124.0-30%

BWXT has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 30% so far in 2026.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW has the edge over BWXT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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