BWXT
BWX Technologies, Inc.
BWXT offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
CAT
Caterpillar Inc.
CAT has the edge over BWXT overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
BWXT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Stable |
BWXT's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its cash flow and balance sheet are stable.
CAT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
BWXT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 18x | $73.64 | -41% |
| Forward | 25x | $124 | — |
| Fair | 28x | $115 | -7.4% |
| Current | 30x | $124 | — |
| Expensive | 44x | $178 | +44% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BWXT has the edge over CAT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
CAT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 15x | $380 | -37% |
| Fair | 18x | $461 | -24% |
| Forward | 20x | $605 | — |
| Current | 24x | $605 | — |
| Expensive | 33x | $840 | +39% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CAT's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
BWXT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BWXT, with profitability improving.
CAT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CAT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BWXT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $5.01 | +23% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.08 | +23% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.86 | +21% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.74 | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.57 | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.33 | +10% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.20 | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.14 | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.07 | +14% |
BWXT has the edge over CAT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
CAT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $30.32 | +19% |
| Q3 2026 | $25.48 | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.23 | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.08 | -2% |
| Q4 2025 | $18.81 | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $19.46 | -9.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.64 | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.50 | -7.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $22.05 | +9.6% |
CAT earned $25.48 per share over the past year, up 31% from the year before.
BWXT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $953M | +10% |
| Q2 2026 | $901.6M | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $860.2M | +26% |
| Q4 2025 | $885.8M | +19% |
| Q3 2025 | $866.3M | +29% |
| Q2 2025 | $764M | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $682.3M | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $746.3M | +2.9% |
BWXT has the edge over CAT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 14% | +0.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 13% | -0.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 12% | -1.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 10% | -2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 13% | -1.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | -1.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 14% | -1.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 12% | -4.6 points |
BWXT's operating margin was 14% last quarter, up 0.8 points from the same quarter a year ago.
CAT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.7B | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $20.5B | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.4B | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.1B | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.6B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.6B | -0.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.2B | -9.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | -5% |
CAT's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $20.7B last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 21% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 14% | -4.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | -2.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | -4.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | -0.3 points |
CAT has the edge over BWXT on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BWXT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $150.5M | +59% |
| Q2 2026 | $115M | -9% |
| Q1 2026 | $50.1M | +190% |
| Q4 2025 | $56.8M | -75% |
| Q3 2025 | $94.9M | +$102.6M |
| Q2 2025 | $126.3M | +256% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.3M | +564% |
| Q4 2024 | $224.4M | +31% |
BWXT has the edge over CAT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
CAT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.8B | +47% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +97% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.7B | +0.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.1B | -1.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | -4.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $579M | -63% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.7B | -22% |
CAT generated $11.3B in free cash flow over the past year, up 26% from the year before.
BWXT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -15.5K shares |
| 1 year | +0.2% | +204K shares |
| 3 years | +0.1% | +96.3K shares |
| 5 years | -2.6% | -2.5M shares |
| Available history | -4% | -3.8M shares |
BWXT has 92M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $30M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
BWXT hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
CAT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -1.6M shares |
| 1 year | -2.1% | -9.9M shares |
| 3 years | -10% | -51.7M shares |
| 5 years | -16% | -86.7M shares |
| Available history | -19% | -107M shares |
CAT has the edge over BWXT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B |
| Q1 2026 | $5B |
| Q4 2025 | $340M |
| Q3 2025 | $362M |
| Q2 2025 | $828M |
| Q1 2025 | $3.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $640M |
CAT spent $8.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 47% from the year before.
BWXT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.1x | Moderate |
BWXT's net debt is about 2.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.8 years a year ago.
CAT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 1.6x | Healthy |
CAT has the edge over BWXT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BWXT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 31.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 14.0 | Oversold |
BWXT's weekly RSI is 32 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).
CAT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.7 | Oversold |
CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
BWXT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | BWXT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 30x | 24x | 26% above |
| PE % | 54 | 58 | 4 pts below |
BWXT is trading at 30x earnings, a 26% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
CAT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | CAT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 24x | 1.3% below |
| PE % | 69 | 58 | 11 pts above |
CAT has the edge over BWXT on valuation relative to its sector.
BWXT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $132.0 | 6% below |
| 20 week MA | $152.8 | 19% below |
| 50 week MA | $181.8 | 32% below |
| 100 week MA | $160.6 | 23% below |
| 200 week MA | $122.8 | 0.9% above |
BWXT has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 0.9% above its 200-week average.
CAT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $709.0 | 15% below |
| 20 week MA | $797.0 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $771.3 | 22% below |
| 100 week MA | $586.7 | 3.2% above |
| 200 week MA | $443.1 | 37% above |
CAT has the edge over BWXT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BWXT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $62.8 | $60.1 | -4.2% |
| 2021 | $60.1 | $47.9 | -20% |
| 2022 | $47.9 | $58.2 | +22% |
| 2023 | $58.2 | $76.7 | +32% |
| 2024 | $76.7 | $112.5 | +47% |
| 2025 | $112.5 | $175.9 | +56% |
| 2026 YTD | $175.9 | $124.0 | -30% |
BWXT has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 30% so far in 2026.
CAT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $148.3 | $179.6 | +21% |
| 2021 | $179.6 | $206.2 | +15% |
| 2022 | $206.2 | $239.9 | +16% |
| 2023 | $239.9 | $295.7 | +23% |
| 2024 | $295.7 | $364.9 | +23% |
| 2025 | $364.9 | $583.0 | +60% |
| 2026 YTD | $583.0 | $605.3 | +3.8% |
CAT has the edge over BWXT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.