BWLP
BW LPG Limited
BWLP offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
CAT
Caterpillar Inc.
CAT has the edge over BWLP overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.
BWLP Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
BWLP's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, but its revenue is under pressure.
CAT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
BWLP PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 3.9x | $11.41 | -48% |
| Fair | 5.6x | $16.35 | -26% |
| Forward | 6.5x | $22.09 | — |
| Current | 7.6x | $22.09 | — |
| Expensive | 9.9x | $28.73 | +30% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BWLP's PE is in its expensive range at 7.6x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 6.5x.
CAT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 15x | $380 | -37% |
| Fair | 18x | $461 | -24% |
| Forward | 20x | $605 | — |
| Current | 24x | $605 | — |
| Expensive | 33x | $840 | +39% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CAT has the edge over BWLP in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
BWLP Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong decline | |
| Decline | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect BWLP's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
CAT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
CAT has the edge over BWLP on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
BWLP Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.38 | +16% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.91 | +89% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.39 | +26% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.60 | -39% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.13 | -69% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.54 | -58% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.89 | -49% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.64 | -26% |
| Q3 2024 | $3.65 | +19% |
BWLP earned $2.91 per share over the past year, up 89% from the year before.
CAT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $30.32 | +19% |
| Q3 2026 | $25.48 | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.23 | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.08 | -2% |
| Q4 2025 | $18.81 | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $19.46 | -9.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.64 | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.50 | -7.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $22.05 | +9.6% |
CAT has the edge over BWLP on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
BWLP Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $963.6M | -9.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $842M | -7.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $732.7M | -10% |
| Q3 2025 | $954.2M | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.1B | +21% |
| Q1 2025 | $906.7M | -10% |
| Q4 2024 | $817.2M | -13% |
| Q3 2024 | $814.6M | +16% |
BWLP's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $964M last quarter, down 9.5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 14% | +7.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 26% | +21 points |
| Q4 2025 | 16% | +10 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.5% | -10 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5.9% | -4.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 5.5% | -7.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 5.5% | -15 points |
| Q3 2024 | 17% | -0.6 points |
BWLP's operating margin was 14% last quarter, up 7.7 points from the same quarter a year ago.
CAT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.7B | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $20.5B | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.4B | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.1B | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.6B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.6B | -0.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.2B | -9.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | -5% |
CAT has the edge over BWLP on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 21% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 14% | -4.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | -2.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | -4.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | -0.3 points |
CAT has the edge over BWLP on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BWLP Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $168.7M | +1158% |
| Q1 2026 | $146.9M | +63% |
| Q4 2025 | $166M | +$448M |
| Q3 2025 | $117.1M | +$132.6M |
| Q2 2025 | $13.4M | -75% |
| Q1 2025 | $89.9M | -78% |
| Q4 2024 | -$282M | -304% |
| Q3 2024 | -$15.5M | -121% |
BWLP's free cash flow has turned positive again: $599M over the past year, against −$194M the year before.
CAT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.8B | +47% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +97% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.7B | +0.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.1B | -1.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | -4.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $579M | -63% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.7B | -22% |
CAT generated $11.3B in free cash flow over the past year, up 26% from the year before.
BWLP Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.3% | +500K shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +600K shares |
| 3 years | +14% | +19.2M shares |
BWLP has 152M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $43.2M |
| Q3 2025 | $38,536 |
| Q2 2025 | $2.7M |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | $4.5M |
BWLP spent $43M buying back its own shares over the past year, about six times what it spent the year before.
CAT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -1.6M shares |
| 1 year | -2.1% | -9.9M shares |
| 3 years | -10% | -51.7M shares |
| 5 years | -16% | -86.7M shares |
| Available history | -19% | -107M shares |
CAT has the edge over BWLP on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B |
| Q1 2026 | $5B |
| Q4 2025 | $340M |
| Q3 2025 | $362M |
| Q2 2025 | $828M |
| Q1 2025 | $3.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $640M |
CAT spent $8.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 47% from the year before.
BWLP Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q3 2024 | 0.4x | Very low |
BWLP's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.4 years a year ago.
CAT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 1.6x | Healthy |
CAT has the edge over BWLP on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BWLP Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 48.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 37.6 | Neutral |
BWLP's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 38 (neutral).
CAT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.7 | Oversold |
CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
BWLP PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | BWLP | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.6x | 24x | 68% below |
| PE % | 70 | 58 | 12 pts above |
BWLP has the edge over CAT on valuation relative to its sector.
CAT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | CAT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 24x | 1.3% below |
| PE % | 69 | 58 | 11 pts above |
CAT is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
BWLP Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $24.4 | 9.4% below |
| 20 week MA | $23.3 | 5.3% below |
| 50 week MA | $19.5 | 14% above |
| 100 week MA | $15.9 | 39% above |
| 200 week MA | $14.3 | 55% above |
BWLP has the edge over CAT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
CAT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $709.0 | 15% below |
| 20 week MA | $797.0 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $771.3 | 22% below |
| 100 week MA | $586.7 | 3.2% above |
| 200 week MA | $443.1 | 37% above |
CAT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 37% above its 200-week average.
BWLP Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $8.53 | $6.80 | -20% |
| 2021 | $6.80 | $5.57 | -18% |
| 2022 | $5.57 | $8.30 | +49% |
| 2023 | $8.30 | $15.1 | +81% |
| 2024 | $15.1 | $10.9 | -28% |
| 2025 | $10.9 | $12.7 | +16% |
| 2026 YTD | $12.7 | $22.1 | +74% |
BWLP has the edge over CAT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
CAT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $148.3 | $179.6 | +21% |
| 2021 | $179.6 | $206.2 | +15% |
| 2022 | $206.2 | $239.9 | +16% |
| 2023 | $239.9 | $295.7 | +23% |
| 2024 | $295.7 | $364.9 | +23% |
| 2025 | $364.9 | $583.0 | +60% |
| 2026 YTD | $583.0 | $605.3 | +3.8% |
CAT has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 3.8% so far in 2026.