BWFG

Bankwell Financial Group, Inc.

66
Fundamentals81/ 100
Valuation44/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

BWFG has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.

70
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SOFI has the edge over BWFG overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

BWFG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BWFG's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BWFG.

SOFI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.

BWFG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.8x20x29x39x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.8x20x29x39x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.2x$35.20-51%
Fair11x$62.72-12%
Forward11x$71.51—
Current13x$71.51—
Expensive17x$96.68+35%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BWFG's PE is in its fair range at 13x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings.

SOFI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$15.63—
Current28x$15.63—
Cheap33x$18.24+17%
Fair43x$23.82+52%
Expensive53x$29.74+90%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SOFI has the edge over BWFG in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BWFG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for BWFG, with profitability improving.

SOFI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SOFI, with profitability improving.

BWFG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$90.03
Downside-11%$63.33

Calculated from the latest close: $71.51 on Nov 12.

BWFG trails SOFI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SOFI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+79%$27.97
Downside-20%$12.51

Calculated from the latest close: $15.63 on Nov 12.

SOFI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BWFG, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BWFG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.67Q1 2024: $3.82Q2 2024: $2.94Q3 2024: $1.93Q4 2024: $1.23Q1 2025: $1.62Q2 2025: $2.63Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $4.99Q2 2026: $5.36Q3 2026: $5.67Forward: $6.59
Q4 2023: $4.67Q1 2024: $3.82Q2 2024: $2.94Q3 2024: $1.93Q4 2024: $1.23Q1 2025: $1.62Q2 2025: $2.63Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $4.99Q2 2026: $5.36Q3 2026: $5.67Forward: $6.59
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.59+16%
Q3 2026$5.67+55%
Q2 2026$5.36+104%
Q1 2026$4.99+208%
Q4 2025$4.45+262%
Q3 2025$3.66+90%
Q2 2025$2.63-11%
Q1 2025$1.62-58%
Q4 2024$1.23-74%

BWFG earned $5.67 per share over the past year, up 55% from the year before.

SOFI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.82+47%
Q3 2026$0.560%
Q2 2026$0.49-2%
Q1 2026$0.45+4.7%
Q4 2025$0.390%
Q3 2025$0.56+367%
Q2 2025$0.50+$0.72
Q1 2025$0.43+$0.72
Q4 2024$0.39+$0.75

SOFI earned $0.56 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.

BWFG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $23MQ1 2024: $22MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: $22MQ4 2024: $21MQ1 2025: $24MQ2 2025: $26MQ3 2025: $28MQ4 2025: $30MQ1 2026: $30MQ2 2026: $33MQ3 2026: $35M
Q4 2023: $23MQ1 2024: $22MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: $22MQ4 2024: $21MQ1 2025: $24MQ2 2025: $26MQ3 2025: $28MQ4 2025: $30MQ1 2026: $30MQ2 2026: $33MQ3 2026: $35M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$35.3M+24%
Q2 2026$32.8M+26%
Q1 2026$30.2M+28%
Q4 2025$30.3M+43%
Q3 2025$28.5M+30%
Q2 2025$25.9M+18%
Q1 2025$23.6M+6.8%
Q4 2024$21.2M-9.5%

BWFG's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $35M last quarter, up 24% from the same quarter a year ago.

SOFI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+44%
Q2 2026$1.2B+43%
Q1 2026$1.1B+43%
Q4 2025$1B+40%
Q3 2025$961.6M+38%
Q2 2025$854.9M+43%
Q1 2025$771.8M+20%
Q4 2024$734.1M+19%

SOFI has the edge over BWFG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BWFG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$773,000Q1 2024: $9MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: −$672,000Q4 2024: $14MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: $7MQ2 2026: $10MQ3 2026: $12M
Q4 2023: −$773,000Q1 2024: $9MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: −$672,000Q4 2024: $14MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: $7MQ2 2026: $10MQ3 2026: $12M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$12.2M+23%
Q2 2026$10M+65%
Q1 2026$7.3M+89%
Q4 2025$7.3M-49%
Q3 2025$9.9M+$10.6M
Q2 2025$6.1M-10%
Q1 2025$3.8M-57%
Q4 2024$14.3M+$15M

BWFG has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SOFI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.1B-$1.7B
Q2 2026-$4B-$2.5B
Q1 2026-$2.4B-$2.4B
Q4 2025-$1.1B-$815.2M
Q3 2025-$1.4B-$149M
Q2 2025-$1.5B-$1B
Q1 2025-$31.1M-104%
Q4 2024-$242.4M+$39.9M

SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

BWFG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 8MQ1 2024: 8MQ2 2024: 8MQ3 2024: 8MQ4 2024: 8MQ1 2025: 8MQ2 2025: 8MQ3 2025: 8MQ4 2025: 8MQ1 2026: 8MQ2 2026: 8MQ3 2026: 8M
Q4 2023: 8MQ1 2024: 8MQ2 2024: 8MQ3 2024: 8MQ4 2024: 8MQ1 2025: 8MQ2 2025: 8MQ3 2025: 8MQ4 2025: 8MQ1 2026: 8MQ2 2026: 8MQ3 2026: 8M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-32.8K shares
1 year+1.3%+103K shares
3 years+4.1%+314K shares
5 years+2.7%+209K shares
Available history+2.1%+164K shares

BWFG has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SOFI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+5.8M shares
1 year+5.2%+66.8M shares
3 years+43%+407M shares
5 years+272%+993M shares

SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.

BWFG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: -3.6xQ2 2024: -4.2xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -12.0xQ2 2025: -7.6xQ3 2025: -5.1xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: -2.6xQ2 2026: -2.6xQ3 2026: -1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: -3.6xQ2 2024: -4.2xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -12.0xQ2 2025: -7.6xQ3 2025: -5.1xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: -2.6xQ2 2026: -2.6xQ3 2026: -1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.6xNet Cash
Q4 20251.5xHealthy
Q3 2025-5.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-7.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-12.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BWFG has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BWFG.

SOFI Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.8xNet Cash

SOFI has the edge over BWFG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BWFG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI70.6Overbought
Stochastic77.6Neutral

BWFG's weekly RSI is 71 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 78 (neutral).

SOFI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.1Neutral
Stochastic41.5Neutral

SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

BWFG PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBWFGSector medianRelative
PE13x13x3.1% below
PE %64631 pt above

BWFG has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.

SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSOFISector medianRelative
PE28x13x114% above
PE %26159 pts below

SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

BWFG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$67.95.3% above
20 week MA$66.18.3% above
50 week MA$56.427% above
100 week MA$46.454% above
200 week MA$36.696% above

BWFG has the edge over SOFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SOFI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.70.7% below
20 week MA$17.07.8% below
50 week MA$18.917% below
100 week MA$18.917% below
200 week MA$13.516% above

SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.

BWFG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.5$18.5-35%
2021$18.5$32.0+73%
2022$32.0$29.1-8.9%
2023$29.1$30.2+3.6%
2024$30.2$31.4+3.9%
2025$31.4$47.0+50%
2026 YTD$47.0$71.5+52%

BWFG has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SOFI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.4$12.4+19%
2021$12.4$15.1+22%
2022$15.1$4.61-69%
2023$4.61$9.95+116%
2024$9.95$16.0+61%
2025$16.0$27.1+69%
2026 YTD$27.1$15.6-42%

SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.

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