BWFG

Bankwell Financial Group, Inc.

66
Fundamentals81/ 100
Valuation44/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

BWFG has a slight edge over GS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BWFG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BWFG's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BWFG.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

BWFG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.8x20x29x39x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.8x20x29x39x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.2x$35.20-51%
Fair11x$62.72-12%
Forward11x$71.51—
Current13x$71.51—
Expensive17x$96.68+35%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BWFG's PE is in its fair range at 13x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS has the edge over BWFG in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BWFG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

BWFG has the edge over GS on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BWFG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$90.03
Downside-11%$63.33

Calculated from the latest close: $71.51 on Nov 12.

BWFG has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS trails BWFG on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BWFG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.67Q1 2024: $3.82Q2 2024: $2.94Q3 2024: $1.93Q4 2024: $1.23Q1 2025: $1.62Q2 2025: $2.63Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $4.99Q2 2026: $5.36Q3 2026: $5.67Forward: $6.59
Q4 2023: $4.67Q1 2024: $3.82Q2 2024: $2.94Q3 2024: $1.93Q4 2024: $1.23Q1 2025: $1.62Q2 2025: $2.63Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $4.99Q2 2026: $5.36Q3 2026: $5.67Forward: $6.59
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.59+16%
Q3 2026$5.67+55%
Q2 2026$5.36+104%
Q1 2026$4.99+208%
Q4 2025$4.45+262%
Q3 2025$3.66+90%
Q2 2025$2.63-11%
Q1 2025$1.62-58%
Q4 2024$1.23-74%

BWFG earned $5.67 per share over the past year, up 55% from the year before.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $69.58 over the past year, up 41% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

BWFG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $23MQ1 2024: $22MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: $22MQ4 2024: $21MQ1 2025: $24MQ2 2025: $26MQ3 2025: $28MQ4 2025: $30MQ1 2026: $30MQ2 2026: $33MQ3 2026: $35M
Q4 2023: $23MQ1 2024: $22MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: $22MQ4 2024: $21MQ1 2025: $24MQ2 2025: $26MQ3 2025: $28MQ4 2025: $30MQ1 2026: $30MQ2 2026: $33MQ3 2026: $35M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$35.3M+24%
Q2 2026$32.8M+26%
Q1 2026$30.2M+28%
Q4 2025$30.3M+43%
Q3 2025$28.5M+30%
Q2 2025$25.9M+18%
Q1 2025$23.6M+6.8%
Q4 2024$21.2M-9.5%

BWFG has the edge over GS on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS's revenue is growing: $18.7B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

BWFG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$773,000Q1 2024: $9MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: −$672,000Q4 2024: $14MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: $7MQ2 2026: $10MQ3 2026: $12M
Q4 2023: −$773,000Q1 2024: $9MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: −$672,000Q4 2024: $14MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: $7MQ2 2026: $10MQ3 2026: $12M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$12.2M+23%
Q2 2026$10M+65%
Q1 2026$7.3M+89%
Q4 2025$7.3M-49%
Q3 2025$9.9M+$10.6M
Q2 2025$6.1M-10%
Q1 2025$3.8M-57%
Q4 2024$14.3M+$15M

BWFG has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

BWFG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 8MQ1 2024: 8MQ2 2024: 8MQ3 2024: 8MQ4 2024: 8MQ1 2025: 8MQ2 2025: 8MQ3 2025: 8MQ4 2025: 8MQ1 2026: 8MQ2 2026: 8MQ3 2026: 8M
Q4 2023: 8MQ1 2024: 8MQ2 2024: 8MQ3 2024: 8MQ4 2024: 8MQ1 2025: 8MQ2 2025: 8MQ3 2025: 8MQ4 2025: 8MQ1 2026: 8MQ2 2026: 8MQ3 2026: 8M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-32.8K shares
1 year+1.3%+103K shares
3 years+4.1%+314K shares
5 years+2.7%+209K shares
Available history+2.1%+164K shares

BWFG has 8M diluted shares, up 1.3% from a year ago.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over BWFG on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BWFG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: -3.6xQ2 2024: -4.2xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -12.0xQ2 2025: -7.6xQ3 2025: -5.1xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: -2.6xQ2 2026: -2.6xQ3 2026: -1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: -3.6xQ2 2024: -4.2xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -12.0xQ2 2025: -7.6xQ3 2025: -5.1xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: -2.6xQ2 2026: -2.6xQ3 2026: -1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.6xNet Cash
Q4 20251.5xHealthy
Q3 2025-5.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-7.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-12.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BWFG has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BWFG.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over BWFG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BWFG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI70.6Overbought
Stochastic77.6Neutral

BWFG's weekly RSI is 71 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 78 (neutral).

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

BWFG PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBWFGSector medianRelative
PE13x13x3.1% below
PE %64631 pt above

BWFG has the edge over GS on valuation relative to its sector.

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

BWFG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$67.95.3% above
20 week MA$66.18.3% above
50 week MA$56.427% above
100 week MA$46.454% above
200 week MA$36.696% above

BWFG has the edge over GS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.

BWFG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.5$18.5-35%
2021$18.5$32.0+73%
2022$32.0$29.1-8.9%
2023$29.1$30.2+3.6%
2024$30.2$31.4+3.9%
2025$31.4$47.0+50%
2026 YTD$47.0$71.5+52%

BWFG has the edge over GS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.

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