BWB

Bridgewater Bancshares, Inc.

65
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation54/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

BWB has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.

70
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SOFI has the edge over BWB overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

BWB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BWB's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BWB.

SOFI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.

BWB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.9x9.8x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.9x9.8x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.8x$17.14-17%
Fair11x$22.18+7%
Current11x$20.73—
Forward11x$20.73—
Expensive14x$26.63+28%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BWB's PE is in its fair range at 10.7x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 10.5x.

SOFI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$15.63—
Current28x$15.63—
Cheap33x$18.24+17%
Fair43x$23.82+52%
Expensive53x$29.74+90%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SOFI has the edge over BWB in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BWB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BWB, with profitability holding steady.

SOFI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

SOFI has the edge over BWB on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and profitability expectations.

BWB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$25.84
Downside-13%$18.01

Calculated from the latest close: $20.73 on Nov 12.

BWB trails SOFI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SOFI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+79%$27.97
Downside-20%$12.51

Calculated from the latest close: $15.63 on Nov 12.

SOFI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BWB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BWB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.27Q1 2024: $1.14Q2 2024: $1.09Q3 2024: $1.06Q4 2024: $1.03Q1 2025: $1.10Q2 2025: $1.22Q3 2025: $1.33Q4 2025: $1.49Q1 2026: $1.76Q2 2026: $1.83Q3 2026: $1.94Forward: $1.97
Q4 2023: $1.27Q1 2024: $1.14Q2 2024: $1.09Q3 2024: $1.06Q4 2024: $1.03Q1 2025: $1.10Q2 2025: $1.22Q3 2025: $1.33Q4 2025: $1.49Q1 2026: $1.76Q2 2026: $1.83Q3 2026: $1.94Forward: $1.97
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.97+1.5%
Q3 2026$1.94+46%
Q2 2026$1.83+50%
Q1 2026$1.76+60%
Q4 2025$1.49+45%
Q3 2025$1.33+25%
Q2 2025$1.22+12%
Q1 2025$1.10-3.5%
Q4 2024$1.03-19%

BWB has the edge over SOFI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SOFI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.82+47%
Q3 2026$0.560%
Q2 2026$0.49-2%
Q1 2026$0.45+4.7%
Q4 2025$0.390%
Q3 2025$0.56+367%
Q2 2025$0.50+$0.72
Q1 2025$0.43+$0.72
Q4 2024$0.39+$0.75

SOFI earned $0.56 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.

BWB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $27MQ1 2024: $26MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: $36MQ3 2025: $36MQ4 2025: $39MQ1 2026: $46MQ2 2026: $41MQ3 2026: $43M
Q4 2023: $27MQ1 2024: $26MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: $36MQ3 2025: $36MQ4 2025: $39MQ1 2026: $46MQ2 2026: $41MQ3 2026: $43M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$43.2M+20%
Q2 2026$40.9M+13%
Q1 2026$46.2M+43%
Q4 2025$38.8M+32%
Q3 2025$36.2M+33%
Q2 2025$36.1M+35%
Q1 2025$32.3M+23%
Q4 2024$29.5M+10%

BWB's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $43M last quarter, up 20% from the same quarter a year ago.

SOFI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+44%
Q2 2026$1.2B+43%
Q1 2026$1.1B+43%
Q4 2025$1B+40%
Q3 2025$961.6M+38%
Q2 2025$854.9M+43%
Q1 2025$771.8M+20%
Q4 2024$734.1M+19%

SOFI has the edge over BWB on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BWB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$9MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: $10MQ3 2024: −$6MQ4 2024: $31MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: $14MQ2 2026: $9MQ3 2026: $46M
Q4 2023: −$9MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: $10MQ3 2024: −$6MQ4 2024: $31MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: $14MQ2 2026: $9MQ3 2026: $46M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$45.5M+486%
Q2 2026$9.3M+229%
Q1 2026$14.2M+105%
Q4 2025$4.4M-86%
Q3 2025$7.8M+$14.2M
Q2 2025$2.8M-73%
Q1 2025$6.9M-3.5%
Q4 2024$31.2M+$39.8M

BWB has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SOFI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.1B-$1.7B
Q2 2026-$4B-$2.5B
Q1 2026-$2.4B-$2.4B
Q4 2025-$1.1B-$815.2M
Q3 2025-$1.4B-$149M
Q2 2025-$1.5B-$1B
Q1 2025-$31.1M-104%
Q4 2024-$242.4M+$39.9M

SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

BWB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 28MQ1 2024: 28MQ2 2024: 28MQ3 2024: 28MQ4 2024: 28MQ1 2025: 28MQ2 2025: 28MQ3 2025: 28MQ4 2025: 28MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 29MQ3 2026: 29M
Q4 2023: 28MQ1 2024: 28MQ2 2024: 28MQ3 2024: 28MQ4 2024: 28MQ1 2025: 28MQ2 2025: 28MQ3 2025: 28MQ4 2025: 28MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 29MQ3 2026: 29M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.7%+207K shares
1 year+2.1%+606K shares
3 years+1.7%+485K shares
5 years-1.1%-314K shares
Available history-4%-1.2M shares

BWB has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SOFI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+5.8M shares
1 year+5.2%+66.8M shares
3 years+43%+407M shares
5 years+272%+993M shares

SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.

BWB Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.9xQ1 2024: 5.1xQ2 2024: 4.9xQ3 2024: 5.1xQ4 2024: 4.6xQ1 2025: 5.5xQ2 2025: 5.7xQ3 2025: 6.8xQ4 2025: 6.2xQ1 2026: 3.1xQ2 2026: 3.5xQ3 2026: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 4.9xQ1 2024: 5.1xQ2 2024: 4.9xQ3 2024: 5.1xQ4 2024: 4.6xQ1 2025: 5.5xQ2 2025: 5.7xQ3 2025: 6.8xQ4 2025: 6.2xQ1 2026: 3.1xQ2 2026: 3.5xQ3 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.0xElevated
Q2 20263.5xElevated
Q1 20263.1xElevated
Q4 20256.2xHigh
Q3 20256.8xHigh
Q2 20255.7xHigh
Q1 20255.5xHigh
Q4 20244.6xHigh

BWB's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.8 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BWB.

SOFI Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.8xNet Cash

SOFI has the edge over BWB on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BWB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.5Neutral
Stochastic24.5Neutral

BWB's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 24 (neutral).

SOFI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.1Neutral
Stochastic41.5Neutral

SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

BWB PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBWBSector medianRelative
PE11x13x18% below
PE %386325 pts below

BWB has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.

SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSOFISector medianRelative
PE28x13x114% above
PE %26159 pts below

SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

BWB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.51% above
20 week MA$21.11.6% below
50 week MA$19.66% above
100 week MA$17.419% above
200 week MA$14.741% above

BWB has the edge over SOFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SOFI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.70.7% below
20 week MA$17.07.8% below
50 week MA$18.917% below
100 week MA$18.917% below
200 week MA$13.516% above

SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.

BWB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$13.8$12.3-11%
2021$12.3$17.3+40%
2022$17.3$17.8+2.8%
2023$17.8$13.5-24%
2024$13.5$13.5-0.2%
2025$13.5$18.0+34%
2026 YTD$18.0$20.7+15%

BWB has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SOFI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.4$12.4+19%
2021$12.4$15.1+22%
2022$15.1$4.61-69%
2023$4.61$9.95+116%
2024$9.95$16.0+61%
2025$16.0$27.1+69%
2026 YTD$27.1$15.6-42%

SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.

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