BWB

Bridgewater Bancshares, Inc.

65
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation54/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

BWB has the edge over JPM overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

BWB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BWB's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BWB.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

BWB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.9x9.8x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.9x9.8x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.8x$17.14-17%
Fair11x$22.18+7%
Current11x$20.73—
Forward11x$20.73—
Expensive14x$26.63+28%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BWB's PE is in its fair range at 10.7x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 10.5x.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM has the edge over BWB in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BWB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BWB, with profitability holding steady.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

JPM has the edge over BWB on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

BWB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$25.84
Downside-13%$18.01

Calculated from the latest close: $20.73 on Nov 12.

BWB trails JPM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BWB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BWB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.27Q1 2024: $1.14Q2 2024: $1.09Q3 2024: $1.06Q4 2024: $1.03Q1 2025: $1.10Q2 2025: $1.22Q3 2025: $1.33Q4 2025: $1.49Q1 2026: $1.76Q2 2026: $1.83Q3 2026: $1.94Forward: $1.97
Q4 2023: $1.27Q1 2024: $1.14Q2 2024: $1.09Q3 2024: $1.06Q4 2024: $1.03Q1 2025: $1.10Q2 2025: $1.22Q3 2025: $1.33Q4 2025: $1.49Q1 2026: $1.76Q2 2026: $1.83Q3 2026: $1.94Forward: $1.97
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.97+1.5%
Q3 2026$1.94+46%
Q2 2026$1.83+50%
Q1 2026$1.76+60%
Q4 2025$1.49+45%
Q3 2025$1.33+25%
Q2 2025$1.22+12%
Q1 2025$1.10-3.5%
Q4 2024$1.03-19%

BWB earned $1.94 per share over the past year, up 46% from the year before.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $23.85 over the past year, up 18% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.

BWB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $27MQ1 2024: $26MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: $36MQ3 2025: $36MQ4 2025: $39MQ1 2026: $46MQ2 2026: $41MQ3 2026: $43M
Q4 2023: $27MQ1 2024: $26MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: $36MQ3 2025: $36MQ4 2025: $39MQ1 2026: $46MQ2 2026: $41MQ3 2026: $43M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$43.2M+20%
Q2 2026$40.9M+13%
Q1 2026$46.2M+43%
Q4 2025$38.8M+32%
Q3 2025$36.2M+33%
Q2 2025$36.1M+35%
Q1 2025$32.3M+23%
Q4 2024$29.5M+10%

BWB has the edge over JPM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

BWB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$9MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: $10MQ3 2024: −$6MQ4 2024: $31MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: $14MQ2 2026: $9MQ3 2026: $46M
Q4 2023: −$9MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: $10MQ3 2024: −$6MQ4 2024: $31MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: $14MQ2 2026: $9MQ3 2026: $46M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$45.5M+486%
Q2 2026$9.3M+229%
Q1 2026$14.2M+105%
Q4 2025$4.4M-86%
Q3 2025$7.8M+$14.2M
Q2 2025$2.8M-73%
Q1 2025$6.9M-3.5%
Q4 2024$31.2M+$39.8M

BWB has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

BWB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 28MQ1 2024: 28MQ2 2024: 28MQ3 2024: 28MQ4 2024: 28MQ1 2025: 28MQ2 2025: 28MQ3 2025: 28MQ4 2025: 28MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 29MQ3 2026: 29M
Q4 2023: 28MQ1 2024: 28MQ2 2024: 28MQ3 2024: 28MQ4 2024: 28MQ1 2025: 28MQ2 2025: 28MQ3 2025: 28MQ4 2025: 28MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 29MQ3 2026: 29M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.7%+207K shares
1 year+2.1%+606K shares
3 years+1.7%+485K shares
5 years-1.1%-314K shares
Available history-4%-1.2M shares

BWB has 29M diluted shares, up 2.1% from a year ago.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has the edge over BWB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BWB Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.9xQ1 2024: 5.1xQ2 2024: 4.9xQ3 2024: 5.1xQ4 2024: 4.6xQ1 2025: 5.5xQ2 2025: 5.7xQ3 2025: 6.8xQ4 2025: 6.2xQ1 2026: 3.1xQ2 2026: 3.5xQ3 2026: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 4.9xQ1 2024: 5.1xQ2 2024: 4.9xQ3 2024: 5.1xQ4 2024: 4.6xQ1 2025: 5.5xQ2 2025: 5.7xQ3 2025: 6.8xQ4 2025: 6.2xQ1 2026: 3.1xQ2 2026: 3.5xQ3 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.0xElevated
Q2 20263.5xElevated
Q1 20263.1xElevated
Q4 20256.2xHigh
Q3 20256.8xHigh
Q2 20255.7xHigh
Q1 20255.5xHigh
Q4 20244.6xHigh

BWB's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.8 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BWB.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM has the edge over BWB on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BWB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.5Neutral
Stochastic24.5Neutral

BWB's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 24 (neutral).

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

BWB PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBWBSector medianRelative
PE11x13x18% below
PE %386325 pts below

BWB has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

BWB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.51% above
20 week MA$21.11.6% below
50 week MA$19.66% above
100 week MA$17.419% above
200 week MA$14.741% above

BWB's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 41% above its 200-week average.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 45% above its 200-week average.

BWB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$13.8$12.3-11%
2021$12.3$17.3+40%
2022$17.3$17.8+2.8%
2023$17.8$13.5-24%
2024$13.5$13.5-0.2%
2025$13.5$18.0+34%
2026 YTD$18.0$20.7+15%

BWB has the edge over JPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.5% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key