BWB

Bridgewater Bancshares, Inc.

65
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation54/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

BWB has a slight edge over GS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

BWB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BWB's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BWB.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

BWB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.9x9.8x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.9x9.8x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.8x$17.14-17%
Fair11x$22.18+7%
Current11x$20.73—
Forward11x$20.73—
Expensive14x$26.63+28%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BWB has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

BWB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BWB, with profitability holding steady.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

GS has the edge over BWB on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

BWB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$25.84
Downside-13%$18.01

Calculated from the latest close: $20.73 on Nov 12.

BWB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS trails BWB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BWB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.27Q1 2024: $1.14Q2 2024: $1.09Q3 2024: $1.06Q4 2024: $1.03Q1 2025: $1.10Q2 2025: $1.22Q3 2025: $1.33Q4 2025: $1.49Q1 2026: $1.76Q2 2026: $1.83Q3 2026: $1.94Forward: $1.97
Q4 2023: $1.27Q1 2024: $1.14Q2 2024: $1.09Q3 2024: $1.06Q4 2024: $1.03Q1 2025: $1.10Q2 2025: $1.22Q3 2025: $1.33Q4 2025: $1.49Q1 2026: $1.76Q2 2026: $1.83Q3 2026: $1.94Forward: $1.97
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.97+1.5%
Q3 2026$1.94+46%
Q2 2026$1.83+50%
Q1 2026$1.76+60%
Q4 2025$1.49+45%
Q3 2025$1.33+25%
Q2 2025$1.22+12%
Q1 2025$1.10-3.5%
Q4 2024$1.03-19%

BWB earned $1.94 per share over the past year, up 46% from the year before.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over BWB on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BWB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $27MQ1 2024: $26MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: $36MQ3 2025: $36MQ4 2025: $39MQ1 2026: $46MQ2 2026: $41MQ3 2026: $43M
Q4 2023: $27MQ1 2024: $26MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: $36MQ3 2025: $36MQ4 2025: $39MQ1 2026: $46MQ2 2026: $41MQ3 2026: $43M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$43.2M+20%
Q2 2026$40.9M+13%
Q1 2026$46.2M+43%
Q4 2025$38.8M+32%
Q3 2025$36.2M+33%
Q2 2025$36.1M+35%
Q1 2025$32.3M+23%
Q4 2024$29.5M+10%

BWB has the edge over GS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS's revenue is growing: $18.7B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

BWB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$9MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: $10MQ3 2024: −$6MQ4 2024: $31MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: $14MQ2 2026: $9MQ3 2026: $46M
Q4 2023: −$9MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: $10MQ3 2024: −$6MQ4 2024: $31MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: $14MQ2 2026: $9MQ3 2026: $46M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$45.5M+486%
Q2 2026$9.3M+229%
Q1 2026$14.2M+105%
Q4 2025$4.4M-86%
Q3 2025$7.8M+$14.2M
Q2 2025$2.8M-73%
Q1 2025$6.9M-3.5%
Q4 2024$31.2M+$39.8M

BWB has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

BWB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 28MQ1 2024: 28MQ2 2024: 28MQ3 2024: 28MQ4 2024: 28MQ1 2025: 28MQ2 2025: 28MQ3 2025: 28MQ4 2025: 28MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 29MQ3 2026: 29M
Q4 2023: 28MQ1 2024: 28MQ2 2024: 28MQ3 2024: 28MQ4 2024: 28MQ1 2025: 28MQ2 2025: 28MQ3 2025: 28MQ4 2025: 28MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 29MQ3 2026: 29M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.7%+207K shares
1 year+2.1%+606K shares
3 years+1.7%+485K shares
5 years-1.1%-314K shares
Available history-4%-1.2M shares

BWB has 29M diluted shares, up 2.1% from a year ago.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over BWB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BWB Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.9xQ1 2024: 5.1xQ2 2024: 4.9xQ3 2024: 5.1xQ4 2024: 4.6xQ1 2025: 5.5xQ2 2025: 5.7xQ3 2025: 6.8xQ4 2025: 6.2xQ1 2026: 3.1xQ2 2026: 3.5xQ3 2026: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 4.9xQ1 2024: 5.1xQ2 2024: 4.9xQ3 2024: 5.1xQ4 2024: 4.6xQ1 2025: 5.5xQ2 2025: 5.7xQ3 2025: 6.8xQ4 2025: 6.2xQ1 2026: 3.1xQ2 2026: 3.5xQ3 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.0xElevated
Q2 20263.5xElevated
Q1 20263.1xElevated
Q4 20256.2xHigh
Q3 20256.8xHigh
Q2 20255.7xHigh
Q1 20255.5xHigh
Q4 20244.6xHigh

BWB's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.8 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BWB.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over BWB on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BWB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.5Neutral
Stochastic24.5Neutral

BWB's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 24 (neutral).

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

BWB PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBWBSector medianRelative
PE11x13x18% below
PE %386325 pts below

BWB has the edge over GS on valuation relative to its sector.

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

BWB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.51% above
20 week MA$21.11.6% below
50 week MA$19.66% above
100 week MA$17.419% above
200 week MA$14.741% above

BWB has the edge over GS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.

BWB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$13.8$12.3-11%
2021$12.3$17.3+40%
2022$17.3$17.8+2.8%
2023$17.8$13.5-24%
2024$13.5$13.5-0.2%
2025$13.5$18.0+34%
2026 YTD$18.0$20.7+15%

BWB has the edge over GS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.

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