BVS

Bioventus Inc.

68
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation63/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

BVS offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over BVS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

BVS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Stable

BVS's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

BVS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x42x62x83x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x42x62x83x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward13x$10.86—
Current14x$10.86—
Cheap18x$14.37+32%
Fair26x$21.13+95%
Expensive69x$54.91+406%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BVS has the edge over LLY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

BVS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BVS, with profitability improving.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

LLY has the edge over BVS on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

BVS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$16.18
Downside-22%$8.45

Calculated from the latest close: $10.86 on Nov 12.

BVS trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BVS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BVS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.49Q1 2024: $-0.32Q2 2024: $-0.63Q3 2024: $-0.58Q4 2024: $-0.52Q1 2025: $-0.49Q2 2025: $-0.01Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.33Q1 2026: $0.41Q2 2026: $0.77Q3 2026: $0.80Forward: $0.81
Q4 2023: $-2.49Q1 2024: $-0.32Q2 2024: $-0.63Q3 2024: $-0.58Q4 2024: $-0.52Q1 2025: $-0.49Q2 2025: $-0.01Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.33Q1 2026: $0.41Q2 2026: $0.77Q3 2026: $0.80Forward: $0.81
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.81+1.6%
Q3 2026$0.80+627%
Q2 2026$0.77+$0.78
Q1 2026$0.41+$0.90
Q4 2025$0.33+$0.85
Q3 2025$0.11+$0.69
Q2 2025-$0.01+$0.62
Q1 2025-$0.49-$0.17
Q4 2024-$0.52+$1.97

BVS's earnings per share have jumped to their highest in five years: $0.80 over the past year, up from $0.11 the year before.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.83
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.83
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.83+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over BVS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BVS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $135MQ1 2024: $129MQ2 2024: $151MQ3 2024: $139MQ4 2024: $154MQ1 2025: $124MQ2 2025: $148MQ3 2025: $139MQ4 2025: $158MQ1 2026: $132MQ2 2026: $153MQ3 2026: $142M
Q4 2023: $135MQ1 2024: $129MQ2 2024: $151MQ3 2024: $139MQ4 2024: $154MQ1 2025: $124MQ2 2025: $148MQ3 2025: $139MQ4 2025: $158MQ1 2026: $132MQ2 2026: $153MQ3 2026: $142M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$142.4M+2.7%
Q2 2026$153.2M+3.8%
Q1 2026$132.1M+6.6%
Q4 2025$157.9M+2.8%
Q3 2025$138.7M-0.2%
Q2 2025$147.7M-2.4%
Q1 2025$123.9M-4.3%
Q4 2024$153.6M+13%

BVS's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $142M last quarter, up 2.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over BVS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BVS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: $15MQ3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $19MQ1 2025: −$20MQ2 2025: $25MQ3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: $37MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $19MQ3 2026: $20M
Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: $15MQ3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $19MQ1 2025: −$20MQ2 2025: $25MQ3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: $37MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $19MQ3 2026: $20M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$20.3M-31%
Q2 2026$18.9M-25%
Q1 2026$8.4M+$28.5M
Q4 2025$37.4M+99%
Q3 2025$29.6M+189%
Q2 2025$25.3M+67%
Q1 2025-$20.2M-$13.9M
Q4 2024$18.7M+87%

BVS generated $85M in free cash flow over the past year, up 59% from the year before.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over BVS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BVS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 63MQ1 2024: 63MQ2 2024: 64MQ3 2024: 65MQ4 2024: 65MQ1 2025: 66MQ2 2025: 69MQ3 2025: 69MQ4 2025: 69MQ1 2026: 70MQ2 2026: 71MQ3 2026: 72M
Q4 2023: 63MQ1 2024: 63MQ2 2024: 64MQ3 2024: 65MQ4 2024: 65MQ1 2025: 66MQ2 2025: 69MQ3 2025: 69MQ4 2025: 69MQ1 2026: 70MQ2 2026: 71MQ3 2026: 72M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.3%+1.7M shares
1 year+5.3%+3.7M shares
3 years+15%+9.7M shares
5 years+73%+30.7M shares
Available history+30%+16.9M shares

BVS has 72M diluted shares, up 5.3% from a year ago.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over BVS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BVS Net Leverage

Q1 2024: 8.2xQ2 2024: 43.0xQ3 2024: 35.6xQ4 2024: 18.0xQ1 2025: 20.2xQ2 2025: 4.9xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.0xQ1 2026: 2.8xQ2 2026: 2.6xQ3 2026: 2.4x
Q1 2024: 8.2xQ2 2024: 43.0xQ3 2024: 35.6xQ4 2024: 18.0xQ1 2025: 20.2xQ2 2025: 4.9xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.0xQ1 2026: 2.8xQ2 2026: 2.6xQ3 2026: 2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.4xModerate
Q2 20262.6xModerate
Q1 20262.8xModerate
Q4 20253.0xElevated
Q3 20254.0xHigh
Q2 20254.9xHigh
Q1 202520.2xHigh
Q4 202418.0xHigh

BVS's net debt is about 2.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY has the edge over BVS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BVS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.2Neutral
Stochastic19.8Oversold

BVS's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

BVS PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricBVSSector medianRelative
PE14x26x48% below
PE %23533 pts below

BVS has the edge over LLY on valuation relative to its sector.

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

BVS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.916% below
20 week MA$13.016% below
50 week MA$10.44.4% above
100 week MA$9.1619% above
200 week MA$7.2051% above

BVS has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 51% above its 200-week average.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over BVS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BVS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$17.2$14.0-19%
2022$14.0$2.54-82%
2023$2.54$5.27+107%
2024$5.27$10.6+102%
2025$10.6$7.46-30%
2026 YTD$7.46$10.9+46%

BVS has the edge over LLY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 32% so far in 2026.

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