BTSG

BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. Common Stock

72
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation64/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

BTSG's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 23% and free cash flow grew 78%. At 39x earnings, it's trading below its usual 54x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue, though they disagree widely on how much.

BTSG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

BTSG's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

BTSG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x45x68x91x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x45x68x91x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward30x$71.45—
Cheap38x$69.24-3.1%
Current39x$71.45—
Fair53x$98.23+37%
Expensive72x$132+84%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BTSG's PE is in its cheap range at 39x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings.

BTSG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for BTSG, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BTSG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+48%$105.50
Downside-17%$59.61

Calculated from the latest close: $71.45 on Nov 12.

BTSG's one-year upside scenario is about three times its downside: +48% against −17%.

BTSG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.89Q1 2024: $-1.03Q2 2024: $-0.96Q3 2024: $-0.24Q4 2024: $-0.09Q1 2025: $0.31Q2 2025: $0.34Q3 2025: $0.64Q4 2025: $0.87Q1 2026: $1.40Q2 2026: $1.65Q3 2026: $1.84Forward: $2.37
Q4 2023: $-0.89Q1 2024: $-1.03Q2 2024: $-0.96Q3 2024: $-0.24Q4 2024: $-0.09Q1 2025: $0.31Q2 2025: $0.34Q3 2025: $0.64Q4 2025: $0.87Q1 2026: $1.40Q2 2026: $1.65Q3 2026: $1.84Forward: $2.37
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.37+29%
Q3 2026$1.84+188%
Q2 2026$1.65+385%
Q1 2026$1.40+352%
Q4 2025$0.87+$0.96
Q3 2025$0.64+$0.88
Q2 2025$0.34+$1.30
Q1 2025$0.31+$1.34
Q4 2024-$0.09+$0.80

BTSG's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $1.84 over the past year, up 188% from the year before, and higher year over year for nine quarters in a row.

BTSG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.4BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $2.9BQ4 2024: $3.1BQ1 2025: $2.9BQ2 2025: $3.1BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $3.6BQ1 2026: $3.6BQ2 2026: $3.9BQ3 2026: $4.2B
Q4 2023: $2.4BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $2.9BQ4 2024: $3.1BQ1 2025: $2.9BQ2 2025: $3.1BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $3.6BQ1 2026: $3.6BQ2 2026: $3.9BQ3 2026: $4.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.2B+26%
Q2 2026$3.9B+23%
Q1 2026$3.6B+26%
Q4 2025$3.6B+16%
Q3 2025$3.3B+15%
Q2 2025$3.1B+15%
Q1 2025$2.9B+12%
Q4 2024$3.1B+29%

BTSG's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $4.2B last quarter, up 26% from the same quarter a year ago.

BTSG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $146MQ1 2024: −$101MQ2 2024: −$39MQ3 2024: $7MQ4 2024: $75MQ1 2025: $84MQ2 2025: $25MQ3 2025: $92MQ4 2025: $194MQ1 2026: $101MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: $182M
Q4 2023: $146MQ1 2024: −$101MQ2 2024: −$39MQ3 2024: $7MQ4 2024: $75MQ1 2025: $84MQ2 2025: $25MQ3 2025: $92MQ4 2025: $194MQ1 2026: $101MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: $182M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$182.2M+98%
Q2 2026$14.9M-40%
Q1 2026$101.4M+21%
Q4 2025$193.9M+157%
Q3 2025$92.2M+1180%
Q2 2025$24.7M+$63.6M
Q1 2025$84M+$184.6M
Q4 2024$75.3M-48%

BTSG generated $492M in free cash flow over the past year, up 78% from the year before.

BTSG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 171MQ1 2024: 176MQ2 2024: 209MQ3 2024: 198MQ4 2024: 193MQ1 2025: 215MQ2 2025: 216MQ3 2025: 218MQ4 2025: 220MQ1 2026: 221MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 220M
Q4 2023: 171MQ1 2024: 176MQ2 2024: 209MQ3 2024: 198MQ4 2024: 193MQ1 2025: 215MQ2 2025: 216MQ3 2025: 218MQ4 2025: 220MQ1 2026: 221MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 220M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-50K shares
1 year+1%+2.2M shares
3 years+29%+49M shares
5 years+29%+49M shares
Available history+53%+76.1M shares

BTSG has 220M diluted shares, up 1% from a year ago.

BTSG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.5xQ1 2024: 8.2xQ2 2024: 9.0xQ3 2024: 6.6xQ4 2024: 6.2xQ1 2025: 5.6xQ2 2025: 5.8xQ3 2025: 5.3xQ4 2025: 5.3xQ1 2026: 3.1xQ2 2026: 2.7xQ3 2026: 2.2x
Q4 2023: 10.5xQ1 2024: 8.2xQ2 2024: 9.0xQ3 2024: 6.6xQ4 2024: 6.2xQ1 2025: 5.6xQ2 2025: 5.8xQ3 2025: 5.3xQ4 2025: 5.3xQ1 2026: 3.1xQ2 2026: 2.7xQ3 2026: 2.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.2xModerate
Q2 20262.7xModerate
Q1 20263.1xElevated
Q4 20255.3xHigh
Q3 20255.3xHigh
Q2 20255.8xHigh
Q1 20255.6xHigh
Q4 20246.2xHigh

BTSG's net debt is about 2.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 5.3 years a year ago.

BTSG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI66.6Neutral
Stochastic76.0Neutral

BTSG's weekly RSI is 67 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 76 (neutral).

BTSG PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricBTSGSector medianRelative
PE39x26x50% above
PE %204525 pts below

BTSG is trading at 39x earnings, a 50% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

BTSG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$63.413% above
20 week MA$63.513% above
50 week MA$53.234% above
100 week MA$38.187% above

BTSG is in an uptrend: it's above all four of its weekly moving averages, and 87% above its 100-week average.

BTSG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$11.0$17.0+55%
2025$17.0$37.8+122%
2026 YTD$37.8$71.5+89%

BTSG has finished every year since 2024 higher, and it's up 89% so far in 2026.

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