BTMD

biote Corp.

42
Fundamentals34/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential43/ 100

BTMD's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over BTMD overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

BTMD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Under pressure
Under pressure
Weak

BTMD's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently under pressure.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

BTMD PE Valuation

BTMD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

BTMD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect BTMD's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

LLY has the edge over BTMD on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

BTMD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+77%$1.82
Downside-44%$0.58

Calculated from the latest close: $1.03 on Nov 12.

BTMD trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BTMD, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BTMD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.13Q1 2024: $0.46Q2 2024: $0.52Q3 2024: $0.61Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $0.62Q2 2025: $0.91Q3 2025: $0.80Q4 2025: $0.74Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.10Q3 2026: $-0.11Forward: $0.16
Q4 2023: $0.13Q1 2024: $0.46Q2 2024: $0.52Q3 2024: $0.61Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $0.62Q2 2025: $0.91Q3 2025: $0.80Q4 2025: $0.74Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.10Q3 2026: $-0.11Forward: $0.16
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.16—
Q3 2026-$0.11-114%
Q2 2026$0.10-89%
Q1 2026$0.43-31%
Q4 2025$0.74+289%
Q3 2025$0.80+31%
Q2 2025$0.91+75%
Q1 2025$0.62+35%
Q4 2024$0.19+46%

BTMD has swung to a loss: it lost $0.11 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over BTMD on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

BTMD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46MQ1 2024: $47MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $51MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $49MQ3 2025: $48MQ4 2025: $46MQ1 2026: $45MQ2 2026: $44MQ3 2026: $43M
Q4 2023: $46MQ1 2024: $47MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $51MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $49MQ3 2025: $48MQ4 2025: $46MQ1 2026: $45MQ2 2026: $44MQ3 2026: $43M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$43.3M-9.6%
Q2 2026$44.2M-9.5%
Q1 2026$44.9M-8.3%
Q4 2025$46.4M-6.9%
Q3 2025$48M-6.7%
Q2 2025$48.9M-0.6%
Q1 2025$49M+4.7%
Q4 2024$49.8M+9%

BTMD's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $43M last quarter, down 9.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over BTMD on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BTMD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: $14MQ4 2024: $11MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: $14MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: −$4MQ3 2026: $1M
Q4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: $14MQ4 2024: $11MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: $14MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: −$4MQ3 2026: $1M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1M-92%
Q2 2026-$3.7M-171%
Q1 2026$3.5M-27%
Q4 2025$6.5M-39%
Q3 2025$13.6M-3.1%
Q2 2025$5.3M-29%
Q1 2025$4.8M-27%
Q4 2024$10.7M+50%

BTMD still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2024 peak: $7M over the past year.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over BTMD on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BTMD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 26MQ1 2024: 35MQ2 2024: 33MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 34MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 37MQ4 2025: 37MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 29MQ3 2026: 27M
Q4 2023: 26MQ1 2024: 35MQ2 2024: 33MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 34MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 37MQ4 2025: 37MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 29MQ3 2026: 27M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-4.2%-1.2M shares
1 year-25%-9.3M shares
3 years-12%-3.6M shares

BTMD has the edge over LLY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has 893M diluted shares, down 0.6% from a year ago.

BTMD Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 1.0xQ2 2024: 2.5xQ3 2024: 1.8xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 2.2xQ3 2025: 2.1xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 2.9xQ2 2026: 5.9xQ3 2026: 8.6x
Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 1.0xQ2 2024: 2.5xQ3 2024: 1.8xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 2.2xQ3 2025: 2.1xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 2.9xQ2 2026: 5.9xQ3 2026: 8.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20268.6xHigh
Q2 20265.9xHigh
Q1 20262.9xModerate
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 20252.1xModerate
Q2 20252.2xModerate
Q1 20251.9xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

BTMD's net debt is about 8.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.1 years a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY has the edge over BTMD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BTMD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.3Neutral
Stochastic6.0Oversold

BTMD's weekly RSI is 32 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

BTMD PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricBTMDSector medianRelative
PE11x26x57% below
PE %733637 pts above

BTMD has the edge over LLY on valuation relative to its sector.

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

BTMD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.117.2% below
20 week MA$1.5433% below
50 week MA$1.8946% below
100 week MA$2.8764% below
200 week MA$4.2876% below

BTMD is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 76% below its 200-week average.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over BTMD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BTMD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.1$9.85-2%
2022$9.85$3.91-60%
2023$3.91$4.94+26%
2024$4.94$5.99+21%
2025$5.99$2.68-55%
2026 YTD$2.68$1.03-62%

BTMD has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 62% so far in 2026.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over BTMD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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